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Bit Of A Yarn

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Posted (edited)
Lbs less than topweight Runners total lengths beaten runners*lbs Average lths behind TW avg/lb
0 5839 1152.5      
1 966 1270.7 966 1.315 1.315
2 1148 1352.3 2296 1.178 0.589
3 1141 -1006.85 3423 -0.882 -0.294
4 1183 46.7 4732 0.039 0.010
5 1345 345.25 6725 0.257 0.051
6 1348 -184.3 8088 -0.137 -0.023
7 1477 3295.2 10339 2.231 0.319
8 1488 3480.4 11904 2.339 0.292
9 1450 472.2 13050 0.326 0.036
10 1568 1280.9 15680 0.817 0.082
11 1429 2415.6 15719 1.690 0.154
12 1453 2789.75 17436 1.920 0.160
13 1488 2301.8 19344 1.547 0.119
14 1350 4209.7 18900 3.118 0.223
15 1455 3561.05 21825 2.447 0.163

 

(results for horses with greater weight differences have been left out)

To explain what these numbers mean, let’s look at those horses that were carrying 5lbs less than the topweight.

There were 1,345 of these horses, giving a total of 6,725lbs (1345*5lbs) difference. These 1,345 horses finished a total of 345.25 lengths behind the topweights, an average of 0.257 lengths per horse, or 0.051 (0.257/5lbs) per pound

Edited by curious
Posted

And this was for hurdle races and is likely heavily biased to the high side because the lengths beaten include the beaten lengths of runners eased or not persisted with.

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