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Peak performance is around ~4.5 years old A major study using Beyer Speed Figures found that Thoroughbreds reach their peak racing age at about 4.45 years, with performance improving up to that point and gradually declining afterwards. [pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov] My 10 years of performance data for NZ concurs alongside my personal observation. Might be different in Oz.
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Same thing for all intents and purposes. Have a look at the nominations for the Queen of the Turf Stakes, the cream of Aus female racing. She is just not even close to that class
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But you have praised her performances on race outcomes not performance per se.
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I sort of gave my opinon on that600 in another Topic. She had a very hard and long 3yr old season. More money and Grp1 opportunities at 1600m to 2200m i.e. middle distance than further. Only so many km's you can race them in a prep.
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Just trying to objectively appraise her based on performances to date and she is clearly not up to G1 class based on her runs over there to date. Negativity or positivity do not come into it Leica Lucy made ground very well late to finish close up to Pericles. I can't figure out why, a horse that was classed the best 3 year old staying filly of her year, other than her first run over there, has never been otherwise tried past 1600m in Aus. Willydoit the Derby winner in the same season, also never tried past 1600m in Aus
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Tropicus became the fifth elite winner worldwide for his sensational sire Too Darn Hot and made a case for his own career at stud Feb. 21 with a powerful first-up victory in the Oakleigh Plate (G1) at Caulfield Racecourse.View the full article
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Personal experience and observation. As for your statistics - where did you drag these ones from?
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Well the horse than ran second to her in the KiwiB - Evaporate ran 4th in the Grp 1 Futurity yesterday beaten less than a length. As for her Grp 1 runs in her last campaign. Her second up was her best run. Beaten 2.5 lengths in the Grp 1 Rupert Clarke. There was some very good horses in front of her and behind her. In my opinion she raced well below her best in that campaign. As for "quite frankly dreaming" - well I'd be happy dreaming to win a decent Grp race in OZ with a horse I owned. The trick in OZ is to place your horse and Mark Walker has done pretty well with that over the years. I guess racing is a sport but it just astounds me the level of negativity. No comment on Leica Lucy's run yesterday.
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Where do you get that from? I thought peak performance was the 4yo year for both mares and geldings.
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She is doing better this campaign because she is racing against lower class horses (G3). In her last campaign she had 3 runs at G1 level and ran poorly. To aim this season for a G1, against the best fillies and mares in Aus is quite frankly dreaming. She has done well to win the Kiwi and KM, and most of her prizemoney is from those 2 races, but she is clearly 2nd or 3rd tier down when tried in Aus.
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Jockey Ramon Vazquez reached an Oaklawn Park milestone on last Friday's card when he captured the sixth race, becoming the 11th rider in the track's history to reach 500 local victories. Riding regularly at the venue since 2012, Vazquez steered Cur Non (Coal Front) in a $16,000 claiming sprint in what was his second win on the card and ninth in the last three racing days. He had first call on five winners the previous Monday to equal a local career high. “I had never been here before [having been based in Kentucky],” Vazquez said Saturday morning. “[Then agent Steve Elzey] told me to try it and now I'm in love with this track.” Vazquez sits second in the rider standings with 28 victories behind Cristian Torres with 29, and seeks to break through with his first Oaklawn title after being in the top five in 2015, '16, '17, '19, and '25. The jockey already claims riding titles at Santa Anita, Los Alamitos, Prairie Meadows, Lone Star Park, and Remington Park. “Second, third, second,” Vazquez said, referring to his Oaklawn career resume. “That's my dream, honestly. Just one year be the leading rider here.” Barring injury, Vazquez is in line to surpass the retired Don Howard as Oaklawn's 10th winningest jockey in history before the 2025-26 meeting ends May 2. Howard rode 509 during his Oaklawn career. Retired Hall of Famer Pat Day stands atop the Hot Springs annuals as the winningest rider with 1,264 victories. The post Ramon Vazquez Becomes Eleventh Rider in Oaklawn History to Reach 500 Local Wins appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article
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Klaravich Stables' Tariff Mindset (Tiz the Law) never truly looked like validating favoritism until the final jump, when Flavien Prat threw him across the line for a highly improbable debut victory. A $250,000 Keeneland September graduate, the Mar. 22 foal traded at odds-on for a large portion of the wagering, but he drifted all the way out to just shy of 8-5 at the off, and he was immediately on the back foot when breaking slowly and pinched back a stride or two thereafter. Clearly resenting the kickback and climbing noticeably over the rain-affected track, the chestnut left Prat no option but to guide him into the clear and he traveled better once that mission was accomplished midway up the backstretch. Finally out of last as they approached the lane, the ironically named colt advanced steadily towards the inside and was angled back out to the grandstand side with a furlong to travel. Even at that point, things looked fairly unlikely, but Tariff Mindset closed with big strides in the final 100 yards to nail 30-1 Print (Munnings) right on the wire. Springhouse Farm acquired dam West Palm Beach for $150,000 at the 2019 Keeneland January Sale and her first foal was Ocean Pointe (Kitten's Joy), a stakes-placed winner of $225,991. A half-sister to Irish Group 1-placed The Irish Rover (Ire) (No Nay Never), West Palm Beach is also the dam of a 2-year-old Bolt d'Oro filly and a full-sister to Tariff Mindset that fetched $150,000 at KEEJAN last month. Back in foal to Tiz the Law, West Palm Beach sold for $16,000 during the Fasig-Tipton Digital December Sale. 5th-Aqueduct, $80,000, Msw, 2-21, 3yo, 1m, 1:40.37, my, nose. TARIFF MINDSET (c, 3, Tiz the Law–West Palm Beach {Ire}, by Scat Daddy) Sales history: $250,000 Ylg '24 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: 1-1-0-0, $44,000. Click for the Equibase.com chart or VIDEO, sponsored by FanDuel TV. O-Klaravich Stables Inc; B-Springhouse Farm (KY); T-Chad C Brown. From last to first! TARIFF MINDSET closes to break his maiden in Race 5, and gives Flavien Prat win number three on the day, this one for trainer Chad Brown. pic.twitter.com/4L6Ha39KLz — NYRA () (@TheNYRA) February 21, 2026 The post Tiz the Law’s Tariff Mindset Overcomes ‘Taxing’ Trip To Graduate First Out appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article
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Several notable sophomores were out on track Saturday morning at Santa Anita Park, including Grade I winner Intrepido (Maximus Mischief) and fellow GIII Robert B. Lewis alumnus Secured Freedom (Practical Joke)–both of whom put in their first moves since the aforementioned race. The former finished closest to GISP Plutarch (Into Mischief) in the Lewis, that one claimed top prize by three-quarters of a length, and took a spin over the main track for trainer Jeff Mullins in an easy four-panel move. Clocked in :48.80 with jockey Hector Berrios in the irons, it was the 44th fastest of 79 at the distance. “He didn't do much. We didn't want much,” Mullins said afterwards, adding that he had not decided whether Intrepido would return Mar. 7 in the GII San Felipe Stakes or if they'd opt to wait until April for the GI Santa Anita Derby. Secured Freedom, third in the Lewis, also worked four furlongs on the main track for trainer Tim Yakteen. He was clocked in :48 flat (17/79). With the San Felipe also a possibility for him, his conditioner reports that they'd have a clear picture of their path in the coming days. “We are considering the San Felipe. He is on schedule,” Yakteen said. “We will make a final decision next week.” The Bob Baffert barn was also active as Brant (Gun Runner), Boyd (Violence), Litmus Test (Nyquist), and Buetane (Tiz the Law) were all out for the Hall of Famer Saturday morning. Fellow 'TDN Rising Stars, presented by Hagyard' Brant and Boyd worked six furlongs from the gate with the former timed in 1:11.80 (1/6) and the latter 1:12 flat (2/6). Litmus Test posted a four-furlong move in :47.80 (7/79) in advance of his anticipated seasonal bow in the San Felipe. 'Rising Star' Buetane returned to the tab for the first time since his third-place effort in the GIII Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn Park, also working a half-mile in :47.80. The fillies from the Baffert barn went through their paces as well Saturday, with Splendora (Audible), Explora (Blame), and Usha (Tiz the Law) all making appearances. The Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint heroine was returning to the tab for the first time since winning the GII D. Wayne Lukas Stakes–she cleared five furlongs in 1:01.20 (25/43). Explora drilled five furlongs as well in :59 flat, the bullet of 43 works, and Usha recorded 1:00.20 (8/43) for the same distance. GSW Cash Call (McKinzie), unraced since finishing fifth in the GI Test Stakes last year, also worked six panels while Group 1 winner Ooly (Arg) (Dabster) began her work from the gate and both were clocked in 1:12.60 (3/6) for Baffert. The post Santa Anita Updates: Intrepido, Secured Freedom Put in First Return Works appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article
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By Mike Love Leeston trainer Paul Nairn will take four runners to today’s Ashburton meeting. A hot favourite, Waterloo Station will be his headline act in Race 7, the Front Lea Partnership Handicap Trot over 2400m (4:10pm). Driven by Bob Butt, the four-year-old Waterloo Sunset gelding will need to overcome a backmark of 20 metres, but stable representative Stacey Whatuira believes he should do just that. “It’s an ideal race for him. He’s working well too. I think he’d be the one to beat. He likes Ashburton, with the big bends,” said Whatuira. Waterloo Station has not raced since running second to Tarragindi at the inaugural Harness 5000 meeting at the same course back in December last year. Though there have been no trials or workouts given to Waterloo Station leading into today, Nairn is confident he is ready to fire. “He went great at his last start, and has had a freshener since then, and he’s training really well,” says Nairn. Nairn also lines up second favourite Luvavici in the same event who Whatuira will drive with a 10 metre headstart on his stablemate. A minor issue has seen Luvavici not race since September 2024 but has trialled at Addington this month and was seen making good ground late for trials driver Flynn Ford. “He’s quick. I’ve driven him a few times. But because he hasn’t raced for so long I’ll probably try and drive him for one run,” says Whatuira. “He’s also working really well this time in – probably even better than before, though he will need a run. So hopefully he just trots well.” Nairn will step out debutant Rowdy Yates in Race 3, the Allenton Pharmacy Trot over 2400m (1:50pm), again with Whatuira taking the reins. The now five-year-old Waterloo Sunset gelding qualified as a three-year-old back in 2024. “He’s a funny horse because he can jump out of his gate. He was good at the trials on Friday,” says Whatuira. “If he trots the whole way I’ll be happy. He’s had a bit of trouble with injuries so he’s had a bit of time out in the paddock.” Nairn also lines up Something Else in Race 1, the Stephen Parkinson Orthopaedic Trot over 2400m (12:45pm) with driver Bob Butt. “She was disappointing on Thursday at Addington. But she’s eaten up and seems well.” View the full article
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By Jonny Turner Group 1 formlines trump track stats according to the market for today’s Cromwell Fruit Bowl (3.53pm). The top three horses in early betting for the 2600m staying test come into the race from very different angles. Race favourite Beach Day was a respectable fourth in the recent Group 1 New Zealand Standardbred Breeders Stakes at Addington followed across the line by race rival Ultimate Cullect. On Sunday, Beach Day will give a 10m head start to Ultimate Cullect and Hacksaw Ridge, who share a 10m handicap. Hacksaw Ridge brings a different kind of form reference to the Cromwell Fruit Bowl after winning the Cromwell Cup in his last visit to the track. The Ricky Gutsell-trained pacer stepped to the lead before enjoying a sweet trip in the trail in that win last month. Driver Matthew Williamson would love to see that kind of beginning again from the grass track specialist. “If he could get away like he did when he won at Cromwell it would be a big help.” “There are a couple of nice mares in there but overall I would say that he has been racing stronger fields lately.” “He loves the grass and he is very honest, he’s a good each way chance.” Hacksaw Ridge is part of a powerful brother-sister act that the Gutsell stable takes to Cromwell. The pacer’s full brother Still Rockin looks a genuine hope in the Cromwell Fruit Bowl while their sister Insarchatwist will be out to add to her excellent record at the Central Otago event in Sunday’s finale. Williamson is hoping Practical Magic can bounce back to form in Sunday’s feature trot, Race 5, the Stadium Tavern Alexandra Handicap Trot (2.08pm). The mare was on a great run of grass track form until she worked and faded out in her run at Cromwell on Friday. “She was disappointing on Friday even though she had to sit parked.” “On her form she would have to be an eachway chance, Dreams Pat looks the horse to beat there.” Williamson lines up two horses from his own stable with Jordan Anne looking the top pick of the duo following her excellent third at Cromwell on Friday. However, the trainer doesn’t rate Our Pinocchio too far behind his stablemate. “Jordan Anne was great on Friday, she is a very honest mare and tries hard.” “I don’t think backing up will be a worry for her and she should go another nice race.” “Our Pinocchio drops in grade and with the times and sectionals he’s had to run, he should be pretty well suited and I think he can go a decent race too.” Rory McIlwrick takes the reins behind Jordan Anne with Williamson to pilot Our Pinocchio. View the full article
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You are either deliberately playing the muppet clown or once again confirming you have no clue about horse racing. As far as I know from reading publicly available information is Damask Rose has no current soundness issues. To repeat for your benefit - two Grp 3 placings in OZ for AUD$54k from 2 starts this prep. A great start to any campaign. Again for your benefit - mares who have had fairly hard 2 and or 3yr old campaigns will sometimes struggle early in their 4yr old season. Some don't many do. She seens a lot better heading into the Autumn this year. Considering she performs best 3rd and 4th starts in a campaign, she is sound, racing well and is only 4 I don't see her "being retired soon". Unless of course you have "inside information". The best racing years for a mare are 5 and 6. With $2.1m in the bank winning some highly rated races the best option for her owners is to chase OZ black type to build her residual value. That residual value would be $1.5m+ currently which is also be helped by being a full sister to Provence the multiple Grp 1 winning mare.
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Yes you mentioned the Big Dance targets months ago…. not happened and i very much doubt it will. In fact, wouldnt surprise me if its retired soon.
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6 races seems to be about as good as it's going to get, House has only 6 racing this week, still a good number of locals to keep them going, just as well, you do wonder if it's financially viable sending a trackside crew out to these places for 6 races, I think the dogs are on same day but they finish soon......Cambridge don't need 6 race cards, just one meet up north will mostly suffice, Gamma always says you need these small meetings for the small time trainers but you can easily schedule races to cater for them as well, even if only one day a week, 13 or so races ain't that awkward, it cuts down travel cost as well, when considering the one day a week scenario makes sense to have one track only, and I suggest Cambridge , going the right way around is at least a step in right direction.
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Remind me again how many horses you have trained to win anything? Probably a bit like your punting. Damask Rose has won $54k in two starts this time in PLUS chalked up some valuable Grp placings for her pedigree page. Hardly struggling. But if you had any clue about how horses are trained and the fact that in a prep there is one or two "big dance" targets you'd realise that her two 2026 runs at Caulfield have been very good. Add to that she hasn't had the cleanest of runs either. She holds a nominaton for the Queen of the Turf 1600m $1m Grp1 at Randwick in April. You'd know that of course as you do extensive research - not. My guess is there is a race for her in the 1500 to 1600m range before then at Grp level.
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“Looking for the hidden gem.” That, to Mike Slezak, is the point of crossover; the place where his breakout success dovetails with a personal passion that has now evolved into a way of life. “Which means trying to ask questions in a different way,” he elaborates. “Not making assumptions, looking a little closer.” To the many who first encountered Slezak in his American Idol debrief shows, the next stage of the analogy will make perfect sense. “It's scouting for a contestant like David Cook,” he explains. “No-one thought he was going to win, when he started. But then it became, 'Oh, this guy's actually really good, if the world would take a minute to listen.' And they did, and he sprang the upset.” But the few of us to whom that means little-Slezak having evidently built a cult following in his mainstream role-can rest assured that the same infectious energy and investigative curiosity are proving every bit as effective in our own backwater. As an investor in bloodstock, Slezak has repeatedly picked out a clod of earth that later proves to contain a diamond. Over the past year or so, mares he has processed from the market basement have been upgraded by GI Belmont Derby winner Trikari (Oscar Performance); GI Kentucky Oaks runner-up Drexel Hill (Bolt d'Oro); GIII Southwest Stakes winner Speed King (Volatile); a couple of Grade II-placed stakes winners in Classic Q (Classic Empire) and Willy D's (Lookin At Lucky); and Grade II-placed Me and Molly McGee (Vekoma). Then, just last Saturday at Aqueduct, he could add second, third and fourth in the East View Stakes, two of them born at the Stonegate Stables of Bill Johnson – “one of my earliest and most enthusiastic supporters.” Slezak doesn't pretend to be the only guy dredging claimers for fillies and mares. But he does doubt whether anyone else can be doing it quite so obsessively. “I think there's probably a little ADHD in my brain,” he suggests with a smile. “My goal is to look at every single claiming race in North America every single day. I'll open Belterra Park PPs, and in no time I'm down a rabbit hole. Oh, this one has a half-sister by More Than Ready. So where is she? Has she been bred? What did her foals sell for? And you've got to look at every 2-year-old race, as well, to see what's percolating there: can you spot a future star, work backwards and try and find a sister?” With teenage twins with college on the horizon, however, Slezak accepts the practical necessity of sharing his endeavors with partners and clients. He first dipped his toe in the water while still in entertainment media, covering series like The Voice and How to Get Away with Murder. But it was a fast-changing environment. When he first started doing recaps of American Idol, he could file his copy next day. In the online era, he had to be engaging with viewers more or less as the credits rolled. Then he would regroup for YouTube interviews with contestants as they left the show. “Because I tried not to ask the same questions as all the other media outlets, the contestants would light up,” he recalled. “So, again, trying to approach things a different way. It was great fun, but you cannot do that every single day until 3 a.m. and get up next day and function with kids. Eventually, I realized I wasn't built for speed. I was really built for deep dives. So that's when my husband suggested maybe I could do this horse stuff full time.” Speed King winning the 2025 Southwest Stakes | Coady Media One early experiment was Athenian Beauty (Corinthian), a $8,000 claim at Calder in 2015. Slezak sent her on a mare share to Verrazano and cashed her out the following November for $125,000. She is meanwhile dam of Speed King. “It took a while for her to pay dividends for new owners, but she finally did,” he reflects. “And that's the interesting part of this business. If you claim a broodmare prospect, you won't know until maybe five years later whether she was the right buy.” The opposite, in other words, of being judged on your work as the credits roll. “The very opposite,” Slezak agrees. “And that's why it appeals to me. So seeing Speed King on the Derby trail last year was like, yes, proof of concept. Even though you're not the breeder, you have some fingerprints on what has happened.” As a breeder, however, it was actually in the sales ring that Slezak began his giddiest journey when giving $14,000 for Dynamic Holiday (Harlan's Holiday)-in foal to Oscar Performance-at the 2021 Fasig-Tipton February Sale. As a graded stakes winner, that price was a startling measure of her disappointing start as a broodmare. “I went to look at her and I was like, 'Damn, she's really nice,'” Slezak recalls. “She had not produced a single winner, and nobody wanted an exposed mare pregnant on a second-year book. But she was such a good racemare, and her dam had produced seven stakes horses.” So he consulted Amy Boll, a valued mentor in judging physique, who agreed to come in. As a result, they are listed as co-breeders of the Oscar Performance colt sold for $9,000 as a short yearling at Keeneland the following January-none other than millionaire Trikari. It is certainly typical of this exasperating business that they moved the mare on just before Trikari made his debut in 2023, having meanwhile sold a couple of foals. But it is no less typical that her fortunate purchasers apparently lost her within the year. Around the same time, Slezak hit another seam of gold, buying Ascot Walk (Daaher) with Kaylee Platt at just $5,000 at the 2022 Keeneland November Sale. “That was their budget,” he recalled. “Small backyard breeders, Kaylee and Liz, daughter-and-mom team. And the mare was a good runner: broke her maiden at Saratoga, won her first level allowance at Belmont. She was pregnant to Modernist, had a yearling filly by Mohaymen and was selling with a very nice Bolt d'Oro weanling.” Drexel Hill | SV Photography Sold for $37,000 as a yearling, the Modernist won on debut at Saratoga last summer as Grazie and has been stakes-placed in all three starts since. In the meantime the Bolt d'Oro is Classic-placed Drexel Hill, while the Mohaymen became graded stakes winner/GI Breeders' Cup third Regaled. Ascot Walk was sold after Drexel Hill broke her maiden, and obviously increased her value by the time Turning Point Bloodstock cashed her out last year for $550,000. But if those decisions are always hard to call, there is no arguing with how consistently Slezak has plucked an elite mare from the depths of the market. So what is his secret? “I'm a little obsessive!” Slezak replies. “What I notice is that most of the time there's a foundation of class. Whenever a horse can transition from $5,000 claimer to become a legit Kentucky mare, usually there's some class in there: either she showed something on the racetrack, like Ascot Walk and Dynamic Holiday, or there's a foundation pretty close up in the family that you can tap into. And then it's about reading what's not on the page-those updates that'll percolate in the next six, 12, 18 months.” We haven't finished, though, not by a long chalk. Louisiana-bred Secret Faith (Aurelius Maximus) is a ten-time black-type scorer out of a $4,500 Finger Lakes claim for Jay Adcock and Hume Wornall-and already preceded by two stakes-winnings siblings. Or how about the Sharp Humor mare bought for $2,000 at Keeneland in November 2018? Her 2-year-old by Fed Biz was unnamed in the catalogue but a bulb came on and Slezak recognized him as a debut winner at Gulfstream that summer: Zenden, later a Group 1 winner in Dubai. And back in 2016 there was an Uncle Mo filly Slezak claimed for $25,000 on debut at Tampa Bay. It was only after he sold her on, however, that her half-brother emerged as Tiz the Law. “My timing was not fully on there, but that's okay,” he says with a shrug. “I was on the right horse. The tough part of this business is that you can be right and not get paid. You can be right and get kicked in the face! So you need a lot of self-belief. You need endless optimism that eventually your timing will be right.” The fact is that he's getting the rest of it right to a freakish degree. “The catalogue page, or the Mare Produce Records, those are just the first clicks,” Slezak says. “Which is where that ADHD component kicks in. There's a blank second dam, but wait, she only had two named foals. If you're just zipping through the catalogue, you could dismiss a horse for things that are not their fault. So I guess if there's any overarching philosophy for my business, or why I think I'm good at what I do, it's that horses that slip through the cracks are a fascination for me. “I mean, there aren't that many $4,000 claimers worth going after. Let's get that on the record. They're rare. But there are horses where you pull up the dam and just get a tingling sensation. And when I've listened to that, it usually works out well.” Next up? A foray into the stallion business: Slezak purchased Arzak, a multiple Grade II winner, millionaire and track-record setter by Not This Time, on behalf of Amsterdam Two Farm in Middleburgh, New York, for the 2026 breeding season, and has stayed on board to help market the horse to Northeast breeders. “No small task, launching a stallion,” he admits. “But the response thus far has been incredible.” Slezak also recently joined the board of Wasabi Aftercare Fund, as “a way to give back to the sport that's given me so much.” Yes, he's still waiting for that home run on his own account. But he has middled too many curveballs for it not to happen sooner or later. “It's not easy to get noticed, as a rank outsider with no industry background or connections,” Slezak admits. “I'm the Finger Lakes shipper in this field. So if you want to be taken seriously, you just have to work twice as hard. I do a ton of research. Maybe that's the one thing I do as well as anybody. And the great thing about this business is that there will always be a new angle, a new idea. All I need is to find another Trikari, only this time bank the $1.3 million instead of $9,000!” The post Slezak’s Multiple Claims to Fame appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article