Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Monday 3rd December

[Wandering Eyes]

Yesterdfay saw both the NAP and Next Best win amongst a haul of 8 winners from just the 3 meetings, can the Picks from the Paddock keep up that form today?

NAP Of The Day

16:15 Wolverhampton

Toni’s A Star has posted all four career AW victories over course and distance and has been in excellent form since switching back from turf, following up a close second on penultimate run with a convincing win last time out, powering home inside the final furlong and winning with more ease than the official half-length winning margin suggests. Up just 3lbs for that, she is still below her best winning mark and comes up against rivals who all seem to be struggling for form so should be capable of another victory here today.

Zipedeedodah has a couple of course and distance victories to his name and these came off much higher marks than he races off today, however these both came in 2016 and despite a falling mark he hasn’t shown much to suggest he is ready to capitalise just yet so the bigger danger looks to be Shesthedream who was third behind Toni’s A Star last time out and looks set to chase her home again.

Toni’s A Star (WIN) – NAP

 

18:45 Wolverhampton

Contrive has won her last three on an all-weather surface but these have all come on polytrack and her only prior run on tapeta saw her finish ninth of ten. She was all out to win on a head bob last time out and has gone up a further 4lbs for that victory so for me looks vulnerable for win purposes.

Pride’s Gold has two wins from four at Wolves, including one over todays’ trip, but couldn’t cope with the step up in class last time out and finished last of five. She should find the drop back in class and the step back up in trip to her liking so she isn’t dismissed lightly.

That said, preference is for Considered Opinion who is unbeaten in three runs at Wolves, two over todays’ trip, forging clear to win by almost three lengths when last seen here in August. Her last run at Chelmsford is easily dismissed as it was over a trip too far and the return to the tapeta can see her get back to the winners’ enclosure.   

Considered Opinion (WIN)

 

Musselburgh:

12:15 – Constancio (WIN)

12:45 – The Steward (WIN)

13:15 – Lady London (WIN)

13:45 – Life Knowledge (WIN)

14:15 – Urban Mode (WIN)

14:45 – Henry’s Joy (WIN)

15:15 – Weapons Out (WIN)

Plumpton:

12:30 – Breaking Waves (WIN)

13:00 – Kalashnikov (WIN)

13:30 – Bang Bang Rosie (Win)

14:00 – Empriente Reconce (WIN)

14:30 – Sartorial Elegance (WIN)

15:00 – Seaweed (WIN)

15:30 – Eden Du Houx (WIN)

Wolverhampton:

15:45 – Red Stripes (WIN)

16:15 – Toni’s A Star (WIN)

16:45 – Decoration Of War (WIN)

17:15 – Destinys Rock (E/W)

17:45 – Redicean (WIN)

18:15 – Something Brewing (E/W)

18:45 – Considered Opinion (WIN)

19:15 – Captain Dan (WIN)

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