Northerly Stakes 2024 Group 1 betting preview & tips | December 7

Wandering Eyes · December 4, 2024

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What	2024 Northerly Stakes
Where	Ascot Racecourse – Perth, Western Australia
When	Saturday, December 7, 2024
Prizemoney	$1,500,000
Distance	1800m
Conditions	Weight For Age
2023 winner	Dom To Shoot (1) \| T: Sean & Jake Casey \| J: Jarrad Noske (59kg)
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The Group 1 Northerly Stakes (1800m) will be the feature event on the nine-race card at Ascot this Saturday afternoon. With 18 runners accepting for the 16-horse contest, a full field is expected to take their place in the final Group 1 of the calendar year.

Western Australian-based trainers have had a stranglehold on the Northerly Stakes in recent times, particularly the Grant & Alana Williams stable, who have won three of the last six editions. Due to their only being four runners heading west from Eastern states, will the home town dominance continue, or will an interstate runner steal the Northerly Stakes title?

2024 Northerly Stakes odds

The Mitchell Freedman-trained Attrition opened as the favourite at $4.60 with horse racing bookmakers, just ahead of the 2024 WA Guineas winner, Storyville, who sits on the second line of betting at $4.80. Three other runners have been marked under $10, with Democracy Manifest ($6.50), Super Smink ($7.50) and Light Infantry Man ($8.00) given strong chances after running in the Group 1 Railway Stakes two weeks ago. Outside of the market fanices, Socks Nation ($12), Zipaway ($15) and Numerian ($21) are expected to be supported at bigger odds.

2024 Northerly Stakes speed map

There doesn’t appear to be a lot of speed in the 2024 Northerly Stakes as Marocchino is the only natural leader engaged in this contest. After pushing forward to settle on speed in the Railway Stakes, expect Socks Nation to do the same again, while William Pike will have a decision to make on Storyville from barrier one, and he they could land in the box seat. Attrition, Bustler and Zipaway should settle behind the top three and get the best runs in the race from their inside barriers. Democracy Manifest, Casino Seventeen and Super Smink will be at the back of the field, hoping for a strong tempo throughout the 1800m journey.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2024 Northerly Stakes.

Northerly Stakes 2024 preview & form

Attrition goes on top in the 2024 Northerly Stakes, following a strong performance in the Listed Five Diamonds (1800m), where the Mitchell Freedman-trained entire was a little unlucky in the final 150m. Before his fourth-place finish in the Five Diamonds, the son of Churchill was a dominant winner of the Group 2 Hill Stakes (1900m) after settling on speed before sprinting away from his rivals in the concluding stages. Beau Mertens will make the trip over to Perth for this start, and if he can land in the first six from barrier five, Attrition can win his second Group 1 in as many years.

Super Smink has returned to form this preparation, finishing in the top three in each of her four starts, including a great win in the Group 3 Asian Beau Stakes. Meanwhile, Storyville brings great form from the three-year-old ranks and has to be considered, much like Democracy Manifest, who started as the favourite in the Five Diamonds and settled too far back in the Railway Stakes last start.

Northerly Stakes 2024 selections & best bets

Selections: