Handicapping the Kentucky Derby Preps: Blue Grass, Santa Anita Derby, UAE Derby & Wood Memorial

[Wandering Eyes]

TDN's Senior Racing Editor Steve Sherack provides analysis for Saturday's three GI Kentucky Derby preps–the GI Santa Anita Derby, GII Wood Memorial S. & G2 UAE Derby–and Tuesday's postponed GI Toyota Blue Grass S.

GI Toyota Blue Grass S. – I'm banking on a big performance from Chancer McPatrick, who should move forward nicely off his runner-up effort while making his sophomore debut in the GIII Tampa Bay Derby. Despite just a field of seven entered, there figures to be plenty of pace (East Avenue sporting first-time blinkers, the rail-drawn River Thames and wire-to-wire Tampa Bay Derby winner Owen Almighty all want to be forwardly placed) for last year's head-turning, come-from-behind GI Hopeful S. and GI Champagne S. winner to close into. Chancer McPatrick will be much more in his comfort zone (and tighter with a race under his belt) taking back and making one run after sitting much closer than he prefers in the Tampa Bay Derby. Selection: #6 Chancer McPatrick (7-2).

GI Santa Anita Derby – Journalism established himself as the horse to beat on the first Saturday in May with a top-shelf win with a flashy 108 Beyer in the GII San Felipe S. and is a deserved favorite in this compact, but very talented field of five. Hard not to love how the son of Curlin finishes off his races and he could potentially take another leap forward as the distances continue to increase. Should be a fantastic showdown with last year's champion 2-year-old and last-out GIII Robert B. Lewis winner Citizen Bull, who will be the one to catch on the engine here. Excited to see what the blue-blooded Baeza can do as well off his breakthrough maiden win at third asking. Selection: #1 Journalism (6-5).

GII Wood Memorial S. – Captain Cook could still be any kind and has been training with a purpose for Rick Dutrow, Jr. since his fantastic track-and-trip score in the Withers. He's drawn well on the inside, is tactical enough to secure a favorable trip beneath Manny Franco and certainly wouldn't mind the wet weather in the forecast, either. Statesman is a very interesting longshot to consider after punching home impressively for back-to-back wins at Tampa. There is other speed on paper, but the rail-drawn, morning-line favorite Rodriguez scares me the most if he's able to shake free early. Selection: #2 Captain Cook (7-2).

G2 UAE Derby – This race absolutely goes through Flood Zone, who couldn't have been more impressive while making his first start for Wathnan Racing and Brad Cox in the GIII Gotham S. He'll be heavily favored (and rightfully so) for this two-turn debut. I'll attempt to get a little cute here though and take a swing on Heart of Honor (GB). He has plenty of experience at Meydan (4-2-2-0), closing impressively for runner-up finishes in the G3 UAE Two Thousand Guineas and Al Bastakiya, and wants every bit of this 1 3/16-miles distance. Would be some spot for Honor A. P. to collect his first graded/group winner. Let's see if we can sneak Dragon (Jpn) into the gimmicks at a big number, too. He's gonna really appreciate this added ground, especially after resenting the kickback in the Hyacinth. Selection: #6 Heart of Honor (GB) (4-1).

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