Jump to content
NOTICE TO BOAY'ers: Major Update Coming ×
Bit Of A Yarn

Kids Got Gears


Special Agent

Recommended Posts

26 minutes ago, Special Agent said:

Can anyone explain why Kids Got Gears received 14 points for running 4th of 6 runners?  Now sitting with a rating of 60 in the maiden at Trentham.

Really good point.   Actually looking at it again it is a Set Weight conditions race and the difference in Rating doesn't make a difference other than avoiding the ballot.  But I thought the weights weren't set that high for the maximum weight?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From the Handicapping Policy:

4.6 Maiden Races
All Maiden horses begin with a Rating of 45, unless they win a registered trial.
Winners of a trial receive 2 points to take their initial rating to 47. Only the first
trial win of a horse will apply to an increase in rating.
When assessing trial performances for unraced maiden horses three years and
older, two year old trial form is not taken into account.
A Maiden horse will not receive a rating above 54 unless that horse performs
meritoriously outside of Maiden company and in the opinion of the Handicapper a
rating in excess of 54 is appropriate. A Maiden horse that is placed in a Group or
Listed race will almost always (though there may be exceptions) receive a higher
Rating than 54.
As Maiden races are run at set weights, maiden horses are rated for balloting
purposes only.
Maiden horses that are rated above 54 and start in any rating, based Benchmark
Handicap or a three year old Maiden in restricted age group race, will be weighted
based on their rating.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

b. Maiden Races
As all Maiden races are conducted set weight races, Maiden horses are rated for
balloting purposes only. Maiden horses that are rated above 53 and start in a Ratings
race will be weighted based on their Rating.
Maiden horses start with a Rating 45. Ratings are then adjusted based on race
performances:
• Winners of a Maiden race will be re-rated between 61-64 depending on the
strength of the performance which will be determined by the Handicapper
having regard to the advertised prizemoney for the race and the relative
strength of the field.
• Maiden horses who have placed in Group or Listed races may have a rating
higher than 64
• Raceday 2
nd add 2 points – minimum 7 points, maximum 9 points
• Raceday 3
rd add 1 point – minimum 6 points, maximum 9 points
• Raceday 4
th minimum 5 points, if presently higher stays as is
• Raceday 5th minimum 2 points – if presently higher stays as is
• Raceday 6
th in one of a horse’s first 3 starts can accrue 1 point. This is not
accumulative.

Subsequent second placed performances will result in a horse being given an extra
two rating points, subject to the condition that a horse having run second at its most
recent start will not be rated below 52 or above 54.
Subsequent third placed performances will result in a horse being given an extra one
rating point, subject to the condition that a horse having run third at its most recent
start will not be rated below 51 or above 54.
Subsequent fourth or fifth placed performances will not result in any change to a
horse’s rating subject to the condition that a horse having run fourth at its most
recent start will not be rated below 50 and a horse having run fifth at its most recent
start will not be rated below 47.

Maiden horses will lose a point for an unplaced effort (sixth or worse) and after three
unplaced performances will revert to 45, which is the minimum rating a horse can
receive in New Zealand.

Horses with a rating of 45 that finish sixth at any of their first three career race starts
will be re-rated to 46. That Rating reverts to 45 after one start unless the horse again
finishes sixth or better.
Trial winners with a rating of 47 that finish sixth at any of their first three career race
starts will remain on 47. That rating reverts to 45 after one start unless the horse
again finishes sixth or better.
Handicappers can apply discretion in maiden races in fields of (8) or less, for beaten
margins.
 

Unplaced runs in Group or Listed races are usually ignored for Maiden horse, however
the handicapper may apply judgement or discretion in determining if a reduction in
rating is warranted.
Examples:
Form Rating
0287………………………………… Rating 50
8202………………………………… Rating 53
4522………………………………… Rating 54
3908………………………………… Rating 45
796…………………………………. Rating 46
769……………………………………Rating 45
500………………………………… Rating 45

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Special Agent said:

Can anyone explain why Kids Got Gears received 14 points for running 4th of 6 runners?  Now sitting with a rating of 60 in the maiden at Trentham.

It actually got 13 points for running 4th, beaten 1.5l behind horses rated 67-70. Seems about right to me, or do you think it should have got more?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said:

I get the theory but you assume that the ratings he gave the 3 in front leading up to the race were correct.  The four of them were well beaten in the Wellington Guineas.

Ballon D'ór finished 5th, 1 1/2l from the winner and retained its revised rating of 74. KGG actually beat the other two who both lost a point. Not saying the rating system is perfect but if it were mine, I wouldn't have any complaint about the 13 points that KGG got and presumably neither did its current connections.

Edited by curious
Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, curious said:

Ballon D'ór finished 5th, 1 1/2l from the winner and retained its revised rating of 74. KGG actually beat the other two who both lost a point. Not saying the rating system is perfect but if it were mine, I wouldn't have any complaint about the 13 points that KGG got and presumably neither did its current connections.

I can see the logic but I think the "discretion" was misapplied.  The 3 horses that finished in front of KGG had each won two races yet were only on as you say 67, 68 and 70.  Arguably they should have been on more points. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said:

I can see the logic but I think the "discretion" was misapplied.  The 3 horses that finished in front of KGG had each won two races yet were only on as you say 67, 68 and 70.  Arguably they should have been on more points. 

Which would have meant that KGG might have got more. Remember the handicapper is constrained by the ratings system as to the max and min number of points they give for maiden and ratings race wins. The critical question from the handicapping policy is " if the race was to be run again the next day, what would the weight turnaround be to equalize the chances of all horses."

What do you think the handicapper has done wrong in establishing the ratings for those other 3?

Edited by curious
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Special Agent said:

It might have finished 4th in an open 3yo but, there were only 6 runners and the horse as a maiden on Saturday raced only okay.  It hardly vindicated the rating.

And it lost 6 points as a result.

I don't think the number of runners in a race has or should have anything to do with a handicapper's evaluation of the performance.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...