Jump to content
NOTICE TO BOAY'ers: Major Update Coming ×
Bit Of A Yarn

TDN Derby Top 20: The Pros and Cons of Every Contender


Recommended Posts

  • Journalists

The rankings below are in “likeliest winner” order, and are independent from the “Road to the Derby” points leaderboard that will determine starting berths for the GI Kentucky Derby.

Fasig-Tipton-Winner-Logo.jpg1) JOURNALISM (c, Curlin–Mopotism, by Uncle Mo) O-Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Elayne Stables 5 LLC, LaPenta, Robert V., Magnier, Mrs. John, Smith, Derrick and Tabor, Michael B.; B-Don Alberto Corporation (KY); T-Michael W. McCarthy. Sales history: $825,000 Ylg '23 FTSAUG. Lifetime Record: GISW, 5-4-0-1, $638,880. Last start: WON Apr. 5 GI Santa Anita Derby.

Pros: This $825,000 FTSAUG colt by Curlin from trainer Michael McCarthy's stable is an adaptable, athletic stalker with a long, purposeful stride who was won four straight, including three stakes. The best sophomores in the west have been unable to beat him. Both starts at age three have produced triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures. Journalism has shown he can overcome trip adversity, and is highly attuned to in-race cues from his regular rider, Umberto Rispoli. This colt has no problem racing at the fence covered up by other horses, and has enough tactical speed to pick his own advantageous prowling position somewhere in the front third of the 20-horse Derby.

Cons: The presumptive Derby favorite hasn't had much experience in large fields, with four of his five lifetime starts coming against only four rivals. Although Journalism's most recent victory in the GI Santa Anita Derby was the most authoritative among this year's nine-furlong Derby preps, it also appeared to be the most taxing. He was trapped down inside entering the far turn and had to shoulder aside a rival, overcoming a significant momentum stop before running hard through the lane. Having only two starts at age three is a recent-history negative. From 2017 through 2024, horses with only two sophomore starts prior to the Derby have been a collective 0-for-49. (However, that two-at-three template worked well over the previous decade, producing eight Derby winners between 2007 and 2016.)

2) RODRIGUEZ (c, Authentic–Cayala, by Cherokee Run) 'TDN Rising Star'. O-SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital LLC and Catherine Donovan; B-Kingswood Farm & David Egan (KY); T-Bob Baffert. Sales history: $485,000 Ylg '23 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: GSW 5-2-2-1, $522,800. Last start: WON Apr. 5 GII Wood Memorial Stakes.

Pros: When this $485,000 KEESEP colt trained by Bob Baffert wired the GII Wood Memorial Stakes, his final time of 1:48.15 was the fastest nine-furlong clocking in any points-awarding Derby prep stakes since 2022. The free-running Rodriguez seems to be developing similarly to his 2020 champion sire, Authentic, who was 5-for-5 when he established command and led throughout, but just 1-for-3 in races where he either didn't make the lead or was tasked with stalking. Rodriguez's new jockey, Mike Smith, raved after the Wood about how relaxed this colt was after Baffert removed blinkers for that Apr. 5 stakes. Rodriguez handled legit pace pressure from the favorite and crossed the wire with his ears pricked, indicating a comfort level that will be a huge help if that mojo carries over into the Derby.

Cons: Authentic was a May 5 foal who took a while to mentally mature, and he benefitted greatly by the pandemic forcing the 2020 Derby to be delayed until September. Rodriguez, too, is a late (May 20) foal, meaning he won't actually turn three until three days after the second leg of the Triple Crown. Is he cognitively dialed in for an arduous race the like Derby at this stage of his development? Rodriguez wired a so-so field in the Wood on a day when horses either on the lead or dueling won 10 of 13 races, so it's legit to ask how much a speed-favoring surface factored into the end result. Historically, the Wood is a poor prognosticator for Derby success, with only two winners in the past 44 years (Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000 and Pleasant Colony in 1981) parlaying a win in New York into a blanket of roses at Churchill Downs.

3Fasig-Tipton-Winner-Logo.jpg) TAPPAN STREET (c, Into Mischief–Virginia Key, by Distorted Humor) O-WinStar Farm LLC, CHC, Inc. and Cold Press Racing. B-Blue Heaven Farm (KY). T-Brad H. Cox. Sales history: $1,00,000 Ylg '23 FTSAUG. Lifetime Record: GISW, 3-2-1-0, $643,400. Last race: WON Mar. 29 GI Florida Derby.

  Pros: Tappan Street, a $1m FTSAUG colt by Into Mischief, is the type of horse you'd bet in the Derby if you sense he's an up-and-coming star who has yet to peak. Through only three lifetime races, this smooth-traveling Brad Cox trainee has adeptly handled most challenges tossed his way. He won his debut in a seven-eighths sprint at Gulfstream (three next-out winners); ran second as the fave in the GIII Holy Bull Stakes behind next-out GI Blue Grass Stakes winner Burnham Square (Liam's Map), then won the Florida Derby under confident handling by Luis Saez. His career arc is similar to that of 15-1 upsetter Mage in the 2023 Derby in that they both prepped at Gulfstream with only three lifetime races and both posted 94 Beyers in the Florida Derby (Mage was second, beaten one length). Since its inception in 1952, the Florida Derby has been the most productive path to the Kentucky Derby winner's circle, with 25 of the last 73 Kentucky Derby winners prepping in the Florida Derby.

Cons: Since 1900, 29 horses have attempted to win the Derby off exactly three lifetime starts, and the only ones to do it were Regret in 1915, Big Brown in 2008, Justify in 2018 and Mage. Tappan Street is also against the grain of the same recently unproductive “two starts at age three” angle that Journalism (and Nos. 4, 5, 7 and 19 on this list) will try to overcome.

4) SOVEREIGNTY (c, Into Mischief–Crowned, by Bernardini) O/B-Godolphin (KY); T-William I. Mott; Lifetime Record: MGSW & GISP, 5-2-2-0, $572,800. Last start: 2nd Mar. 29 GI Florida Derby.

Pros: This Into Mischief-sired homebred for Godolphin has a pedigree that resonates with Classics-winning royalty, including Secretariat, Seattle Slew, Affirmed, Spectacular Bid, A.P. Indy, Empire Maker and Bernardini. Sovereignty can reliably be counted upon to fire with one sustained run from off the tailgate, and his last-to-first annihilation of the GII Street Sense Stakes in October stood out as one of the more visually impressive two-turn efforts by a 2-year-old last season. This colt overcame the outermost post nine over Gulfstream's short-stretch configuration to win the Mar. 1 GII Fountain of Youth Stakes, and he was gaining on Tappan Street when second from post 10 in the Florida Derby, a prep for which trainer Bill Mott probably did not have Sovereignty fully cranked.

Cons: Falling in love with a deep closer for the Derby can be hazardous to your bankroll. Speed-centric horses who raced either on the lead or just off it crossed the finish wire first in every Derby between 2014 and 2021 (although two were DQ'd). Yes, horses from off the pace have won the last three Derbies (Rich Strike in 2022 and Mage in 2023 rallied from well back while Mystik Dan won in 2024 with an inside stalk). But it's still difficult to get behind one-run tailgate types like Sovereignty knowing that the fates for well-meant closers in the Derby so often end up being pace- and trip-dependent.

Tappan-Street-the-FL-Derby-credit-Ryan-T

Tappan Street (right) and Sovereignty came to decide the GI Curlin Florida Derby | Ryan Thompson

5) CITIZEN BULL (c, Into Mischief–No Joke, by Distorted Humor) O-SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Stonestreet Stables LLC, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital LLC and Catherine Donovan; B-Robert & Lawana Low (KY); T-Bob Baffert. Sales history: $675,000 Ylg '23 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: MGISW, 6-4-0-1, $1,451,000. Last start: 4th Apr. 5 GI Santa Anita Derby.

Pros: If you're a believer in the 2-year-old champ's overall body of work and the all-business, front-running force he displayed when wiring three graded two-turn stakes between October and February, you're going to be rewarded with an overlaid mutuel in the Kentucky Derby. Last-race recency bias will account for bettors jumping off Citizen Bull's bandwagon after his fade to fourth in the Santa Anita Derby. Trainer Bob Baffert has already publicly shouldered some blame for not getting another prep race into this $675,000 KEESEP son of Into Mischief during the winter/spring campaign, and this colt being “short” for his first race in two months is probably the most logical explanation for his poor performance. In the Santa Anita Derby, Citizen Bull broke running, conceded the lead, then was asked to duel with a 44-1 rabbit; he looked out of his element, never being able to establish any sort of in-race rhythm. Much like in stablemate Rodriguez's write-up above, letting this colt roll straight out of the gate appears to be the key to getting him primed for a rebound result.

Cons: The most obvious thing going against Citizen Bull is the possibility that the assessment above is completely wrong and that the punchless finish we saw at Santa Anita is exactly what we'll get in Louisville. That would make Citizen Bull the ninth straight champion juvenile male not to win the Derby. And that bit about sending him to the lead? Both Citizen Bull and Rodriguez share common ownership interests. Are we to expect Baffert will instruct one rider to back off from what could be a hot pace between the Derby's two main speed threats, or will it be a stablemate-versus-stablemate free-for-all once the gates open? Citizen Bull's biggest hurdle is history: Only two winners of the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile in 40 years have ever won the Derby (Street Sense  2007, Nyquist 2016).

6) LUXOR CAFE (c, American Pharoah–Mary's Follies, by More Than Ready) O-Koichi Nishikawa; B-Orpendale/Chelston/Wynatt & Westerberg Ireland ULC (KY); T-Noriyuki Hori. Lifetime Record: SW-Japan, 6-4-1-0, $377,323. Last start: WON Mar. 29 Fukuryu Stakes.

Pros: This Kentucky-bred son of American Pharoah from Noriyuki Hori's stable passes the eye test based on his rhythm, response and ability to produce a startlingly quick turn of foot in the late stages of his races. Luxor Cafe has now won four straight (twice over a metric nine furlongs), and has twice beaten Admire Daytona (Jpn) (Drefong), who subsequently rebounded to win the G2 UAE Derby. This colt is a full brother to Japanese dirt champion Cafe Pharoah.

Cons: Although Derby handicappers in America have gotten wise to the talents of top-level Japanese horses in big races like the Derby and the Breeders' Cup, it is still difficult for most of us to get a true read on the quality of competition these horses have been facing.

7) EAST AVENUE (c, Medaglia d'Oro–Dance Music, by Ghostzapper) 'TDN Rising Star'. O/B-Godolphin (KY); T-Brendan P. Walsh. Lifetime Record: GISW, 5-2-1-0, $654,395. Last start: 2nd Apr. 8 GI Blue Grass Stakes.

Pros: 'TDN Rising Star' East Avenue may have come up a nose short in the GI Blue Grass Stakes, yet in a case of the second-place horse making a more emphatic statement than the winner, he earned every point of his form-redeeming, 96-Beyer effort by sustaining improved speed under pace duress over a track that was not rewarding frontrunners. After setting torrid fractions while racing with blinkers on, this Godolphin homebred from Brendan Walsh's barn looked certain to be swallowed up by a wall of horses off the final turn. Instead, he stayed on better than expected to reclaim the lead late, only losing it in the last few strides to the onrushing Burnham Square. East Avenue had enough early lick to wire a six-furlong sprint on debut last August, then stretched that speed around two turns to win the GI Breeders' Futurity Stakes in start number two. He was the beaten fave in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile because of a botched break from the one hole, then mystified his connections in February with an explanation-defying 10th in the GII Risen Star Stakes. You have to be willing to take the tradeoff that this colt is on the upswing despite two ugly races in the middle of his past performance block, but a price around 20-1 in the Derby could make it worth the gamble.

Cons: As much as East Avenue ran well against the grain of a closer-favoring Keeneland strip in the Blue Grass, a speed bias very much aided his 5 1/4-length front-running blowout there last October, and the horses he beat in that short-stretch Breeders' Futurity went a collective 0-for-9 in their next starts. In addition, the Blue Grass this year came up light on paper and produced a final time (1:51.33) that equates to the second-slowest edition of that stakes since Keeneland switched back to dirt from synthetic in the fall of 2014. And the :13.44 final furlong during which East Avenue clawed back his lead was also below par, clocking nearly a half a second slower than any final eighth out of the nine Derby-qualifying stakes at the nine-furlong distance in 2024-25.

BURNHAM-SQUARE-The-Toyota-Blue-Grass-G1-

The blinkered East Avenue bounced back in the Blue Grass | Coady Media

8) BURNHAM SQUARE (g, Liam's Map–Linda, by Scat Daddy) O/B-Whitham Thoroughbreds, LLC (KY); T-Ian R. Wilkes. Lifetime Record: GISW, 6-3-1-1, $977,755. Last start: WON Apr. 8 GI Blue Grass Stakes.

Pros: Two months ago, trainer Ian Wilkes described Burnham Square as “a plain ol' horse,” admitting that the connections of this Whitham Thoroughbreds homebred by Liam's Map weren't initially sure how talented a prospect he might turn out to be. Now, despite wins in the Holy Bull Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes, this off-the-pace gelding could very well still be flying beneath the radar of Derby bettors. That's not necessarily a bad thing, because low-profile contenders who consistently show up on race day and produce results without much public pressure are a valuable commodity. Burnham Square has already beaten No. 3 Tappan Street in their only meeting in February, and he was fourth, beaten only three lengths by No. 4-ranked Sovereignty when they met in March. Both those Gulfstream races were over short-stretch configurations with the finish line at the sixteenth pole, a layout that usually does not benefit closers like Burnham Square.

Cons: As stated in East Avenue's write-up above, there's no getting around the fact that the Blue Grass was a slowly run race after a hot first half mile, and that setup played to the advantage of Burnham Square biding his time from last. In the Holy Bull Stakes, this gelding got very agitated during the post parade and pre-race warm-ups; it's something to file away and recheck when the chaos of Derby day rolls around.

9) SANDMAN (c, Tapit–Distorted Music, by Distorted Humor) O-D. J. Stable LLC, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds and CJ Stables; B-Lothenbach Stables Inc (KY); T-Mark E. Casse. Sales History: $1,200,000 2yo '24 OBSMAR. Lifetime Record: GISW, 8-3-1-2, $1,254,595. Last start: WON Mar. 29 GI Arkansas Derby.

Pros: As far back as Aug. 10, when Sandman broke his maiden sprinting seven furlongs at Saratoga in his second lifetime start, trainer Mark Casse told TDN that, “Since day one, he always showed that he was kind of head of the class,” adding that this $1.2 million OBSMAR son of Tapit developed an early knack for handling new assignments with ease. Since then, Casse has tested Sandman with six races at a mile or longer, and the gray has responded with nice progression by honing a reliable late run that looks well suited to 10 furlongs. Sandman's 99-Beyer score in the GI Arkansas Derby didn't appear to take too much out of him, and he's never been worse than third in a two-turn race.

Cons: Sandman's Arkansas Derby victory was aided by a colossal pace meltdown on the front end that saw two leaders peel off from the pack by 10 lengths down the backstretch, and he was able to uncoil late with no serious challengers threatening him late in the lane. Although we've seen him finish well both by coming up the fence and swooping around horses off the far turn, Sandman still has intermittent focus loss through the stretch, and jockey Jose Ortiz stated after that Mar. 29 Oaklawn win that he knows Sandman doesn't like to be whipped left-handed based on how Sandman veered out sharply when struck once from that side in the Arkansas Derby.

Fasig-Tipton-Winner-Logo.jpg10) RIVER THAMES (c, Maclean's Music–Proportionality, by Discreet Cat) 'TDN Rising Star'. O-CHC, Inc. and WinStar Farm LLC; B-CTR Stables, LLC (NY); T-Todd A. Pletcher. Sales history: $200,000 Ylg '23 SARAUG. Lifetime record: 4-2-1-1, $261,900. Last start: 3rd Apr. 8 GI Blue Grass Stakes.

Pros: 'TDN Rising Star' River Thames has had four starts since debuting with a win sprinting at Gulfstream on Jan. 11, and his Beyer range has been very consistent at 94-92-95-94. This New York-bred ($200,000 SARAUG) by Maclean's Music from trainer Todd Pletcher's barn also scored in a one-turn-mile allowance, and his first try around two turns in the Fountain of Youth Stakes was a better-than-it-looked second, beaten only a neck, by Sovereignty.

Cons: River Thames had a trouble-free talking trip in last week's Blue Grass Stakes, but despite appearing primed to pounce at both the quarter and eighth poles, his run through the lane lacked spark. He ended up third in that slowly run stakes.

11) TIZTASTIC (c, Tiz the Law–Keesha, by Tapit) O-Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor and Derrick Smith; B-Capital Bloodstock (KY); T-Steven M. Asmussen. Sales history: $80,000 Ylg '23 KEEJAN;  $335,000 Ylg '23 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: GSW, 8-3-1-2, $1,549,800. Last start: WON Mar. 22 GII Louisiana Derby.

Pros: Tiztastic (80,000 KEEJAN, $335,000 KEESEP) won the GII Louisiana Derby (95 Beyer) by rallying from ninth, but he has previously been effective stalking closer to the pace. Big fields have not fazed this Tiz the Law colt from Steve Asmussen's stable: He's twice competed in 10-horse races, and once each in fields of 12 and 13. For a colt who has not yet technically turned three (Apr. 30 foaling date), it's quite an accomplishment for him to have already won million-dollar races on both turf and dirt (the grass win was the Juvenile Mile Stakes at Kentucky Downs last September).

Cons: When Tiztastic scored in the Louisiana Derby, he was passing only spent horses. That stakes hasn't historically been productive prep for Louisville: Only Black Gold in 1924 and Grindstone in 1996 have pulled off the elusive Louisiana/Kentucky Derby double.

12) FINAL GAMBIT (c, Not This Time–Pachinko, by Tapit) O/B-Juddmonte (KY); T-Brad H. Cox. Lifetime Record: GSW, 4-2-1-1, $520,639. Last start: WON Mar. 22 GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks Stakes.

Pros: This Brad Cox-trained gray homebred for Juddmonte has been closing from far back on both turf and Tapeta, and what he lacks in polish and finesse is counterbalanced by the impression that he has the potential to be scary-good once his mental acuity catches up with his physical ability. In several of his races he's unleashed an unexpected extra kick inside the eighth pole that seems to come out of nowhere, and his 90-Beyer victory in the GIII Jeff Ruby Steaks Stakes saw him coasting clear late despite giving up nine paths of real estate off the final turn.

Cons: Final Gambit has either gawked around or shied from rivals he was passing in the stretch in each of his last three races. Jockey Luan Machado said after the Jeff Ruby win that sometimes, “when he's between horses, he doesn't try as hard as when he's in the clear.” That could be problematic in a 20-horse field like the Derby, which is also going to be Final Gambit's first career race on dirt.

FINAL-GAMBIT-Jeff-Ruby-Steaks-54th-Runni

Final Gambit is set to try conventional dirt for the first time in the Derby | Coady Media

Potentially rounding out the starting gate…

13) COAL BATTLE (Coal Front)

Pros: Coal Battle ($70,000 TTAYRL) is a versatile overachiever who has scored on the front end and from farther back while winning four stakes in succession earlier this campaign (Jean Lafitte Stakes at Delta Downs, Springboard Mile Stakes at Remington, plus the Smarty Jones Stakes and the GII Rebel Stakes, both at Oaklawn). He let loose with a decent middle move in the Arkansas Derby, but despite looking like the horse to beat on the far turn, his bid was only good enough for third. He has consistency on his side and figures to go off relatively ignored in the Derby betting, likely north of 35-1 odds.

Cons: Trainer Lonnie Briley said after Coal Battle's last race that he believed the colt got too hot and bothered prior to the Arkansas Derby, which was out of character and probably cost him some energy in the race. Was that behavior a one-race aberration or will Coal Battle act up even more when faced with a high-energy crowd of 150,000 at Churchill? Handicappers have to factor in the possibility that Coal Battle already peaked between November and February, a concern that could be reflected in his Beyer Speed Figure arc, which topped out at 91 in the Rebel.

14) MADAKET ROAD (Quality Road)

Pros: Madaket Road's only victory came back in Dec. 26 in a Santa Anita maiden race, but he earned Kentucky Derby qualifying points by finishing third, second and fourth, respectively, in the GIII Robert B. Lewis Stakes, Rebel Stakes and Florida Derby. He stalked just off the pace in his first three starts but attempted to make the lead in his last two; with two other higher-ranked contenders from the Bob Baffert barn already earning spots in the Derby as likely pacemakers, it would be reasonable to expect this $650,000 FTSAUG colt to be tasked with sitting just behind the first flight. Baffert horses have crossed the finish line first in seven Derbies (one DQ'd) and he hasn't always won with his perceived “best” entrant, so the trainer angle has to be considered among Madaket Road's positive attributes.

Cons: Madaket Road's best speed-figure race, the 90-Beyer second in the Rebel Stakes, was accomplished with him opening up a daylight lead on the backstretch and an even wider between-calls margin into the stretch. Yet he still couldn't hang on when confronted by Coal Battle, a colt who regressed to third in his next start.

15) GRANDE (Curlin)

Pros: Grande, a $300,000 KEESEP colt from Todd Pletcher's stable, was wide on both turns of the Wood Memorial, yet he finished well enough to be second behind wire-to-wire winner Rodriguez. He was closing against the grain of a speed-favoring Aqueduct surface that afternoon after having previously won a one-turn-mile maiden and a nine-furlong allowance, both at Gulfstream, in his only other two lifetime starts.

Cons: He's very light on experience and will be up against the same only-three-lifetime-starts obstacle detailed in Tappan Street's write-up.

16) AMERICAN PROMISE (Justify)

Pros: This 750,000 KEESEP colt wired an Oaklawn maiden field on Dec. 29, but after finishing out of the money in two subsequent stakes at Oaklawn and Fair Grounds, he looked more in his element pressing outside of a favored speedster in the Mar. 15 Virginia Derby (95 Beyer). His trainer, Hall-of-Famer D. Wayne Lukas, has won four Kentucky Derbies. Nine lifetime starts, with eight of them at a mile or longer, suggests a decent foundation for American Promise attempting 10 furlongs.

Cons: The Virginia Derby was a one-turn, nine-furlong race, and after wresting command a half-mile from home, American Promise didn't have to deal with any late threats that might have given us a better sense of how he might fare when faced with multiple waves of closers. The two horses who finished second and third while 7 3/4 lengths behind him were fifth and ninth, respectively, in their next stakes starts in the Blue Grass and Wood Memorial.

17) CHUNK OF GOLD (Preservationist)

Pros: It's awfully difficult not to root for a Derby contender who only cost $2,500 at the FTKOCT auction. This gray Ethan West trainee has outrun his odds every time he's raced and is usually passing horses in the lane when it counts, with his two most recent races both second-place tries in the nine-furlong Risen Star Stakes and the 1 3/16-miles Louisiana Derby. He paired 92 Beyers in those two efforts.

Cons: This son of Preservationist only has a six-furlong maiden win over Tapeta at Turfway to his credit.

18) ADMIRE DAYTONA (JPN) (Drefong)

Pros: Admire Daytona (Jpn) stayed on under pressure in the UAE Derby. This Yukihiro Kato trainee was hounded on the lead by multiple challengers, briefly lost the lead in a three-way stretch battle, then prevailed in the final jump to win by a nose.

Cons: This ¥66-million JRHAJUL weanling, whose first five starts were in Tokyo, was all-out to win the UAE Derby, and you have to wonder if the exertion from that race, when coupled with him having to endure another halfway-around the globe shipping experience, is going to be too much to overcome in Kentucky.

19) FLYING MOHAWK (Karakontie {Jpn})

Pros: Flying Mohawk may be only 2-for-6, but trainer Whit Beckman thought highly enough of him to race him in a New York graded grass stakes while still a maiden last autumn, and he's never been beaten by more than five lengths. This colt ($25,000 KEENOV, $72,000 KEESEP) rallied late to gain second in the Jeff Ruby over Tapeta at Turfway despite some trouble at the break, and he has plenty of large-field experience, competing three times in fields of 12 and once in a 10-horse race.

Cons: He's never raced on dirt and his lifetime-best Beyer is 84, which is 20 points shy of what it usually takes to be a major player in the Derby.

20) PUBLISHER (American Pharoah)

Pros: This $600,000 FTSAUG colt by American Pharoah is a maiden who finished seventh, fourth, then second in Oaklawn's series of graded stakes preps. His 95-Beyer placing in the Arkansas Derby, in which he was equipped with blinkers for an improved effort, is his standout accomplishment.

Cons: Publisher brings an 0-for-7 record into the Derby. Steve Asmussen is 0-for-26 in the Derby, currently the longest losing streak for a trainer.

avw.php?zoneid=45&cb=67700179&n=af62659d

The post TDN Derby Top 20: The Pros and Cons of Every Contender appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions.

View the full article

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...