Though 23rd on the Points List, Baeza Will Ship to Churchill in Hopes of Drawing Into the Derby

[Wandering Eyes]

The connections of Baeza (McKinzie) have had a change of heart and will ship him to Churchill Downs after all. Though some believe Baeza, the runner-up in the GI Santa Anita Derby, is among the best 3-year-olds in the sport, he has only 37 1/5 Derby points. That puts him at 23rd on the list. Only 20 horses can start in the race.

Had this been last year, Baeza would have made it in no problem. His second-place finish in the Santa Anita Derby would have earned him 50 points, which, this year, would have tied him for 15h place. But this year, Churchill reduced the number of points awarded in any prep race that had fewer than six horse. There were five in the Santa Anita Derby, including the maiden Westwood (Authentic), who Shirreffs put in the race to guarantee that the points allotment didn't get even smaller.

“There was a little change of mind,” Shirreffs said. “You know how rumors are on the racetrack…but from some of the rumors we've been hearing it seems like there is a possibility that he will get in. We are making arrangements now to go. If he doesn't get in, I don't know what we will do but we are optimistic he will make it in. Obviously, there's the Preakness a couple weeks away, so we'd probably go there.”

Baeza is highly regarded for a number of reasons. He is a half-brother to 2023 Derby winner Mage (Good Magic) and 2024 GI Belmont S. winner Dornoch (Good Magic). Not as precocious as his famous siblings, he took three starts to break his maiden. From there Shirreffs put him in the Santa Anita Derby, where he finished second, losing by only three-quarters of a length to Kentucky Derby favorite Journalism (Curlin). That he is seemingly getting better with every race bodes well for him in the Derby, that is if he gets in the race. Many consider him a serious threat to win.

“He's night and day difference from when he first ran,” Shirreffs said. “He's a lot different. He's more tactical. When he first ran, he didn't know anything about it and he didn't show the kind of speed that he has. Now he's become a lot more practical and he more understands about the company in the race. He's good around other horses now.”

Shirreffs said he was disappointed that Churchill Downs changed the point system for this year, but knows there's nothing he can do about it.

“It's too bad,” he said. “The year we had Honor A.P. was the Covid year and this year they adjusted the point system,” he said. “I know what they were trying to do, but in this particular instance the point system wasn't good at all. But I don't make those decisions ad nobody asked my opinion. So to worry about it is waste of energy.

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