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Bit Of A Yarn

A great read


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Interesting read. It is the same method used by most punters aiming at winning. The ability to set odds based on probabilities that give you an edge against the odds you are faced with betting on (i.e the public in a tote system or the bookmaker in a fixed odds sense).

If your ability to derive the probability of something happening is more accurate than the other side of the bet, then winning is going to happen, if you can't achieve that, then winning is unlikely long term.

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