Daily Mail: Immunity chasing Bendigo boost

[Wandering Eyes]

Trainer Jason Thompson had planned for classy sprinter Immunity to be in Queensland this week, lining up in last night’s G1 Brisbane Cup final alongside brother Equalizer, who won the race.  Watch

But a minor setback kept Immunity (15 from 21) at home and she’ll be one of Friday’s headline runners when she contests the Vic Bred Grade 5 Final over 500m at Bendigo, drawing a close to the club’s Winter Carnival.

Immunity has box four to contend with, along with key rivals Daph’s Ascend (2 from 4 Box 1) – tipped on top by The Watchdog – and Hill Top Jack (11 from 27), a litter brother to budding superstar Koblenz.

Another Bendigo highlight will be the clash between record-breaker Benchester (23 from 64 – 23.65sec PB) and Rocket Boy (22 from 46 – 23.61sec PB), while later in the meeting, blueblood Aston Gigante (2 from 3), a litter brother to stars Aston Rupee and Aston Fastnet, is set to continue the bright start to his career.

Meanwhile at Sale, multiple Group finalist Dream Wizard (5 from 11 Trk/Dst – 3 from 6 Box 6) will be chasing back-to-back victories at the track.

At Geelong, the prolific Fortuna Bale (27 from 61) returns to the circle chasing a third straight victory after winning her last two in impressive fashion.

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for The Watchdog’s $10 spend…

MUST-WATCH RACE: GRV Vic Bred Series Final Grade 5

DAPH’S ASCEND IMMUNITY REBEL RIOT ALL INN BILLY

Bendigo Race 6 500m 4:47pm

Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541447/race/6

The Watchdog says : Cracking affair with superstar IMMUNITY (4) going to work after recording a breathtaking 27.94sec heat win. She is easily the best credentialled and most talented chaser in the event, however she has not faired too well with the box draw. Last week she exited the red and was able to assume control soon after box rise, but with an abundance of pace inside and out today, she may get crowded and will have to come from off the pace to score. DAPH’S ASCEND (1) was a gutsy 28.20sec heat winner and she is drawn to get all the breaks today. She went through the first marker in a dazzling 6.49sec last week and with a similar performance today she should assume control and she has proven in the past that she is extremely hard to get past when out in front. ALL INN BILLY (8) is a jet and, with an ounce of luck in running, he will take a power of beating. He possesses a blistering turn of foot once balanced and with no runner on his outside, he should get plenty of room to move in the initial stages. HILL TOP JACK (3) was far from disgraced in his heat placing and he is more than capable of winning a race of this calibre, whilst REBEL RIOT (7), although poorly drawn, is a serious chance if he happens to time the start.

Selections:  1 – 8 – 4 – 3

THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT
Friday 9 July

$4 Multi

First : Place – SPRING ROLL
Healesville Race 6 Box 8 350m 12:36pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.26 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541446/race/6

Second : Place – WESTERN BOMBER
Healesville Race 7 Box 1 350m 12:52pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place (top two finish required)
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541446/race/7

Third : Place – BLACK BEAVER 
Bendigo Race 1 Box 1 425m 3:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.85 Place (top two finish required)
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541447/race/1

Fourth : Place – TIGGERLONG REBEL
Bendigo Race 5 Box 2 500m 4:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541447/race/5

The Watchdog says : SPRING ROLL (8) returned to form here last time, and she likes to scout wide in her races, so there should be no excuses. WESTERN BOMBER (1) is a track specialist, and he is expected to be on the pace from the outset. BLACK BEAVER (1) has turned in some smart performances to date and he is drawn to get all the breaks. TIGGERLONG REBEL (2) should get a nice trail early on and he looks very well graded today.

Multi price: $4.72

$3 Multi

First : Win – INDY’S DREAM
Healesville Race 12 Box 8 300m 2:47pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.00 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541446/race/12

Second : Place – ALL INN DUNGEE
Bendigo Race 8 Box 7 500m 5:27pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.90 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541447/race/8

Third : Place – NIKOLI BALE 
Geelong Race 8 Box 8 460m 9:28pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541445/race/8

The Watchdog says : INDY’S DREAM (8) loves racing at Healesville, and she looks very well graded today. ALL INN DUNGEE (7) has turned in some great performances of late and although he may get back early, he can really let rip mid race and should figure in the finish. NIKOLI BALE (8) is a star in the making and, from the outside draw, a top three finish looks likely.

Multi price: $4.94

$2 WIN – DAPH’S ASCEND
$1 WIN – ALL INN BILLY
Bendigo Race 6 Boxes 1 & 8 500m 4:47pm                        ***Must Watch Race***
TAB fixed odds: $7.00 Win (Daph’s Ascend)
TAB fixed odds: $7.50 Win (All Inn Billy)
Form  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666541447/race/6

The Watchdog says : IMMUNITY (4) is a star chaser, but she is poorly drawn, and I am expecting her to get crowded soon after box rise, so that should allow DAPH’S ASCEND (1) to fire through and hold the early lead. She is extremely hard to get past when in the lead. ALL INN BILLY (8) is a little haphazard early, but he has a big motor, and he should get enough room to balance up in the initial stages. If the favourites happen to make a mistake, he should be there to capitalise.

RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS

Thursday 8 July: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 7 July: $8.40 (-16%)
Tuesday 6 July: $31.80 (+218%)
Monday 5 July: $11.65 (+17%)
Sunday 4 July: $25.55 (+156%)
Friday 2 July: $17.73 (+77%)
Thursday 1 July: $11 (+10%)
Wednesday 30 June: $12.75 (+28%)

Past 7 days: $106.13 for $70 invested (+52%)

Past 14 days: $172.08 for $140 invested (+23%)

Past 28 days: $358.42 for $280 (+28%)

MONTH x MONTH RECORD

June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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