Journalists Wandering Eyes Posted October 31, 2021 Journalists Share Posted October 31, 2021 Fiorente (IRE) ridden by Damien Oliver wins the Emirates Melbourne Cup at Flemington Racecourse on August 08, 2013 in Flemington, Australia. (Racing Photos)“The favourite always wins…” True or False? With the biggest televised race about to unfold at 3:00pm AEST on the first Tuesday in November, spectators will be working out how to tip the winner of the Melbourne Cup 2021. However does the favourite always win? Statistics have shown out of 159 Melbourne Cups there has only ever been 34 wins come from the favourite with Fiorente being the last winner in 2013 priced at $7.00 to win. Phar Lap is currently sitting as the shortest priced favourite to win sitting at -137.49 in 1901. So far the stats are far worse for the horses who are priced in the triple figures. With only four horses out 159 races have claimed victory when being priced at $100 or more to win. The last time being Prince Of Penzance which was $100 to win, ridden by the Michelle Payne who was also the first female jockey ever to win Melbourne Cup. The Melbourne Cup favourites strike rate currently sits at 21.5% for favourite who have claimed victory in the prestigious Melbourne Cup and a tiny 2.6% of times that a horse paying $100 or above has won. Looking at the previous Melbourne Cup stats horsebetting.com.au suggest deeper dive into who to back and looking at a few different tips that will give you a greater leg in the race that stops the nation rather than just blindly backing the favourite in the race. Bet on the 2021 Melbourne cup 2021 Melbourne Cup Odds Flemington – Race 7 Lexus Melbourne Cup Status: Open Track Rating: Good4 Weather: TBA AUS 3200m03:00pm – Tue 2nd Nov PlaceWin 2021 Melbourne Cup Field No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Twilight Payment Joseph O’Brien Jye McNeil 2 58kg $11 2 Incentivise Peter Moody Brett Prebble 16 57kg $2.50 3 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9 4 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15 5 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51 6 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61 7 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $41 8 Ocean Billy Chris Waller Damian Thornton 13 53.5kg $101 9 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151 10 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101 11 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201 12 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $31 13 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201 14 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101 15 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $41 16 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21 17 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151 18 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151 19 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101 20 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg $301 21 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17 22 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18 23 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31 24 Sir Lucan G Waterhouse & A Bott Glen Boss 18 50kg $26 View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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