Daily Mail: A ‘Bit’ of quality on show at Horsham

[Wandering Eyes]

On The Bit – part-owned by Melbourne Cup-winning jockey Jye McNeil and Cox Plate-winning jockey John Allen – is expected to boost his strike rate to eight wins from 12 starts at Horsham today.

Pink Diamond Rookie Sprinter (500m) finalist Soda Titan is also looking to secure his second victory in five days.

G2 Ballarat Cup finalist Daniel Avocado and G3 Easter Gift finalist Gotham Duke highlight tonight’s meeting at Warragul, while Ha Ha Magoo is aiming to win his fourth-straight race.

The Watchdog continued his hot streak yesterday with two of the three bets in the $10 daily spend saluting, which included Sandown Park 29.55sec winner Sir Harley in a three-leg multi.

Healesville: 11:17am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 2:39pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Horsham: 3:42pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 6:45pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ON THE BIT

Trainer: Matthew Lanigan
Horsham Race 6
Box 6 485m 5:26pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 7 from 11
– 82% top-three from 11 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.35

The Watchdog says: Yes

DANIEL AVOCADO

Trainer: Jessica Sharp
Warragul Race 7
Box 8 400m 8:45pm

Claim to fame:
– Group 2 Ballarat Cup finalist
– 66% top-three from 62 starts

TAB fixed odds: $3.20

The Watchdog says: Yes

GOTHAM DUKE

Trainer: Melanie Lithgow
Warragul Race 8
Box 8 460m 9:05pm 

Claim to fame:
– Group 3 Easter Gift finalist
– 71% top-three from 48 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.75

The Watchdog says: Yes

THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT
Tuesday 16 November

$2 Multi

First : Win – EMMETT’S REGRET
Healesville Race 3 Box 8 300m 11:52am
TAB fixed odds: $3.50 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539189/race/3

Second : Win – GOTHAM BARONESS
Warragul Race 5 Box 8 460m 8:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $2 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539192/race/5

Third : Place – STAY AT HOME
Warragul Race 11 Box 2 400m 10:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539192/race/11

The Watchdog says : EMMETT’S REGRET (8) is an improving type, and he is ideally drawn out wide. The inside division are expected to bunch up and that will allow him to boot away mid race. GOTHAM BARONESS (8) has been huge in her past few runs, and she looks very well graded tonight. STAY AT HOME (2) will get a dream run through in the initial stages and he will be very strong in the closing stages.

Multi price: $9.80

$3 Win – SAMBAR CHIEF
Healesville Race 8 Box 8 350m 1:26pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539189/race/8

The Watchdog says : Powerful type and he has come up with the good draw today. There are a couple of handy ones engaged in this, however he is capable of putting serious time on the board and with his main rivals expected to bump early, he should be able to capitalise in the middle stages.

$1 Trifecta – 6 / 3,4 / 1,2,3,4 (16.66%)

Must Watch Race

Grade 5

Horsham Race 6
485m 5:26pm

The Watchdog says : ON THE BIT (6) should blow them away. SUGAR SHANE (3) and TALTARNI BLACK (4) are both strong, so we have included them for second.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview :
ON THE BIT (6) is one of the hottest prospects in the state and he has been ultra-impressive since resuming from a spell. He absolutely obliterated the clock when scoring at Healesville in 18.89sec and if he brings that form to the big spacious Horsham track, he should rattle the 27-second barrier. There is no early pace drawn inside, so there should be no excuses for him today. He has been really well placed by the Lanigan camp and I can’t wait to see him head to town.

Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539191/race/6

The Watchdog’s selections: 6 – 2 – 3 – 1

$1 Win – DADDY’S MAGIC     Lucky Longshot
$1 Win – KISS YOUR LIPS     Lucky Longshot
Warragul Race 7 Boxes 2 & 4 400m 8:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $26 Win (Daddy’s Magic)
TAB fixed odds: $10 Win (Kiss Your Lips)
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539192/race/7

The Watchdog says : Very open race and the run to the first bend will be crucial. I didn’t have KISS YOUR LIPS (4) in the first four selections, however he appears to be value at the current price. Like DADDY’S MAGIC (2), he possesses good early zip and if one of them can exit the bend in front, they may be able to steal the race.

$2 Win – STAY AT HOME
Warragul Race 11 Box 2 400m 10:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.90 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539192/race/11

The Watchdog says : Big drop in class and with PARTY DOLL (9) expected to ping the lids from the inside draw and hold the early lead, he should get a nice run through mid-race, and he can then run over the top in the closing stages.

RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS

Monday 15 November: $29.45 (+195%)
Sunday 14 November: $22.74 (+127%)
Saturday 13 November: $9.20 (-8%)
Friday 12 November: $4 (-60%)
Thursday 11 November: $13.85 (+39%)
Wednesday 10 November: $11.70 (+17%)
Tuesday 9 November: $12.12 (+21%)

Past 7 days: $103.06 for $70 invested (+47%)
Past 14 days: $192.86 for $140 invested (+38%)
Past 28 days: $349.37 for $280 invested (+25%)

MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly

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