Daily Mail: ‘Flame’ set to fire at Geelong

[Wandering Eyes]

G3 Northern Districts Cup winner Aston Flame is in action at Geelong tonight after setting the Shepparton 385m track record in her fifth straight win and 12^th of 21 overall on November 22.

Geelong Oaks winner Osprey Rose, Weblec Raider – fifth to Tiberia Bale in a heat of the G1 Melbourne Cup – and star prospect Titan Blazer are also racing at Geelong.

At Sale this evening, Mr. Neo is looking to win his third straight race and sixth in his last seven starts, while G1 Sapphire Crown finalist Persian Goddess faces G3 Great Chase placegetter Sovereign Wind and track specialist Dr. Knuckles.

Before those meetings take place, dual G2 finalist Mr. America returns from seven weeks off at Bendigo, while two-time G2 Shepparton Cup finalist Benchester is eyeing another win.

Today’s Racing

Cranbourne: 10:55am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Bendigo: 2:52pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Sale: 6:54pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 7:02pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

MR. AMERICA

Trainer: Jason Thompson
Bendigo Race 7
Box 3 425m 4:57pm

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 finalist
– Won 10 from 23

TAB fixed odds: $1.22

The Watchdog says: Yes

MR. NEO

Trainer: Robert Neocleous
Sale Race 8
Box 7 440m 9:16pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 5 of last 6
– Won 3 from 6 Trk/Dst

TAB fixed odds: $1.65

The Watchdog says: Yes

ASTON FLAME

Trainer: Ian Garland
Geelong Race 9
Box 4 400m 9:49pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st G3 Northern Districts Cup
– Won last 5 (12 from 21 overall)

TAB fixed odds: $1.22

The Watchdog says: Yes

THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT
Friday 3 December

$3 Multi

First : Win – BENCHESTER
Bendigo Race 4 Box 4 425m 3:53pm
TAB fixed odds: $2 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540436/race/4

Second : Win – KRAKEN SUE
Bendigo Race 6 Box 1 500m 4:33pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.10 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540436/race/6

The Watchdog says : BENCHESTER (4) will appreciate the empty draw inside and he should sit outside the red for most of the journey before proving too strong in the run home. KRAKEN SUE (1) can be a tad hard to follow, however she loves racing here and she will be primed for a bold first up showing.

Multi price: $6.20

$4 Multi

First : Win – MR. AMERICA
Bendigo Race 7 Box 3 425m 4:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.22 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540436/race/7

Second : Win – ALPINE BUTTERFLY
Sale Race 4 Box 4 440m 7:54pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.65 Win
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/731875830/race/4

Third : Place – PAY THE PRINCE
Sale Race 7 Box 2 440m 8:54pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.45 Place
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/731875830/race/7

The Watchdog says : MR. AMERICA (3) is an absolute beast, and he should account for his rivals quite easily today. ALPINE BUTTERFLY (4) is a huge prospect and she lit up the clock at Warragul last time out. With an empty draw outside, she should avoid crowding and that will allow her to assume control in the initial stages. PAY THE PRINCE (2) has tremendous mid-race pace and with TWO FACE (1) expected to lead, he should get a nice run through and hit the scoreboard.

Multi price: $2.91

$2 Exacta – 4 / 3,6,7,8 (50%)
Geelong Race 7 460m 9:08pm
Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540434/race/7

The Watchdog says : WEBLEC RAIDER (4) is a powerful type, and he will appreciate the empty draw on his outside, so with an ounce of luck early, he should get the cash. LUCA’S JEBRYNAH (6) and LITTLE TIGER (8) are the obvious choices for second, however BALBINA BALE (3) and RANAKO BALE (7) are both capable types and may add some value.

$1 Trifecta – 4 / 8 / 5 (100%)

Must Watch Race

Grade 5

Geelong Race 9
400m 9:49pm

The Watchdog says :  ASTON FLAME (4) captured the Shepparton 385m track record last time. BLAZING NENNA (8) can settle in second and hold on for the quinella spot. GUNAI REBEL (5) is the obvious choice for third.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview :
ASTON FLAME (4) has been superbly placed to date having won 12 of 21 (57 percent) and she recently added the Shepparton 385m track record to her impressive CV. She takes on a handy line-up tonight, however with the empty draw inside, she should have no trouble assuming control in the initial stages, and another scintillating run could be on the cards. The current track record is held by former superstar ASTON BOLERO at 22.01sec. I don’t think she can get down to that, however a sub 22.20sec run could be on the cards.

Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666540434/race/9

The Watchdog’s selections: 4 – 8 – 5 – 1

RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS

Thursday 2 December: $8.70 (-13%)
Wednesday 1 December: $9.68 (-3%)
Tuesday 30 November: $15.09 (+51%)
Monday 29 November: $13.02 (+30%)
Sunday 28 November: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 27 November: $0 (-100%)
Friday 26 November: $0 (-100%)

Past 7 days: $46.49 for $70 invested (-34%)
Past 14 days: $84.99 for $140 invested (-39%)
Past 28 days: $270.27 for $280 invested (-3%)

MONTH x MONTH RECORD

November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even)
October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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