Journalists Wandering Eyes Posted April 12, 2022 Journalists Share Posted April 12, 2022 The resuming nine-time winner Auspicious Queen is considered the biggest danger to Alpine Butterfly winning her third straight race in a Grade 5 460m event at Warragul tonight. Pink Diamond finalist Throw Caution v Narcissus v Disorientated v G2 finalist Daniel Avocado should be a terrific clash, while at Horsham, G1 runner-up Fernando Mick faces G3 finalist Zigzag Cabang and the in-form Sinful Angel. Dale Code’s Predicted Market FirmerALPINE BUTTERFLYTAB fixed odds at 8:50am: $1.90 Win Warragul Race 8 Box 8 9:05pm Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542968/race/8 Today’s Racing Healesville: 11:11am startForm Tips Key stats Geelong: 2:19pm startForm Tips Key stats Horsham: 3:09pm startForm Tips Key stats Warragul: 6:38pm startForm Tips Key stats Today’s Drawcards FERNANDO MICK Trainer: David Geall Horsham Race 10 Box 2 410m 6:15pm Claim to fame: – 2nd Group 1 Maturity Classic – Won last 2 TAB fixed odds: $1.60 The Watchdog says: No RIO BASKIN Trainer: Marien SullivanHorsham Race 11 Box 5 485m 6:35pm Claim to fame: – Won 3 straight; 4 of last 5 – Won 2 from 2 Trk/Dst TAB fixed odds: $3.10 The Watchdog says: Yes MATT’S HOPE Trainer: Michelle Mallia Horsham Race 12 Box 8 485m 6:54pm Claim to fame: – 1st Shepparton Classic – 61% top-three from 26 starts TAB fixed odds: $2.15 The Watchdog says: Yes THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT Tuesday 12 April $5 Multi First : Win – PROPELLED Healesville Race 7 Box 1 350m 12:53pmTAB fixed odds: $1.50 WinForm https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542965/race/7 Second : Win – EXTREME JEWEL Warragul Race 5 Box 1 460m 8:05pmTAB fixed odds: $2 WinForm https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542968/race/5 Third : Win – ARCHIE’S ENTITY Warragul Race 11 Box 1 460m 10:09pmTAB fixed odds: $1.35 WinForm https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542968/race/11 The Watchdog says : PROPELLED (1) is two-of-two here and he has a fair bit on his rivals talent and class wise. EXTREME JEWEL (1) is a gifted speedster, and she is drawn to get all the breaks tonight. ARCHIE’S ENTITY (1) is a serious prospect, and he owns a blistering 25.64sec PB here, so he should be winning with ease. Multi price: $4.05 $3 Win – ALL OUT Warragul Race 1 Box 8 400m 6:38pmTAB fixed odds: $4.40 WinForm https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542968/race/1 The Watchdog says : He led for a long way here last Tuesday night and was going to carve out around 22.75sec before being taken off the track in the home straight. He only has the two runs under his belt, so I’m expecting him to continue to improve and he should have enough pace to cross in the initial stages. $2 Trifecta – 8 / 3 / 2,4,5,6 (50%) Must Watch Race Grade 5 Warragul Race 8 460m 9:05pm The Watchdog says : ALPINE BUTTERFLY (8) has been enormous since resuming and she will take a power of beating, while the classy AUSPICIOUS QUEEN (3) should be on the pace throughout and can fill the quinella spot. We have gone wide for third in the hope of securing some value. ‘Must Watch Race’ Preview : ALPINE BUTTERFLY (8) showed enormous potential in her first preparation; however, she has gone to another level in her two runs since resuming. She speared the lids two runs back when carving out a ridiculous 25.54sec here and she followed that up with a come-from-behind 25.88sec win. If she can step on terms, she should assume control through the bend and score with ease. AUSPICIOUS QUEEN (3) has the class edge over her rivals, and she scored some blistering wins at The Meadows in November last year. She hasn’t raced since December, but she is in good hands. KARMEN KRISTY (5) has been showing slick early speed of late and she will be better suited back to this distance range. Form https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666542968/race/8 The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 3 – 5 – 2 Today’s News IN CASE YOU MISSED IT RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS Monday 11 April: $20.56 (+105%)Sunday 10 April: $9.45 (-6%)Saturday 9 April: $0 (-100%)Friday 8 April: $23.02 (+130%)Thursday 7 April: $0 (-100%)Wednesday 6 April: $0 (-100%)Tuesday 5 April: $0 (-100%)Past 7 days: $53.03 for $70 invested (-25%)Past 14 days: $133.84 for $140 invested (-5%)Past 28 days: $315.20 for $280 invested (+12%) MONTH x MONTH RECORD March 2022: $392.18 for $310 (+26%) February 2022: $288.97 for $280 (+3%) January 2022: $302.53 for $310 (-3%) December 2021: $384.82 for $300 (+28%) November 2021: $300.47 for $300 (Even) October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-27%) August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%) July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%) June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%) NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend. *Please gamble responsibly View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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