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Down In grade - $$$


mardigras

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Yes but this is NZ not Lays ville...

Thats why you've been a complete failure here and why you can't win

Treating 6L every chance trail neddys the same as blocked..all the way up the straight...

...and rating slow maiden winners at Tauranga...higher than Black Type performers at HQ...

because you don't make dispensations for unlucky runs...

...you're a PC based statsman nit wit with zero perspicacity and as blind as Magoo

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 16/08/2018 at 6:03 AM, mardigras said:

Yep, a fraud. He goes on and on about Black Type is superior. Always. A performance in a maiden can't be superior to Black Type.

Then refers to Black type performance levels and 'universal times' for each class. Universal if you don't mind.

Yet when he claims how good Black Type is, he doesn't even check to see whether the performance was in line with a Black Type performance that is supposedly universal. He just assumes because it's Black Type, it's superior.

When even a simple check on percentiles around track/condition/distance would tell you one way or the other.

And because he doesn't know how to assess actual performance (and uses class instead), he doesn't know when a maiden performs at the level of the universally known black type level.

He'll now argue he does check things like times. But it is clearly untrue after he raved about Firebird Flyer in one of the worst performing G3 races around. Clearly no where near a G3 universally known performance. And clearly the horse didn't quite reach those lofty heights before being retired. They could have kept her on for Warrnambool.

And he has no doubt been backing Adis every start it has thinking it is so superior - when it was a piss poor G2 race. As you say, we need people like him.

So got ADIS at 8.5 this morning grassy...Bazz would have got 26's no doubt...

Very unlucky when caught wide without cover last start...Kenny said Vinn apologised...good on him

But it increased the price for those that factor in 'wide without cover'...and SUPERIOR Black Type form...

...previous to this, and rubber stamping the G 2 placing as a maiden, a good race agin a Spec. Mai. Lot...also part of the SUPERIOR class Blue print....

Oh and it got very tight half way down...

Just as well Kenny whacked the BLINKERS on last start when UNLUCKY as well...

...and kept them on for that tight gap today

Trusting the trainer and Black Type form is GOLD

 

Edited by Thomass
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Please don't tell me you use the same Stake for each and every start??

ffs...no don't do that...you'll embarrass your ignorant ass

For example I had ADIS at a maximum 12 Units today...compared to her Spec. maiden start of 6 units

Of course as Ive told you before..the 'value' increases exponentially the higher the price...

ADIS was massive overs at 8's...so the unit value increased to 16 units

Idiots like you would have ignored her being caught wide without cover last start...

...which you and silly old Bazz treat the same as an 'every chance' effort

Go back to Punters kindy and get your pull ups on chump

 

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36 minutes ago, barryb said:

Omg, of course you had your largest bet on it after the winning run, 

FRAUD

Absolutely. I doubt there would be anyone left that doesn't realise he is a total fraud.

This is the guy that goes on and on about wanting penetrometer readings - so clearly thinks track conditions are important. Then backs a horse for max units on a condition never raced on before. After a Black Type performance on a G3. Runs crap on a Heavy. Now thinks it is max units on a Slow track.

And suddenly blinkers on first time isn't the magic ingredient. After the race, it can be also second run with blinkers on.

Still, the TAB needs people like him to keep depositing money into their accounts. Imagine the crap stats I could produce about horses in their second runs with blinkers on. He is a sad individual.

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1 hour ago, mardigras said:

Absolutely. I doubt there would be anyone left that doesn't realise he is a total fraud.

This is the guy that goes on and on about wanting penetrometer readings - so clearly thinks track conditions are important. Then backs a horse for max units on a condition never raced on before. After a Black Type performance on a G3. Runs crap on a Heavy. Now thinks it is max units on a Slow track.

And suddenly blinkers on first time isn't the magic ingredient. After the race, it can be also second run with blinkers on.

Still, the TAB needs people like him to keep depositing money into their accounts. Imagine the crap stats I could produce about horses in their second runs with blinkers on. He is a sad individual.

I don't expect a pure 'statsman' to have the perspicacity to handle a simple observation that a moron could understand...

A few experienced perceptions that may help you on your journey to cop the f on then...

If a Maiden runs an unlucky 3rd in a Spec. Maiden...which includes winners...back to mid weak....runs 1.41 at 1600M on a D6...It can certainly handle a 7 over 1400M

wtf knew...not you

...the other perceptive observation is...if a trainer with the experience of Kenny starts off a campaign in June..on a H 10...where she ran 4th

I trust that trainer to know his charge can handle rain affected ground..3 points back

This is too easy...kindy training punting stuff...

If I'm adding 20% to the stake first time Blinkers...and the neddy was unlucky...it would be counterintuitive to ignore the trainers belief that said neddy still needed them...

I trust the trainer and I trust my opinion of its superior form in Black Type..back to mid weak...only an ignorant statsman wouldn't understand

...methinks you should insert your pull up pants on your noggin today...ink it with DUNCE...

just do it

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Great, I'll add all those items to add to the next set of matching selections. 

I especially liked the one about blinkers on for the next run, when unlucky of course.

I wouldn't have thought anyone could make up fairytales for so long. Yet you do it so easily. Well done you.

Where you are seriously confused is that I don't use stats. I have them, which allows me to provide support to the fact that they are worthless. Yet you keep using them.

Keep them coming Mr Fraud. Your continual writing of this shit just reinforces that. 

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Of course you're a 'statsman'...

Your girl Friday curious, inserts a whole lot of digital into your rear date her entry...

...does 1600 simulations per race...

..then you and she get stimulated...although never in NZ...or Del Mar

...wtf are you so bereft of cop the f on here?

Easy...you're thick az...

Pure statsmen can't distinguish between unlucky and every chance...or similar track conditions or a Black Type from a mid weak type

And Unable to trust Trainers like Kenny...or Wheels or Pikey...

...then hoisted by your own petard after telling us ADIS was"piss poor"

Its a long list of perspicacity that an idiot savant would be proud of...

Statsman you is and always will be

 

Edited by Thomass
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Is that all you've got now??

Python wrote the armless...legless...mindless.. Black Night script just for you didn't they?

And now you've arrived at the 'clutching at straws' two faced desperate argument

You stupidly believed that every investment of moi's is at an even stake..obviously what you do...mindless...take a mindfulness lesson

You then accuse moi of betting Adis odds on..5 starts for an $8.50 return

...did I mention you stupidly believe I invest every start at level stake?

When previously you'd trumpeted the fact you "doubled your money"

Prey tell your legion of sycophantic wally's...how is that markedly different?

Replys on a Winx postage stamp

 

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I never stated you invested the same each time. But only a fraud would claim they invested the most the time it wins. After the race of course.

You're a fraud and funnily enough you know that to be true yourself. And it hurts doesn't it Mr Fraud.

17 minutes ago, Thomass said:

When previously you'd trumpeted the fact you "doubled your money"

Prey tell your legion of sycophantic wally's...how is that markedly different

 

That's funny, since 'doubled your money' was based on level stakes twit. I haven't got the nerve to suggest that the winners I picked were the ones with more investment on like you need to. Your methods don't stack up which is why you now have to claim you get better than 'evens' because when they win is when you have the bigger investment. Yeah sure you do. We all believe you.

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45 minutes ago, mardigras said:

I never stated you invested the same each time. But only a fraud would claim they invested the most the time it wins. After the race of course.

You're a fraud and funnily enough you know that to be true yourself. And it hurts doesn't it Mr Fraud.

That's funny, since 'doubled your money' was based on level stakes twit. I haven't got the nerve to suggest that the winners I picked were the ones with more investment on like you need to. Your methods don't stack up which is why you now have to claim you get better than 'evens' because when they win is when you have the bigger investment. Yeah sure you do. We all believe you.

Let moi explain for the comprehension level of a f in moron...

5 starts for an 8.5 return is almost DOUBLING YOUR MONEY...

You poured poo on that... telling your sycophant ignorami....that I'm investing odds on...

Yet you triumphantly...."doubled your money"

Idiot

The only claim that doesn't stack up is you telling the masses that AVID's G2 performance...at level weights...against winners...when a maiden...

was "PISS POOR"...after I'd spruiked her...and followed the Blue Print to success and riches

It must be red raw embarrassing then...to be petarded into the air...exposing your derrière....sans pantsed...

With your wee sycophant Barry's sniggering at your bare faced cheek

Go put your pull ups on and get to kindy

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8 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Let moi explain for the comprehension level of a f in moron...

5 starts for an 8.5 return is almost DOUBLING YOUR MONEY...

You poured poo on that... telling your sycophant ignorami....that I'm investing odds on...

Yet you triumphantly...."doubled your money"

Clearly your intelligence is limited.

The key difference is you came on here crowing about getting $8.50 for a runner matching the blue print. Hiding the fact that you'd already backed it 4 times before.

The next difference is that every runner you put up like Adis matching your blueprint has to win to achieve doubling your money. They don't.

And of course the most important difference is that you are getting excited about doubling your money on a horse you put up after it has won. The selections I put up were pre race. Of which the only results from you are 100% losses. 

So try doubling your money with pre race selections next time Mr Fraud.

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Besides you having no idea about your comparison of odds on...5 starts for 8.5 ..almost identical to your "doubling my money"

Ive told you the Blue Print before wrt staking

Exponentially increasing the stake as the value increases..

So you've been exposed as a flat staker...

Thats your choice...and the way your simulations roll....

..but don't include me in your nonsense

 

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  • 2 months later...

So we get it..you're OBSESSED with moi's success...

Your idea about the 'fastest' horse winning however...

...is ignoring 'wide without cover' including blocked, unlucky runs...

Potential form that unearths the 'fastest' horse in a race

I don't...Thats the difference

..and why you spew up ridiculous narratives like

"but they race Harness horses that way without any problem"

Neekinpoops have more perspicacity...

 

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1 hour ago, mardigras said:

Some more specials. Expecting big things today.

R3 #9 Our Beeskees

R7 #1 Don't Look Back and #5 Who Dat Singa. 

R8 #2 Atomic Blast.

Multi each way all day, quinellas, the lot.

Of course, any suitability/criticism of these selections would need to be posted prior to the race to have even a shred of credibility.

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1 hour ago, mardigras said:

Of course, any suitability/criticism of these selections would need to be posted prior to the race to have even a shred of credibility.

Of course you'll be posting your thumbnail 'prices' for each race and telling Punters how you'd handle "top 3 prices...Im on" b/s

...when you haven't the nous to even punt here....but you do Dipton so well

niller

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