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Bit Of A Yarn

Down In grade - $$$


mardigras

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Guest CrossCodes
On 20/11/2018 at 1:40 PM, FeelTheFear said:

Ascot Park race 2 #9 Snowbelle. Former northerner down in class now in South Island. Fresh up but trials performed. Value at $1.50 plus. Blinkers on add 20%

I looked at it too, it couldn’t even keep up!

Same as Beaufighter, racing in good fields up north and again today couldn’t even keep up, the races down there have no logic to them, it’s a pick your favourite name or colours races down south 

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1 minute ago, CrossCodes said:

I looked at it too, it couldn’t even keep up!

Same as Beaufighter, racing in good fields up north and again today couldn’t even keep up, the races down there have no logic to them, it’s a pick your favourite name or colours races down south 

not for Mr T. He scores regularly

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3 hours ago, mardigras said:

Going to try and alter the blue print method as well - put some up before the races.

Today

R1 #16 Capellani

R4 #7 Craggy Range - a super special as also in foal which is add 50%

R6 #5 Exemplar

 

Ah the real question, is this todays races? or any time they race in the future you can claim the win back to today?.

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3 hours ago, mardigras said:

Going to try and alter the blue print method as well - put some up before the races.

Today

R1 #16 Capellani

R4 #7 Craggy Range - a super special as also in foal which is add 50%

R6 #5 Exemplar

 

Think I might have a better one Mardi...

Race 1 Great North Road. Side winkers first time in May 2018. Ran 5th. Side winkers off next start, runs 2nd. Follows up with a 4th. Side winkers on again, runs 12th then 10th (latest start). Side winkers off today, blinkers on. Proven performance winkers off, add blinkers hope for the best. 

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Seriously girls...do yous sweeties have lives??

Ive just done me cross training with me bitch...

Beth the pig dog...along Muriwai...black sand through me toes and down me gruts...

...after 50 sand dune repeats...

...and all yous girls are on here...adjusting ya panties...talking smack like teenagers...

...make that 5yos...grow up...even better grow some

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19 minutes ago, FeelTheFear said:

Think I might have a better one Mardi...

Race 1 Great North Road. Side winkers first time in May 2018. Ran 5th. Side winkers off next start, runs 2nd. Follows up with a 4th. Side winkers on again, runs 12th then 10th (latest start). Side winkers off today, blinkers on. Proven performance winkers off, add blinkers hope for the best. 

Add the quinella with #16. Perfect.

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14 hours ago, mardigras said:

Going to try and alter the blue print method as well - put some up before the races.

Today

R1 #16 Capellani

R4 #7 Craggy Range - a super special as also in foal which is add 50%

R6 #5 Exemplar

 

Ok, don't shoot the messenger. 0/3 is not what was expected. I was reliably informed that these weren't just tips - these fed the people for eternity. Much better than tips, but something one could rely on week in week out. Just another aberration I'm sure. Will see what eventuates tomorrow. 

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17 minutes ago, mardigras said:

Ok, don't shoot the messenger. 0/3 is not what was expected. I was reliably informed that these weren't just tips - these fed the people for eternity. Much better than tips, but something one could rely on week in week out. Just another aberration I'm sure. Will see what eventuates tomorrow. 

Hi I'm Nikita 3rd $10.20

Spring Blossom 3rd $3.80

Must be doing something wrong though didn't win

Edited by FeelTheFear
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9 hours ago, mardigras said:

Ok, don't shoot the messenger. 0/3 is not what was expected. I was reliably informed that these weren't just tips - these fed the people for eternity. Much better than tips, but something one could rely on week in week out. Just another aberration I'm sure. Will see what eventuates tomorrow. 

Should add - these are not long odds horses losing. Those 3 started at 9, 4.50, 3.80. And I've put up heaps of them. The ones that get the post race write up just happen to be the ones out of all of them that win. What a coincidence.

The blue print is the perfect tool for finding under value runners. So many do similar to what is spruiked, it brings the prices down to below their chance level more often than not. Which is why so many of them pay low odds when they win. And the only ones that pay anything decent are those that happen to win having their 8th start (or similar) after the wonderful 'black type' performance. Which might still be under value!

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