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Geelong racing preview & best bets | Thursday, September 15


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Geelong racing preview

What Geelong Races
Where Geelong Racecourse – 99 Breakwater Rd, Breakwater VIC 3219
When Thursday, September 15, 2022
First Race 12:30pm AEST

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A massive day of racing awaits punters on Thursday afternoon at Geelong, where a 10-race program is set down for decision. We expect to be starting on a Soft 6 or 7, although a showery forecast for Thursday morning could push the track into the Heavy range. The rail comes out to the 6m mark for the meeting, and while that could favour on-speed runners early in the piece, we expect a number of horses will be making their impact out wide as the day goes on. The first race is scheduled to go at 12:30pm AEST.

Best Bet at Geelong – Miss Subtly

The Grahame Begg-trained Miss Subtly may just be the best maiden going around in Victoria, but on Thursday we expect her fortune to change when she breaks through at start four. The three-year-old filly has begun her career with three consecutive runner-up performances, including a narrow defeat to Cap D’antibes Stakes winner Nanagui two starts back at this track and trip. She backed up that effort with a similarly narrow defeat to Clarity at Moonee Valley on August 20. This is by far her easiest assignment, and a repeat effort of her last two starts would make her hard to beat. From barrier 10, look for Jordan Childs to have her leading the field up. If it is advantageous to be up on speed early on at Geelong, Miss Subtly will look to make the most of it.

Best Bet

Race 1 – Silk #7 Miss Subtly (10)

3yo Filly | T: Grahame Begg | J: Jordan Childs (57kg)

$3.10 with Unibet

Next Best at Geelong – Thalursian

Carloline Jennings & Damien Oliver will be out to build on the already impressive beginning to Thalursian’s career when he returns to the Geelong 1300m (1325m). The four-year-old gelding won at this track and trip on July 1 when gaining a gun run in transit and looked to have plenty left in the tank when going on to post a two-length victory. He then had seven weeks between runs when finishing third, beaten a half-length at Bendigo over 1100m in an effort which screamed out he will be hard to beat next start over further. Damien Oliver sticks on board which is a massive plus and from barrier five, look for the GOAT to have this bloke settled in the one-one. When asked for an effort, Thalursian should have a bit on this lot and looks to be one of the better bets at Geelong.

Next Best

Race 9 – Silk #5 Thalursian (5)

4yo Gelding | T: Caroline Jennings | J: Damien Oliver (59kg)

$3.70 with Bet365

Best Value at Geelong – Rolling Moss

Shawn Mathrick sends Rolling Moss to the Geelong 1125m on Thursday in the last event and he looks to present great value based on recent form. The nine-year-old gelding was beaten two-lengths by the progressive La Zucca at Mornington and with a serviceable wet track record (47: 9-4-7), he looks the one to be with in the last. He will give us a sight for our money out in front and with Kiran Quilty on board and claiming 2kg, he gets in with just 59.5kg. With a cheap sectional or two, Rolling Moss will be rolling along out in front and could prove too hard to hold out.

Best Value

Race 10 – Silk #2 Rolling Moss (9)

9yo Gelding | T: Shawn Mathrick | J: Kiran Quilty (a2) (61.5kg)

$34.00 with Palmerbet

Thursday Quaddie Tips for Geelong

Geelong quadrella selections

Thursday, September 15, 2022

  1. 2-3-6-7-12
  2. 2-3-4-11
  3. 3-5
  4. 2-4-7-8-13

Investment: $200 for 100%

More horse racing tips

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