Journalists Wandering Eyes Posted October 31, 2022 Journalists Share Posted October 31, 2022 Races like the Melbourne Cup have a long and fabled history which have produced a litany of facts and figures that can help us find the 2022 Melbourne Cup winner. Our experts have already given you their Melbourne Cup best bets and produced our indepth 2022 Melbourne Cup runner by runner race preview, so without distracting from their sound logic, we’re going to find you the 2022 Melbourne Cup winner by applying the Melbourne Cup statistics of all previous winners. Lets start with the 2022 Melbourne Cup field and whittle it down horse by horse. 2022 Melbourne Cup Final Field No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 2 Duais Edward Cummings Hugh Bowman 10 55.5kg $21 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 4 Montefilia David Payne Jason Collett 11 55.5kg $11 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 6 Without A Fight Simon & Ed Crisford William Buick 18 55.5kg $11 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg $101 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 18 Lunar Flare Grahame Begg Michael Dee 12 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 20 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Yendall 22 51kg $101 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 22 High Emocean Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Teo Nugent 8 50kg $51 23 Interpretation Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Craig Newitt 6 50kg $41 24 Realm Of Flowers Anthony & Sam Freedman Damien Thornton 5 50kg $15 Melbourne Cup Winners By Age More then half of the Melbourne Cup winners have come from either four-year-old or five-year-old horses, with 90 wins combined from 161 runnings to date. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Age Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg 6yo $13 2 Duais Edward Cummings Hugh Bowman 10 55.5kg 5yo $21 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg 8yo $21 4 Montefilia David Payne Jason Collett 11 55.5kg 5yo $11 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg 7yo $61 6 Without A Fight Simon & Ed Crisford William Buick 18 55.5kg 6yo $11 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg 6yo $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg 4yo $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg 6yo $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg 7yo $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg 5yo $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg 4yo $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg 6yo $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg 5yo $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg 7yo $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg 6yo $101 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg 6yo $21 18 Lunar Flare Grahame Begg Michael Dee 12 51.5kg 7yo $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg 6yo $21 20 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Yendall 22 51kg 6yo $101 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg 5yo $71 22 High Emocean Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Teo Nugent 8 50kg 6yo $51 23 Interpretation Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Craig Newitt 6 50kg 5yo $41 24 Realm Of Flowers Anthony & Sam Freedman Damien Thornton 5 50kg 6yo $15 Melbourne Cup Winners By Name Starting Letter The most popular starting letter of Melbourne Cup horse names has been “T” with 17 wins in the race. Next best is the letter “P” with 14 wins, but the important stat is that the letters “I”, “Q”, “U”, “X” and “Y” have never won the cup. That’s bad news for 2022 Melbourne Cup horse Interpretation as the stats say “I” horse names never win – out he comes. The letters “O” and “Z” have won just the one Melbourne Cup each. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 2 Duais Edward Cummings Hugh Bowman 10 55.5kg $21 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 4 Montefilia David Payne Jason Collett 11 55.5kg $11 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 6 Without A Fight Simon & Ed Crisford William Buick 18 55.5kg $11 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg $101 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 18 Lunar Flare Grahame Begg Michael Dee 12 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 20 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Yendall 22 51kg $101 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 22 High Emocean Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Teo Nugent 8 50kg $51 24 Realm Of Flowers Anthony & Sam Freedman Damien Thornton 5 50kg $15 Cup Winners By Barrier The most winners of the great race have started from barrier 11 but no horse has ever won the cup from barrier 18. Without A Fight was unlucky enough to draw barrier 18 and the stats say that it can’t win – he comes out. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 2 Duais Edward Cummings Hugh Bowman 10 55.5kg $21 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 4 Montefilia David Payne Jason Collett 11 55.5kg $11 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg $101 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 18 Lunar Flare Grahame Begg Michael Dee 12 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 20 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Yendall 22 51kg $101 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 22 High Emocean Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Teo Nugent 8 50kg $51 24 Realm Of Flowers Anthony & Sam Freedman Damien Thornton 5 50kg $15 Cup Winners By Horse Colour Bay coloured horses have won twice as many Melbourne Cups as any other colour of horse. The worst colour of Melbourne Cup horses are Grey, Bay or Brown, Black or Brown, and Black. All combined those coloured horses have won just 15 cups. So we can rule out Knights Order (Bay or Brown), Daqiansweet Junior (Bay or Brown), Emissary (Bay or Brown) & High Emocean (Bay or Brown) No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 2 Duais Edward Cummings Hugh Bowman 10 55.5kg $21 4 Montefilia David Payne Jason Collett 11 55.5kg $11 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg $101 18 Lunar Flare Grahame Begg Michael Dee 12 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 20 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Yendall 22 51kg $101 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 24 Realm Of Flowers Anthony & Sam Freedman Damien Thornton 5 50kg $15 The Cup Winners By Sex Of Horse In the age of equality it will shock many to know that the males dominate the Melbourne Cup winners lists. Just 16 Melbourne Cup winners of the race have been Mares or Fillies – and three of those wins were all down just one mare – the great Makybe Diva. So we can rule out Duais (Mare), Montefilia (Mare), Lunar Flare (Mare), Tralee Rose (Mare) & Realm of Flowers (Mare) No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 16 Arapaho Bjorn Baker Rachel King 19 52.5kg $101 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 Melbourne Cup Roughies In the long history of the race there have been only four winners who started $101 (100/1) or longer on race day. It is fair to say we can remove all horses priced $101 or longer from the field to narrow down our winner by the numbers. We can get rid of Arapaho ($101) No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 10 Vow And Declare Danny O’Brien Blake Shinn 4 54kg $18 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 12 Hoo Ya Mal Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Craig Williams 15 53.5kg $21 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 Cup Winners By How Many Words In Name We’ve whittled down our list of potential cup winners from the full field of 24 horses to just six potential winners. In the history of the cup there have been just 7 winners to have crossed the line having three words in their name. That’s bad news for Vow and Declare & Hoo Ya Mal – out they come. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 3 Knights Order Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 24 55.5kg $21 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 Melbourne Cup Winners By Weight Carried The modern Melbourne Cup has changed significantly from what it was in the early years, and so too have the weights the horses are allotted in the race. In the past 20 years no single winner of the race has carried less than 51kgs, and only the great Makybe Diva (58kgs) has carried more than 57kgs to victory. We can rule out Knights Order (57.5kg). No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 21 Point Nepean Robert Hickmott Wayne Lordan 20 51kg $71 Melbourne Cup Winners By Odds With 12 horses left in the running as our potential 2022 Melbourne Cup winner we’ll take a look at the odds of each runner and history of runners at. that price. Horses priced $26 have won seven cups, those priced $21 have won six cups; and those priced $51 have won three cups. Unfortunately no one has won at $71 so we rule out Point Nepean. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 5 Numerian Annabel Neasham Tommy Berry 7 55.5kg $61 7 Camorra Ben & JD Hayes Ben Melham 17 55kg $41 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 14 Daqiansweet Junior Phillip Stokes Daniel Moor 13 53kg $51 15 Grand Promenade Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Harry Coffey 1 53kg $61 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 19 Smokin’ Romans Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jamie Kah 16 51.5kg $21 Melbourne Cup Winners By Jockey Silks Colours The jockeys silks colours of Navy Blue and Royal Blue have been the most successful colours carried to victory with 21 Melbourne Cup wins. 18 cup winning jockeys have worn black as their main colour. Of the three horses left in our field both Persan and Pondus fit the criteria for jockeys colours, while Explosive Jack has to be excluded as the main colour is white. Numerian, Camorra, Daqiansweet Junior, Grand Promenade & Smokin Romans are out. No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds 1 Gold Trip Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Mark Zahra 14 57.5kg $13 8 Deauville Legend James Ferguson Kerrin McEvoy 9 55kg $3.80 9 Stockman Joseph Pride Sam Clipperton 2 54kg $34 11 Young Werther Danny O’Brien Damian Lane 21 54kg $26 13 Serpentine Robert Hickmott John Allen 23 53.5kg $61 17 Emissary Mike Moroney Patrick Moloney 3 51.5kg $21 2022 Melbourne Cup Winner By The Numbers After that exhaustive process we have left ourselves with six potential candidates. Out of the six potential horse two of them have the highest chance once race records come in to play which is the 2022 Melbourne Cup favourite Deauville Legend & Gold Trip The Melbourne Cup By The Numbers Winner Having reached our final two horses we find the small advantages in either direction for each horse are too small to decide conclusively. In the 2022 Melbourne Cup we recommend you back both Deaville Legend and Gold Trip knowing you have the weight of numbers and Melbourne Cup history on your side and riding with you. View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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