Scone races betting preview, top tips & quaddie picks | 14/11/22

[Wandering Eyes]

What	Scone Races
Where	Scone Race Club – 434 Bunnan Rd, Scone NSW 2337
When	Monday, November 14, 2022
First Race	1:15pm AEDT
Visit Ladbrokes

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We kick off our punting week with an enormous nine-race card at Scone on Monday afternoon. The track is currently listed in the Good 4 range for race-day and with only minimum rain forecast across the region, that should be a spot-on prediction heading into the first race scheduled for 1:15pm AEDT.

The rail is out +3m between the 800m to winning post and true the remainder. Let’s start the week with some winners on what looks a massive card to dissect.

Best Bet at Scone: Paradise Island

We head to the middle of the card for race five on the program to find our best of the afternoon in the form of Kris Lees-trained mare Paradise Island. She looks a cracking bet on Monday with two terrific efforts so far this preparation, she approaches this 900m sprinting contest third-up and ready to win after running into some formidable opposition last start at Port Macquarie on October 7. She went down by just over a length to progressive galloper Jacenza on that occasion and was by no means disgraced, she was simply outmatched, but this BM66 contest looks much more suitable for this daughter of Holler. She should get to the one-by-one from the perfect draw of barrier three and when the sprint goes on, Dylan Gibbons will have Paradise Island steaming home down the middle of the track to score at a great price with online bookmakers.

Best Bet

Race 5 – #7 Paradise Island (3)

4yo Mare | T: Kris Lees | J: Dylan Gibbons (58.5kg)

$5 with Bet365

Next Best Bet at Scone: Willinga Karisma

We’re going back to the well with the Kris Lees-trained filly Willinga Karisma. We tipped her last start at Kempsey on November 4, and she was okay only defeated 0.7 lengths, but was a very short favourite on that occasion. She looks a dower type and the increasing step up in trip here to the 1400m looks to suit this filly by Tivaci. Last start she just seemed to take a long time to wind up, however, with the much bigger track at Scone and a more suitable wide barrier drawn eleven, we think this is the right recipe to see the best of Willinga Karisma. Dylan Gibbons can press forward and lob somewhere midfield with cover before showing off what we know on her best day is an electric turn-of-foot. It’s only career start number four come Monday afternoon, but even then, she looks overdue to break her maiden status.

Next Best

Race 3 – #14 Willinga Karisma (11)

3yo Filly | T: Kris Lees | J: Dylan Gibbons (55.5kg)

$4 with Palmerbet

Best Value Bet: Supra Marnium

We look to the second leg of the Quaddie to find our best each-way play of the afternoon with the seven-year-old gelding Supra Marnium. It’s unbelievable to us this guy is still at maiden at his age, and we think he gets his best career opportunity to get a win on the board in this 1600m contest. His form-lines read exceptionally well with his last start the real eyecatcher in the form guide with an outstanding effort beaten by NJC Spring Stakes placegetter Kazalark at Hawkesbury on October 25. He was at the rear of the field and presented late to only go down 2.9 lengths to what now is a top line form reference for Maiden/Class 1 company. From a much more positive barrier two, expect Blake Spriggs to jump and find a more prominent spot than last start, then once the race goes on this lightly raced veteran can close late to finally get his maiden victory on the board.

Best Value

Race 7 – #11 Supra Marnium (2)

7yo Gelding | T: Matthew Smith | J: Blake Spriggs (56.5kg)

$11 with Ladbrokes

Monday quaddie tips for Scone

Scone quadrella selections

Monday, November 14, 2022

1. 6-7-8-10
2. 6-11-13
3. 1-2-5-10
4. 1-2-4-8-10

Investment: $240 for 100%

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