-
Posts
483,165 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
634
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Articles
Videos of the Month
Major Race Contenders
Blogs
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Chief Stipe
-
Kevin Gray is mindful of making the most of autumn opportunities for All In Vogue as the Pins mare s… View the full article
-
Little Avondale stallion Per Incanto’s fee for 2018 will remain at $15,000 plus GST. View the full article
-
https://www.nzracing.co.nz/Common/SystemTemplates/Modal/Video.aspx?v=http%3a%2f%2fwww.racingreplays.co.nz%2fmedia%2f201804%2f20180412WAVE05_BB.mp4
-
The stats that matter – Sydney Cup weights Article Author Greg Polson 12 April 2018 2 Comments What sort of a task does the 2016 Melbourne Cup Winner Almandin face in the $2 million Sydney Cup (3200m) with 57kg? At first glance Almandin looks well placed as a last start Tancred Stakes winner, we know Lloyd Williams and his team have won three of the last 20 Cups, Almandin is proven at the two miles so there are plenty of ticks. As always, it's back to the stats to evaluate the chances of the ruling favourite. A total of 276 horses have started in the Cup over the last twenty years. For the purpose of this article, I have categorised the weights into three categories, 57kg and above, 55-56.5Kg and less than 55kg and used a cut off starting price of $11 meaning we are only looking at horses the betting market perceives as having a strong winning chance. Of those 22 horses have carried 57kg and above of which 17 have started at $10 or less for two winners, that’s a strike rate of 11.7 percent. If we restrict the data to 57kg, the identical weight Almandin has been asked to carry on Saturday, the result is similar, nine runners carried 57kg with eight of the nine starting at $10 or less, (the remaining runner was a $12 chance). One win was recorded in this sample. Compare these figures to the other weight categories. Fifty horses were weighted in the 55-56.5kg weight range, 19 were at $10 or less producing six winners or 36 percent. The remaining 204 carrying 55kg or less had 61 starters at less than $10 and produced 12 winners at 19.67 percent. Make up your own mind but for me the 57kg is a significant test for Almandin. Here’s the Sydney Cup winners for the last 20 years to help you find a winner. Year Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight SP Track Condition Start Prior 2017 POLARISATION Charlie Appleby Corey Brown 6 51.5kg $6.50 Heavy (8) 4th Doncaster UK 2016 GALLANTE Robert Hickmott Kerrin McEvoy 11 51.5kg $10 Soft (5) 3rd Manion Cup 2015 GRAND MARSHAL Chris Waller Mr Jim Cassidy 4 52kg $41 Soft (7) 3rd Chairman's Handicap 2014 THE OFFER Gai Waterhouse Tommy Berry 8 55kg $3.30 Soft (5) 1st Chairman's Handicap 2013 MOURAYAN Robert Hickmott Hugh Bowman 2 58kg $12 Good (3) 4th Chairman's Handicap 2012 NIWOT Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes Dwayne Dunn 2 55.5kg $4.20 Good (3) 4th Tancred Stakes 2011 STAND TO GAIN Chris Waller Rod Quinn 4 53.5kg $20 Heavy (8) 10th Chairman's Handicap 2010 JESSICABEEL John O'Shea Craig Newitt 10 52kg $5 Good (3) 1st Chairman's Handicap 2009 ISTA KAREEM Colin Little Craig Williams 6 52kg $6.50 Soft (7) 4th Chairman's Handicap 2008 NO WINE NO SONG Kevin Moses Damien Oliver 8 55.5kg $3.80 Soft (5) 1st Chairman's Handicap 2007 GALLIC Graeme Rogerson Steven Arnold 1 56kg $9 Soft (5) 1st Adelaide Cup 2006 COUNTY TYRONE Kris Lees Mr Jim Cassidy 8 55.5kg $15 Good (3) 8th Tancred Stakes 2005 MAHTOUM Kim Waugh Darren Beadman 10 52.5kg $3.80 Soft (5) 5th Tancred Stakes 2004 MAKYBE DIVA David Hall Glen Boss 8 55.5kg $3.50 Good (3) 3rd Tancred Stakes 2003 HONOR BABE Katrina Alexander Kerrin McEvoy 8 53kg $4 Soft (5) 2nd Chairman's Handicap 2002 HENDERSON BAY Neville McBurney Darryl McLellan 8 54kg $8.50 Good (3) 1st Chairman's Handicap 2001 MR. PRUDENT George Hanlon Corey Brown 7 50.5kg $8.50 Good (3) 3rd Easter Cup 2000 STREAK Robert Smerdon Steven King 1 53.5kg $9 Soft (7) 4th VRC St Leger 1999 TIE THE KNOT Guy Walter Shane Dye 3 50.5kg $3.70 Soft (7) 2nd Australian Derby 1998 TIE THE KNOT Guy Walter Shane Dye 3 57kg $1.85 Soft (5) 1st JRA Plate
-
Australian racing expert to review NZ racing industry
Chief Stipe posted a topic in BOAY Racing News
Racing Minister Winston Peters has announced the government has appointed senior Australian racing e… View the full article -
Local police have been called in to investigate the circumstances that led to a race meeting at Kilm… View the full article
-
Corey Brown is excited about his chances to win the Sydney Cup again - a race he had to win twice a … View the full article
-
Single Gaze will miss her scheduled swansong, with the Group One-winning mare withdrawn from the Syd… View the full article
-
As impressive as Hiyaam was in her front-running Vinery Stud Stakes win, it was what happened after … View the full article
-
Mighty Conqueror will took to make it two from two in the Nuggets Final before old bro Young Conquer… View the full article
-
He headlines a strong team for trainer Tony Herlihy on the night. View the full article
-
Sydney Cup winner Gallante won't run again till he strikes a wet track, Hamilton trainer Graeme Roge… View the full article
-
Gary Portelli has consigned She Will Reign's Oakleigh Plate run to the waste bin, but admits her mos… View the full article
-
Seen the result - maybe the winner was the omen bet!
-
If it wins I'll make it video of the week!
-
Graeme Rogerson says talented filly Contessa Vanessa makes his job easy. View the full article
-
Well-bred youngster Lite My Cigar is in good order for his return to racing at Rotorua tomorrow. View the full article
-
Sydney’s weather is playing against Danzdanzdance’s bid for glory in Saturday’s A$1 million Gr. 1 Au… View the full article
-
$2.3m on four legs. Photo: Darryl Sherer Article Author Darryl Sherer 11 April 2018 13 Comments The colt of the year from the best family in the southern hemisphere is how Anthony Freedman described the $2.3m brother to Shoals which sold at the Inglis Australian Easter yearling sale on Wednesday. Bidding opened on the Fastnet Rock colt, consigned by Arrowfield, at $500,000 and ended with Freedman, standing in the gateway to the right of auctioneer Jonathan D’Arcy, who described the colt as having 'the ultimate stallions page'. Freedman trains Group I Myer Classic and Surround Stakes winner Shoals and said his knowledge of her was instrumental in him wanting to buy the colt out of The Broken Shore, a Sydney winning half-sister to Redoute’s Choice and Manhattan Rain. “You’ve got to pay for these colts but knowing the family as I do I was very confident he was the right type,” Freedman said. “Knowing her and having that sort of intel gave me more confidence, he’s not too big and I think he’s just a bigger version of her. “I really only looked at him a couple of times but I’d seen enough to know he was the right horse, "It’s a lot of money but it’s the best family in the southern hemisphere and colts like this are hard to get - for me he was the colt of the year," Freedman said he came to the sale intending to bid on the October 26 foaled colt but hoping to buy. “I came here wanting to bid on him and buy him but you never really know until you get to the actual sale,” Freedman said. “It all came together late - we still had a little bit left in the tank, I didn’t want to walk away without having a good crack at buying him. “There’s a group of people we’d expect would be interested with some good clients in him as well but we’ll sort that out now we've got him.” The colt was one of 22 yearlings at the sale to sell for $1m or more and makes a total of 31 to sell for seven figures in Australia and New Zealand this year. At the conclusion of Book 1 of the 2018 Australian Easter yearling sale, the gross of $116,057,500 is second only to the 2008 Easter Yearling Sale. The sale average finished at $347,478, slightly down on 2017, with a median of $250,000 and a clearance rate of 84 percent compared to 87 percent in 2017. The leading vendor by gross was Arrowfield with $18,265,000 and the leading sire by gross was Snitzel with $21,685,000 at an average of $528,902 and seven to sell for $1m or more. Shadwell Stud spent $6,140,000 to be the biggest spender ahead of the Hong Kong Jockey Club
-
Englishman Harry Herbert is in Australia with high expectations for Libran in the Sydney Cup as the … View the full article