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Bit Of A Yarn

Avondale last 3 races


barryb

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5 minutes ago, barryb said:

Some tight finishes as Avondale today with the last 3 races decided by a nose, some big prices getting up across the day as well.

How do others go betting there, its just one of those venues I find it hard to get one across the line.

3 bets: 2 3rds and a 4th at $5.00+

Edited by FeelTheFear
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I suspect our resident nutter will come on claiming O'hara and Jimmy Rocket were Blue Print specials, and what are you complaining about.

Yet from yesterday and today, there have been 12 of them - and those were the only two winners. There are always going to be winners, but so many losers. The winners look good after they have won.

 

 

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31 minutes ago, mardigras said:

I suspect our resident nutter will come on claiming O'hara and Jimmy Rocket were Blue Print specials, and what are you complaining about.

Yet from yesterday and today, there have been 12 of them - and those were the only two winners. There are always going to be winners, but so many losers. The winners look good after they have won.

 

 

His race stimulations

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12 hours ago, barryb said:

Some tight finishes as Avondale today with the last 3 races decided by a nose, some big prices getting up across the day as well.

How do others go betting there, its just one of those venues I find it hard to get one across the line.

Don't worry Bazz...I'm hear for you sweetie

You HEAR me?..or SEE me...maybe just FEEL moi's presence??

Yesterday was yet another MASTERCLASS for the BP...

Its about having a niche for the nuances of NZ racing...

..an algorithm that has no emotion...it's like watching Paula Benneficiary without having to projectile vomit...

Magoo mentioned Jimmy...I had Jimmy's Derby run...after analysis of his unlucky run...getting within 3L of the winner...at level weights...at G1 level

Adding extra units for mid weak and an impeccable course record...I had Jimmy max units...

But the coup of the day was in the last...how many times has moi told you about racing well in far better class...back to mid weak?

LADY SEQUOYAH ran an excellent race in R 65 class...within 0.3secs of the winner...defeating multiple winners such as POKER FACE among others

Just 3L from STARRYBEEL last start...back right handed...2nd time in Blinkers

Ask yourself...22's...I had value at 12's...massive overs then

Nearly got the bikkies in the first with OUR BEESKEES too..after his massive effort 3L Black Type as a 2yo...14's way overs...

Its about looking for VALUE Bazz...with superior performances back to inferior

best

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43 minutes ago, barryb said:

Fark off Looney and stop ruining threads.

But Bazz....

no f'er offered how to fix your situation...

ftf a few placings...wtf does place bets other than multis?

And all grasshead could do was attack dog moi...

...as usual offering no solution 

Its counter intuitive to ignore SUPERIOR performances against SUPERIOR class back to MID WEAK

To then tell us LS beating multiple winners as a maiden, including POKER FACE,  is like investing on those neddys beginning with L and then S 

is nut bar stuff...

...but grasshead does that well

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1 hour ago, barryb said:

Yep, his bullshit BP after the race crap.

I have shifted him again to block to restore sanity.

Brainless. The BP that is akin to choosing a letter from the alphabet. Could have just chosen the letter N yesterday and had a nice collect off Nocturnal.

The facts are that the BP has the same relationship with chance of a horse in a race as choosing a letter of the alphabet does. Zero.

With the volume of anecdotal evidence I have put up pre race, (as opposed to winners post race), it's hard to argue with any form of intelligence against that. Let alone basic logic which also states that there is no relationship. Not that he'd understand that either.

Edited by mardigras
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1 hour ago, mardigras said:

Brainless. The BP that is akin to choosing a letter from the alphabet. Could have just chosen the letter N yesterday and had a nice collect off Nocturnal.

The facts are that the BP has the same relationship with chance of a horse in a race as choosing a letter of the alphabet does. Zero.

With the volume of anecdotal evidence I have put up pre race, (as opposed to winners post race), it's hard to argue with any form of intelligence against that. Let alone basic logic which also states that there is no relationship. Not that he'd understand that either.

So ya keep saying Magoo...

this sites turning into an insurgency of counterintuitiveness...

Lets split the Atom....if a maiden beats multiple winners of multiple races...races back in a maiden event.....mid weak...it clearly shows this neddy has ability beyond dunce class...

...and there's absolutely no connection to then selecting neddys starting with any letter of the alpha....ffs

Its the height of ignorance and stupidity to even suggest such a thing...

....your anecdotal is so far from the norm...you should be called Gunston...

...besides, let's talk about your elephant in the room

Your inability to compensate unlucky, wide without cover and/or slow

Just put up your 'thumbnails for once iron stain...instead of taking wild guesses about moi's

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25 minutes ago, Thomass said:

.if a maiden beats multiple winners of multiple races...races back in a maiden event.....mid weak...it clearly shows this neddy has ability beyond dunce class...

It may well do. It also may not. I can give you examples of horses doing that, that have never won a race.

What it doesn't do is show whether it has greater ability than the horses it is racing against in THIS race. And what it also doesn't do is relate to the horses CHANCE in THIS race. You keep writing stuff that is so easily refuted. And yet, I'm sure you'll be back again. And I'll be sure to give your posts another miss for a week. 

25 minutes ago, Thomass said:

...and there's absolutely no connection to then selecting neddys starting with any letter of the alpha....ffs

It has the same relationship with chance that the quote of yours above has. None. So I agree with the part about the letter of the horse's name not relating to chance. Well done. 

26 minutes ago, Thomass said:

...besides, let's talk about your elephant in the room

Your inability to compensate unlucky, wide without cover and/or slow

Why concern yourself with what others do that you don't understand. Others aren't telling people what can work for them long term. And that they have the answers.

You're the one telling everyone your blue print is what can help them with their punting. I've provided a massive amount of strong anecdotal evidence that you and your blue print are wrong. All you've done is provide post race winners. Which I can do as well - take Nocturnal as an example. Great price and followed the blue print of starting with the letter N. Tomorrow, I'll add to the blueprint and give you a different letter.

As for unlucky or any of that other stuff, I'm not sure what knowing that I ignore that stuff provides you. Not all punters bet based on trying to work out what a horse does from one race to the next. I don't. If I did, maybe I'd care. But I don't. I'm far more interested in assessing the horses ability overall - something one race is highly unlikely going to tell me. 

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