barryb

Stormy here tonight lads, been very heavy rain for 2 hrs now. I am only 1km from the track. Bank on a slow track

Nope quite the opposite, re-read my post. Theres a point in anything where a lines crossed and you need to ask is it worth sacrificing basic rights to contain a few idiots, idiot numbers are increasing in our society as idiots are allowed unabated breeding . Look at this forum and our mentally ill representative in the community (Thomass) whom is harmless enough until technology allows inflatable dolls to bear children.

Didn’t take long did it, check out stuff tonight regarding Greyhound Racing. There days are numbered, won’t be around in 2 yrs is my guess. Throughbreds will be next, those wishing for fireworks to be banned be bloody careful what you wish for, loons are everywhere in society, Thomass is a clear example of it.

Nice one Pam, good to get an intelligent objective opinion on it.

Thomass has turned into a bigger wanker than normal in the last week, It must be all this money he is losing on the failed BP and the fact he has no spare money for doll patches. I think we should in the spirit of Xmas all chip in and get T a new doll.

Let’s wait for the facts first, this is a bizarre case by the looks, did he murder her or did something go wrong? If guilty the shit should be publicly flogged for f—king our reputation worldwide.

Yes this is bloody scary, just imagine the numbers that would sign a petition to ban racing, it would be far in excess of this figure. The possibility is endless if the bullshit talked about banning fireworks gets any traction, loons like Thomass will be banned from shagging inflatable dolls next.

Cheif surely we can make an exception and remove this absolute f-ckwit. He must be turning so many off, he is making me think twice about bothering to come on here anymore.

Stupid, I am guessing this is far beyond your comprehension but to help a farking dumb shit like you I will explain. The tracks I mention support a leader/On Pacer outcome, now what do you think happens dumbo? There is a charge of the light brigade for the lead often at these tracks and getting the leader right becomes more of a guessing game. Comprehend fu-kwit?. PS: Dumb fark, go back to my post where I said it's not a precise science. Your inability to punt is obvious to all, no need to keep informing us to what we know is a given.

Haha, poor old Tommy the loser. Absolutely NFI, what a total dickhead.

Idiot, if you need it made clear to you then it's time you found something else to do. You will only ever be a loser, I guess we knew this regardless.

I have in rough in running positions which is good enough to help predict tempo of the race & where a horse might settle, I know that from those likely settling positions & also have data which shows where the winners settled. Unlike Mr T, I know its not a precise science but my information is right 60% of the time which is superior to most on the above. For instance on these tracks I know that Leaders/On Pacers win significantly more than other venues. Te Awamutu, Te Aroha, Ruakaka, Avondale. Now again I dont have buckets of data so I know that much of it is subjective. But its an edge on what the majority have and thats all that counts.

I am also struggling with his post above, its in jiberish & dribble. There is no bigger idiot on forums in NZ than our Mr T.

I back mine before the race T, not the day after like you do.

Hi VC Betting into the suggested price range and with a 2% investment component is very likely to see you broke in a short time. Mardi may like to comment on this, but losing the lot in quick time is almost guaranteed.

No only IDIOT is tattooed there.

& the absolute optimal way to bet multiple runners per race is using a fractional Kelly Criterion. I have used this for sports and racing over the years to huge effect.

Yep he could well be Looney, but unless you are the trainer or owner, how the fark do you know?. You don't, so you have to factor in that it handles it.

ok then SFB pleae explain to us all how you factor in a heavy10? Let me guess, you wont have a farking clue, like every other mad arse approach you have. LOONEY.

The majority of horses I back I don't expect them to win, the price they are paying tells me that its unlikely to win the race, I have in my opinion increased my chances of coming out ahead because I am backing it at overs, but unfortunately I don't have the ability to influence the outcome of the race. I can only bet on what I know long term works. The last statement from you is basic economic sence, if you continually take unders you will lose long term, taking unders is exactly the same as playing pokies long enough you will lose. The house in race betting has odds stacked in its favour and will eventually win if you keep betting horses at less than your theoretical chance. Constantly betting on overs and with an edge DOES NOT guarantee you will win long term either, you have increased your likelihood but thats all. Handling a huge run of outs mentally is far more important than any selection strategy ever will be.

Track conditions are very minor consideration for me. Wet tracks esp are incredibly variable and difficult to assess, I just assume that if the day starts heavy and the horse is in then it handles it. Of more importance is the track itself, right and left handed esp. If it gets back in the running then Te Awamutu is not the place to invest on it. I place my most significant weighting on in running position and race tempo.

Why?. You got it at nice overs, you dont expect everyone to win do you?. At $7.50 its a 13% chance.

I like it Huey, nice call on that one. In race 6 I am going to back Keilib, haha that is the 8.

Hesi, firstly mate its a dreadful race to be looking at. Secondly, stop looking at the horses last start and trying to assess its chances on that basis, the vast majority do that and they do the same as Thomarse, LOSE. Look at race 6 today, The fav is a crazy price, plenty of great bets in that race.

Trentham 13:20 tre R02 4 Bring To The Block $2.90 13:55 tre R03 3 Obrigado $2.70 15:05 tre R05 8 Marjolet $9.00 16:50 tre R08 12 She's Poppy $12.00 (great bet) taken at $41 17:30 tre R09 10 Jessiegee $10.00