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Thomass

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  1. So this is the blog that created the massive debate going on in Britain right now... Of course the French allowance was solely for the purpose of positive descrimination...nothing to do with the weaker sex needing a boost..for being weaker... ..but gee..the stats definitely indicate they balance the mainly physical superiority of Males up...just as it does with Horses...makes sense really TIME TO INTRODUCE A WEIGHT ALLOWANCE FOR FEMALE JOCKEYS IN BRITAIN AND IRELAND Four years ago, this column kicked the proverbial hornet’s nest when making the case for female jockeys being given a weight allowance in Britain and Ireland. A few months later, AP McCoy went public with similar views which served to bring the issue to the front pages of the racing press. I won’t repeat the case that I made back then, as my views remain the same. The original article (with updated stats on female participation in racing) can be found here and is recommended reading before continuing this article. Whenever this debate comes up, the opposing views tend to be entrenched on one of two sides. Some feel that female riders are just as capable as male riders, but are held back in their careers by deep-seated prejudices and sexism by trainers and owners. Others feel that female jockeys don’t succeed at a rate their participation levels suggest they should due to the disadvantage of being obliged to compete on level terms with males in spite of fundamental physical differences that only the most elite female riders have a realistic chance of overcoming. At the time the original article was published, all any of those on either side of the debate could do was theorise and speculate as to whether giving female jockeys a weight allowance was appropriate and what impact it would have if introduced. However, since there has been some highly-relevant evidence and data introduced into the mix from France that demands that the subject is revisited and discussed in Britain and Ireland. In early 2017, the French authorities shocked the racing world by announcing that from March 1st 2017 they would introduce a 2kg (4.4lb) weight allowance for all female riders that would apply to 90% of their races both on the Flat and over jumps, with the exceptions being Group/Graded/Listed races and Quinte+ races. They couldn’t have applied the allowance to Group/Graded/Listed races even if they wanted to, as any rider allowances such as an apprentice’s claim are not allowed to be utilised in such races. The stated aim of this brave and pioneering move was to incentivise owners and trainers to give more opportunities to female jockeys who had historically struggled to make a meaningful impact in French racing. The underlying hope was that increased numbers of rides for female jockeys would give them more opportunity to improve their skills on the job and develop into successful professional riders. However, it was a decision that was widely derided, with it being labelled as “offensive”, “sexist”, “unfair” and a “backhanded insult” by various female jockeys around the racing world. Despite the frosty reception it received, it was a move that has allowed the racing world to evaluate the real-world impact that a weight allowance has on the performance of female jockeys in a major racing jurisdiction. The change also promised to help answer the longstanding question of whether prejudice and sexism are indeed the root of the struggles of female jockeys. If that was the case, it wouldn’t have been expected to make a meaningful difference, as if the sex of the jockey was the primary issue, giving them a weight allowance wouldn’t change much. So, with well over two years of data in the books, what impact has the female weight allowance had in France? Firstly, considering just 14 female jockeys having ridden over jumps in France this year compared to 110 on the Flat in the same period, the impact of the weight allowance will be assessed using data solely from Flat racing. To establish the context for all of the numbers that follow, here are the year-by-year figures for rides, wins and strike rate of all jockeys on the Flat in France from 2015 to 2019. The 2019 numbers run up to July 31st. Total Rides Total Wins Total Strike Rate % 2015 50,725 4,837 9.54% 2016 50,612 4,780 9.44% 2017 50,038 4,762 9.52% 2018 49,248 4,723 9.59% 2019 23,879 2,236 9.36% Here are those same figures separated by the sex of rider. Bear in mind, the 2kg female weight allowance was introduced on March 1st2017 and was reduced to 1.5kg from March 1st 2018. Male Rides Male Wins Male % Strike Rate 2015 47,332 4,613 9.75% 2016 47,615 4,575 9.61% 2017 44,623 4,311 9.66% 2018 41,505 4,024 9.78% 2019 23,759 2,324 9.78% Female Rides Female Wins Female % Strike Rate 2015 3,393 224 6.60% 2016 2,997 205 6.84% 2017 5,415 451 8.33% 2018 7,743 699 9.03% 2019 4,292 341 7.95 The final numbers illustrate the changing proportion of rides and winners for female riders in those years in France. Female Rides as % of total rides Female Wins as % of total wins 2015 6.69% 4.63% 2016 5.92% 4.29% 2017 10.82% 9.47% 2018 15.72% 14.80% 2019 15.30% 12.80% As can be clearly seen, the impact of the weight allowance for female jockeys on the Flat in France has been quite sensational. In less than two years of the allowance being in play, female jockeys in France went from having just 5.92% of the total rides in 2016 to 15.72% of them in 2018. In the same time period, they went from winning just 4.29% of the total races to winning 14.8% of them. The strike rate for female jockeys increased from 6.84% to 9.03% in that time. This is particularly significant as their 9.03% strike rate was only slightly less than the 9.59% average strike rate across all jockeys in 2018. In 2016, not a single female jockey appeared in the top 50 riders based on either wins or prize money earned. In 2018, seven female jockeys did just that in the tables under both criteria. Those stats for 2018 read even better when one considers that the French authorities reduced the female allowance from 2kg to 1.5kg (3.3lb) from March 1st 2018. Thus, the reduced allowance was in play for the majority of racing in 2018, yet the female jockey stats still surged forward. While the female jockey win rates in 2019 up the end of July have slowed down a shade, an injury to the leading female jockey in France in 2018 Mickaelle Michel is likely to be a factor. Despite that, the percentage share of rides that female jockeys are getting has stayed much the same in 2019 as in 2018 and there are currently seven female jockeys in the top 50 riders in France. In a nutshell, in a very short space of time the female jockey weight allowance has all-but levelled the playing field between male and female riders across the full population of jockeys in France. For it to have such an incredible impact in just a handful of years is a ringing endorsement of the French authorities’ brave decision to implement it. One theory that the statistics blow out of the water is the view of some opponents of a female jockey weight allowance that it would be unfair as it would give too much of an advantage to them. If that was the case, the strike rate of horses ridden by females since the allowance was introduced would have been likely to be above the average strike rate across all riders. As the above statistics show, this hasn’t been the case. The allowance has resulted in the strike rate of female jockeys improving to marginally below that of the overall population, but no higher. This evidence suggests that the French authorities were accurate with their assessment of how much of a female rider allowance would be required to level the playing field across the full population of jockeys. This evidence also flies in the face of the oft-opined view that it is sexism amongst trainers and owners that holds back female jockeys. Given that the strike rate of female riders hasn’t risen above that of male riders since the allowance has been introduced, this strongly suggests that all involved were justified in using female jockeys much more sparingly prior to the allowance. Thus, the relative lack of female success was primarily driven by meritocracy playing out in an unfair system rather than sexism. Of course, just as the apprentice claim system is more advantageous to the best apprentices, the weight allowance for female jockeys will be most beneficial to the most talented female jockeys. However, rules should be set based on the average performers in a field, not the elite. These numbers show that across the entire population of female riders, the weight allowance has greatly increased opportunities and brought their overall level of success up to the average. In short, it has achieved exactly what it set out to. Just how successful the weight allowance for female jockeys has been in France is likely to come as a surprise to many on these shores. That is because it has hardly been covered at all in the British or Irish racing press, despite its significant relevance to those racing jurisdictions. It seems that both the racing media and authorities in both jurisdictions are far more comfortable maintaining the status quo than asking what can be uncomfortable questions. The extent to which British racing in particular is pushing the “male and female jockeys are equal” narrative has been vividly illustrated by the media and most tellingly the BHA’s public promotion of two studies by a University of Liverpool PHD student named Vanessa Cashmore in the last 18 months. Brief summaries and the conclusions of the studies can still be found on the BHA website here and here. Those with a basic working knowledge of statistical analysis are likely to have some serious queries about the methodologies used and the conclusions drawn from them based on the summaries given. However, it is difficult to give a fully-informed view on the credibility of the studies as enquiries revealed that neither study has been published in full or made available for scrutiny. In fact, the first of the studies for which the conclusions were publicised by the BHA and other media outlets over 18 months ago reportedly hasn’t even been completed yet. For various international media outlets and particularly the BHA to blindly promote the conclusions of these incomplete and unpublished studies, simply because they fit the narrative they want to push, seems irresponsible and unhelpful to the wider debate. The extent to which the publicising of them has influenced the wider discussion were shown by the President of Ireland Michael D Higgins publicly referring to them at the Galway races last week. Given the statistical significance and relevance of what has happened in France since the introduction of the weight allowance for female jockeys, one wonders will the BHA and indeed the other media outlets that were so keen to promote the Cashmore studies be as quick to trumpet the numbers revealed in this article. I won’t hold my breath. Ultimately, we as a racing industry have to decide what we want for female jockeys. While those that push the jockey equality narrative and oppose a weight allowance may believe they are furthering the cause of female jockeys, I would suggest the opposite is this case. The historical origins of female jockeys being obliged to compete on level terms with males were undeniably rooted in sexism and designed to keep female riders down. That many excellent female riders have overcome what is a fundamental disadvantage is to their great credit, but that doesn’t mean we should impose the same rigged playing field on the female riders of the future. We have decades of evidence of vast amounts of female participation in horse racing being diminished down to a tiny number that have had lasting successful careers as jockeys. The number of them that have made a consistent impact at the highest level of the sport is so small as to be all but non-existent. They say the definition of insanity is doing the same thing again and again and expecting a different result, but that is what the racing industry in this part of the world is doing when it comes to female jockeys. That men and women compete directly against each other in intense competition is one of horse racing’s greatest selling points. There is no question that increased success of female jockeys would be very much in the interest of the greater good of the sport. Yet, maintaining the status quo will condemn the careers of the majority of female jockeys before they get started. It will mean that only outstanding physical and mental outliers such as Julie Krone and Rachael Blackmore will be able to make a lasting impact at the highest level of the sport. Thus, the proposed introduction of a weight allowance for female jockeys in Britain and Ireland is a discussion that simply has to be had. While it may sound like an odd thing to say, it is also important that this discussion isn’t driven by the views of jockeys. Male jockeys will obviously oppose a change that is to their disadvantage and most female jockeys have tended to come out against such proposals in the past as to publicly support it could be interpreted as an admission of weakness. Rather than leaning on biased and compromised views, we now have highly-relevant data from France to drive this debate. What is needed now is bold leadership from the top of British and Irish racing to take this crucial evidence on board and make the right decision for the female jockeys that are such an important part of horse racing. The French led the way by bravely risking the wrath of gender politics in introducing a weight allowance for female jockeys. It has been such a spectacular success there that it cannot be ignored any longer. Indeed, Japan has recently followed them in by introducing a 2kg (4.4lb) weight allowance for female jockeys from March 1st this year. This is the direction that progressive racing nations are moving in. In the best interests of their female jockeys, Britain and Ireland should not allow themselves to get left behind.
  2. Seriously you have no IDEA about encouraging CLICK BAITERS and more REVENUE,! By deleting NAKED from the heading...half of all PunterS will bypass the BORING headline you've changed it to WAKE UP
  3. ....STATS And who said Stats ain't sexy?..even a simpleton Statsman who posts a single Year worth of Stats...as if that means anything...pfttt...will be impressed When the Gallop France suits decided they can't have an entire Gender...like the beautiful classy Francey Women gender....let go to waste... ...they gave them a Positive Descrimination nod...and threw them a few kilos off...and what Chick doesn't want some weight off...especially the hips...said the French Male misogynists And now 2 1/2 years of Stats have arrived...and WOWZER...who said it wouldn't work and it's unfair?? For the simpletons...like long since departed ignorami... ...these stats show the allowance...now reduced to 1 1/2kgs...has simply evened up the less than stronger Women riders ...to an almost even strike rate cf Male Jocks...and given them a whole new world of...RIDES! ...and so now the rabidly Male dominated society of Japan...the Japan Racing Association has decided to follow suit... More power to them...the sole Female, in the highest form of Racing there, may soon get some company...if the monstrous Male maelstrom that is Japan...allows it To establish the context for all of the numbers that follow, here are the year-by-year figures for rides, wins and strike rate of all jockeys on the Flat in France from 2015 to 2019. The 2019 numbers run up to July 31st. Total Rides Total Wins Total Strike Rate % 2015 50,725 4,837 9.54% 2016 50,612 4,780 9.44% 2017 50,038 4,762 9.52% 2018 49,248 4,723 9.59% 2019 23,879 2,236 9.36% Here are those same figures separated by the sex of rider. Bear in mind, the 2kg female weight allowance was introduced on March 1st2017 and was reduced to 1.5kg from March 1st 2018. Male Rides Male Wins Male % Strike Rate 2015 47,332 4,613 9.75% 2016 47,615 4,575 9.61% 2017 44,623 4,311 9.66% 2018 41,505 4,024 9.78% 2019 23,759 2,324 9.78% Female Rides Female Wins Female % Strike Rate 2015 3,393 224 6.60% 2016 2,997 205 6.84% 2017 5,415 451 8.33% 2018 7,743 699 9.03% 2019 4,292 341 7.95 The final numbers illustrate the changing proportion of rides and winners for female riders in those years in France. Female Rides as % of total rides Female Wins as % of total wins 2015 6.69% 4.63% 2016 5.92% 4.29% 2017 10.82% 9.47% 2018 15.72% 14.80% 2019 15.30% 12.80% As can be clearly seen, the impact of the weight allowance for female jockeys on the Flat in France has been quite sensational. In less than two years of the allowance being in play, female jockeys in France went from having just 5.92% of the total rides in 2016 to 15.72% of them in 2018. In the same time period, they went from winning just 4.29% of the total races to winning 14.8% of them. The strike rate for female jockeys increased from 6.84% to 9.03% in that time. This is particularly significant as their 9.03% strike rate was only slightly less than the 9.59% average strike rate across all jockeys in 2018. In 2016, not a single female jockey appeared in the top 50 riders based on either wins or prize money earned. In 2018, seven female jockeys did just that in the tables under both criteria. Those stats for 2018 read even better when one considers that the French authorities reduced the female allowance from 2kg to 1.5kg (3.3lb) from March 1st 2018. Thus, the reduced allowance was in play for the majority of racing in 2018, yet the female jockey stats still surged forward.
  4. Highly recommended viewing koppa... Netflix's 'The Great Hack'... Youd be a prime hackee I'm picking....click bait after click bait...following the Trump/Brexit Fake news...spreading Fake throughout the World until you become... FAKE
  5. Any Racing Industry has to have a base Integrity cost... To then have 2 extra panel members from the JCA hearing basic shit like 'fist pumping' or knock down interference that blind Fweedy Stipe ex Jockey can see is wanton waste of Industry money... We can't afford the Bludging 'reletive' terms...ok??
  6. So where have the Geldings gone if they're SO uncompetitive now then? Australia...where they have exactly the same RBH system? The problem stakeholders fail to grasp is that if 'Geldings' as a group are so badly off, they'll then drop in ratings when racing against a Mare so 'dramatically' better off...as they progress through each Band...if indeed that's a 'thing' ..each performance is assessed on an ALL IN Male basis...at face value Try reading this again,.. "An interesting fact contained within the statistics is the anomaly in the ratio between the male and female sexes as the quality of races increase. If there are a significant number of colts being sold on and thus reducing the overall pool of that sex, then why are the females not dominating the horse pool number wise at all levels of competition? This can only suggest that the fillies and mares are not competitive under the current structure or there are lack of programming options that ensure connections can see reason for keeping there fillies and mares in training." Again if you want to go back to your 'Pure Handicapping'... ...a 'Phar Lap' type performance from a maiden Gelding will see that horse go straight to Open Class....and I suggest straight overseas without racing here again Is that what you want?
  7. Deadly... Many moons ago...When I was head leader at the old Trentham sales...... ..the usual root would be a general loop around the sales complex avoiding any loose az yearlings...especially from those hopeless horsemen at Cambridge Stud...who failed to hold on..even after an entire boring night...asleep alors...we'd usually had 3 Depth Charges ( a jug of beer with a whiskey shooter in the base of said jug) before we arrived...with 2 hours sleep... Our neddys were so well trained that one day after stopping for a barf against the Cambridge Stud entertainment tent...the alternate root...My Filly felt so sorry for the food poisoning I was experiencing... ...that she stuck her near fore over my near shoulder as a nod to the compassion she was feeling while moi was barfing ...now that's what you call an in control horse in what could have been an out of control situation...
  8. This bares no comparison to the statement that our best Colts are exported...with the odd Filly.... All sexes get injured....who knew?
  9. Ive been banging on about getting rid of those Cloth Head covered wannabees at the JCA for honks koppa... Its a 'Rolls Royce' system for an East German, or was it Russian, Trabant fume spitter... Let's face it..Ex Jock Matty Willy knows a knock down Jock tactic when he sees one...he dont need a Cloth Head wannabe High Court Judge to agree ffs... ...although it took him sometime to recognise a real time cramp when that crooked az David Walker pulled one out... The JCA is a complete waste of money...you know it ...we've got it ass about face..dish out the basic Interference, hand salute fine, diuretic imbibing on a day to day basis...easy az... And if the wee f'ers ain't happy after that... ..give them an opportunity to Appeal to a Higher Being...just like Oz Then and only then can they cry off to their Mammys...who might listen to them
  10. Muz doth jest doesn't he slb? Methinks he could be Emms partner?? So I can feel his pain...skinny blonde male jockeys are being over taken by not only WOMEN but light az Asian boys...
  11. Soz I didn't get back to you last night... Me and mine have been doing cross fit sets all night at a secret West Coast Beach...talk about march...exhausted az WRT Farr...jocks can never be too complacent when it comes to retaining the perfect seat...especially Jumps Jocks... ...Handbreak has an exemplary pedigree in the Jumps sphere...his Dad, Bro and son have all been Jumps Jocks... The Hazza would be the person to turn to re-check if the 'seat' is all tickety boo being the riding master with access to the fake horse Emms has to ask herself..."why am I topping the table for falls this year" BTW...always use the space button after a comma and double click after a full stop...it makes reading smack talk easier...best
  12. Is the standard the same as Jockeys pissed in charge Freddy/Freda/Fred? You could say....Jockey in charge 2 stubbies...fine... Trainer 5 Stubbies and a chaser...should be fine to lead around a neddy on a short lead without tripping...surely?
  13. A few glitches from time to time but overall they're doing ok trying to connect with the Generation Zorbs of social media Kate Gordie's behind it...the ex TVNZ Journo who got the DCM for plagerism... ..but hey..we take anyone with a past in the Racing Industry... The Track Manager Videos are part of their Comedy section too...hilarious stuff
  14. Says a website owner who gets confused reading race results v an actual Handicapper with GRAVITAS in the game How did the bedtime reading go last night? Did you take into account the fact our blue blood boys get shipped...and smart operators like Davo realised this... ...and simply go out and buy superior speedy Aussie breds? Remembering our system should stay true to 'Pure' World Handicapping and refuse to accept we're special needs with special rules...if indeed you believe Females are dicking the poor Males...which they're not
  15. So do Trainers get drug tested as well Freda? Drunk in charge of a neddy could have safety questions...but a Stoner would be a whole lot calmer around a flighty Filly and could in fact settle her? Good horsemanship right there... What about a Trainer showing up with headphones like the AB's do... ...with dance party music going...like some Harness Trainers do in CHCH...who are also into supply and demand as a 2nd job... Should they immediately be under suspicion for MDMA imbibing... ...or is that Profiling and against the Geneva Convention?
  16. A bit of both by the looks Freda... "Mr Oatham had Stipendiary Steward, Mr J M McLaughlin, show video replays of the last 600 metres of the race. He pointed out ROCK ISLAND LINE, ridden by Mr Hong, racing in last position in the 13-horse field, being drawn wide by Mr Hong as the field entered the final straight. He then showed Mr Hong commence using his whip shortly thereafter. Mr McLaughlin said that the Committee needed to look at Mr Hong’s use of the whip “in totality” for the length of the straight. Mr Hong had passed one other runner approaching the 200 metres. He continued to use his whip until inside the 100 metres. There was an early five-stride respite, Mr McLaughlin said, but the horse was not making ground. Inside the 200 metres, Mr Hong continued using his whip “well over five times”, and has passed only three other runners, he said. Stewards estimated that Mr Hong had used his whip approximately 30 times in the final straight, Mr McLaughlin said. Mr Oatham said that Stewards were concerned with the totality of Mr Hong’s whip use – close to 30 times in the final straight, he submitted – on a horse that had only struggled to pass three horses that were being eased down. There was only one break for the full five strides in the home straight, Mr Oatham alleged, and the whip action was so “quickfire” that it was giving the horse no chance to respond to it." So BB Gun still broke the 5 stride on/off rule
  17. I've counted @ 8 times she's eaten mud this jumps season... Yesterdays was definitely a shocker..a slight inward movement from the horse or slip and she gets Shang highed... ..appears to be riding a couple of clicks too high.. ..remembering woman have far bigger thighs and shorter pins...and perhaps her point of balance needs correcting with NGH mentoring her on the fake horse??
  18. Go away... You're simply making wild claims of a non factual assumptive basis... ....and then your fellow agent provocateur thinks reducing the allowance back by 0.5 kgs will make 0.05/8 ths of f all of a length difference cop on
  19. WHat...and sing khum by arrrrrg Weas..hand in hand.... Pshyc 101? Any 'Management/Board' who came up with the original were either pissed or handed a bunch of folding from NZ Bloodstock to hype up their event... They deserved any serve they got....fancy counting a Restricted Listed race to last place and ignoring a G 2 placing ...and expecting a "well done chumps" after realising they f'd up the most prestigious race in NZ... ...and then not knowing their Employees f'd up the Runner Ups gear app? But wait there's more...then their employees lied when questioned about it... ..were there any warnings by ELLERSLIE's management or sackings for not following the required Starting Manual procedures...yea na ...oh yea...the RIU slapped the Starters wrist...ouchy ouchy obtusey
  20. He's posted 6 years of figures indicating the need for what he suggested they do.... Have YOU READ ANYTHING YET...or do I have to post all links?? The RBH has absolutely nothing to do with our present situation...it improved our dire straits But then we had the massive influx of ridiculous SW& f all Penalty races that helped aging Geldings no end... ...to the detriment of Punting friendly Handicaps
  21. Obviously not...go away to bed and read it...or you just enjoy making ill informed statements?
  22. 0.5 kgs is having that much affect eh? Wake up... without a RBH system we'd be in dire straits Have you read...ANYTHING yet?
  23. Seriously? A 0.5kg in 'your' World is sfa of 5/8 of f all though.... =? You tell moi...when it gets to infinitesimal I'm totes lost He identified the problem to a tee...Mares were having trouble getting through the classes...what I said RBH is perfect for that process...and it's working
  24. As I say...read the Handicapping guide..do you want the link? Then go on to read the review we had... Read and learn From the statistical information included it is difficult to justify the decision to have a reduced fillies and mares allowance in the handicap events. The figures suggest that the female sex are not dominating any class of race save for the recently introduced Rating 70 set weight events where the age and sex allowance is incorporated within the actual race condition weight. An interesting fact contained within the statistics is the anomaly in the ratio between the male and female sexes as the quality of races increase. If there are a significant number of colts being sold on and thus reducing the overall pool of that sex, then why are the females not dominating the horse pool number wise at all levels of competition? This can only suggest that the fillies and mares are not competitive under the current structure or there are lack of programming options that ensure connections can see reason for keeping their fillies and mares in training. It is apparent that the mares unlike other regions are unable to collate a significant number of wins in New Zealand, whilst competitive at the one and two win level, unless stakes performed, opportunity soon decreases and as the quality of competition increases to success rate of the mares decline. On reviewing the differentials between the mare pools within Australia and New Zealand it is noticeable that the better performed fillies and mares in Australia win significantly more races. This fact cannot be denied, to assist the breeding platform an increase in opportunity for this sex must be considered.
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