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Bit Of A Yarn

Punting 1.01


mardigras

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8 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Yes, normal people can actually observe a race...instead of relying on simple 'speed' stats

...some who cover extra ground, while over racing after being checked then blocked

...wake up

You rely on the opinion of others to form an opinion as to the supposed impact.

If a horse is blocked for the entire straight at Trentham, what's the adjustment. Can't wait for you to evade the question as usual.

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14 hours ago, hesi said:

Sorry missed that

Would you mind re-posting detail of how you won 10k from $200.

If the blueprint or strategy or whatever you call it has no flaws, how about doing us all a favour for a short while, like Barry did, and post your selections for each meeting.

Saying what you would have picked after the races, does not really cut it with people on here, I'm sure you will understand that

That's ok, you can't be everywhere

Twas a mix of win and 'certain' place bets to double the impact of the winners..

Not a lot realise that a $2 shot doubles your return...who knew??  Not McFly

16's, 8's and 5's were the winners if I remember...all Blue Print...mainly Spec maidens back to mid weak..which is GOLD form..I know it, you now know it

Obviously I used a tad of poetic license in describing perfection

Punters are always learning and tweaking to obtain perfection...like Moi

I'm surprised you missed The tipping MASTERCLASS I gave in October though...I plastered all over the show 

The Tri, q and winner of the last 3 races...IN ONE...from 4 race selections

Im always open to questions on how to adopt the BP so fire away McDuff...

Simply tipping may feed the poor for a day...after Bazz's "horrendous run of outs"

But giving someone the ability to WIN FOR THE REST OF THRIR LIVES

...well, I should be getting a QSO at the very least for that

best

btw I don't do 'tipping'...that's merely an exercise in 

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Just now, mardigras said:

I've used the blue print to put up selections that 100% match it, it clearly can't be used to win for the rest of their lives.

Which means either you are a fraud or you've missed key ingredients from the blueprint.

Which is it?

This is just like the Neverending Story...

Amazingly you keep claiming this 100% b/s..yet you don't recognise basic stuff like 'wide without cover' ...et el

A career best performance then.....can pass you by like a Tinkabelle on Acid...drifting away on a puffy cloud...never to be grasped again...

Reach the stars
Fly a fantasy
Dream a dream
And what you see will be

Rhymes that keep their secrets
Will unfold behind the clouds
And there upon a rainbow
Is the answer to a never ending story
 

Take some Acid is my advice

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Just more of your usual crap. You've been found out, everyone is on to you Mr Fraud.

I don't need to know about what you wrote since none of it is needed to find a selection that matches your very own blueprint.

When I've put selections up and asked which ones match the blueprint, never have you answered before the races. NEVER. Mr Fraud.

Credibility Zero!

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2 minutes ago, Thomass said:

That's rather mischievous 

Have you ever seen McFlys account...like I showed?

Or tipped a Tri, q and winner...ALL IN ONE

Methinks that's not art...but REALITY TV

Recognise

Would you like proof of winning over the last 20 years? Not just one day, anyone can do that? Especially you showing one day of wins once, over a nine month period. Not bad.

I've provided it before. Can do so again. Only you'll call me arrogant for doing it. But you will still run away with your tail between your legs because you're a loser. 

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I ain't got time for your nonsense most likely...in that moment of time

lost forever...

But let's do a case study

What was wrong with the best ever performance from FLAMINGO behind M STAR

at level weights...on the course...and using that BT superior stuff 

back to a Rating band...with a mares allowance...and with her excellent course stats

...with the Jockey outed last start for a soft ride...

prepping it for the ultimate goal...of the Douro

10's was UN BE F IN LEAVABLE!!

Take some Acid and feel how good it must have felt...to be me

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27 minutes ago, mardigras said:

Would you like proof of winning over the last 20 years? Not just one day, anyone can do that? Especially you showing one day of wins once, over a nine month period. Not bad.

I've provided it before. Can do so again. Only you'll call me arrogant for doing it. But you will still run away with your tail between your legs because you're a loser. 

Yea go for it...a day in the life of McFly like I did....will be tickety boo hoo

I never said you weren't making at least something...

It was the continual sophistry that you Bazz and wee c showed...in saying yours was the only way

...and even if I made a living from my way

...you said it'll end in tears...even after years

Superior Black Type form can't possibly win in inferior class

After moi finds value connecting things like 'wide without cover'

then applying shit like that...

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10 minutes ago, Thomass said:

It was the continual sophistry that you Bazz and wee c showed...in saying yours was the only way

Liar. Never been stated.

11 minutes ago, Thomass said:

and even if I made a living from my way

...you said it'll end in tears...even after years

You don't. And again, it isn't whatever it is you do that has been labelled flawed, it's the blue print that has been labelled flawed. Which it is.

14 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Superior Black Type form can't possibly win in inferior class

Lies, never been stated.

The blue print of down in grade is what is flawed. Horses will win that are down in grade, but the blue print of following that is flawed.

These are not my rules. These are the rules of the science relating to population statistics.

Can you not understand basic English.

You're a waste of space. You've put the evidence up that you are a fraud. Case closed.

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It ain't my fault if your 'speed' ratings aint got the intellectual capacity to measure a simple mathematical equation that Bazz and you hadn't heard of...

What were you doing the day they taught that at kindy?

Take another example from Sat. In MACY

A career high race in BT....within 2L of the winner back to a favoured wet track in Rating 72...in a small field...yet another nuance I use

Max 10 units multied into the other Max for the day in FLAMINGO

Only a dingo couldn't work out Black Type...back in grade

 

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17 minutes ago, hesi said:

I'm only back to try and get rid of you somehow

If that doesn't eventuate then I'm gone

Oh no...well can you take that elsewhere and stop corrupting this thread?

Free willy is at stake here

Willy aka McFly...has been captured by Magoo and he needs to get to spacsavers 

ASAP

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Only back for a couple days work, but what the fudge is going on here ? 

I think everybody needs to take a swim at the beach and chill out on the sand  ...  :) 

It seems Mardi, that you don't understand, its actually you at fault for the majority of these rubbish posts (inciting a troll will never have a good outcome) in this topic. 

The original subject, which was interesting for some,  degenerated in to a fiasco because you couldn't take criticism of your so called punting value.  Surely the tank was allowed to inquire in to some of your methods, this is a free forum. No one person or grouping is above any one else, so all opinions are valid.    

i have not explored further in the forum to find out about hesi, other than his post in the punt comp thread, so i'll leave that alone till I find out where and what. 

But most assuredly the Chief has run a great free forum and responded correctly to all the posts I have read.   

Anyway, a couple of days work and back up North to enjoy d first of the heads and a few beers ...

good punting to all however you try and work it out ... :) 

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4 minutes ago, Mk2_Zephyr said:

 

It seems Mardi, that you don't understand, its actually you at fault for the majority of these rubbish posts (inciting a troll will never have a good outcome) in this topic. 

The original subject, which was interesting for some,  degenerated in to a fiasco because you couldn't take criticism of your so called punting value.  Surely the tank was allowed to inquire in to some of your methods, this is a free forum. 

Sure. You're right though that I don't understand that diverting threads, irrelevant pictures etc are all my fault. But you are entitled to your opinion on that.

However, could you quote me rather than making a statement claiming something. Just put up any post where I couldn't take criticism of my so called punting value. Thanks.

I've provided full details of my methods. Always been happy to. And have always said there isn't only one way. 

Look forward to my quote supporting your statement. Thanks.

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Here's one for our stats loving friends. 

Can someone explain why horses that win at their last start (so surely regarded as in form), then get blinkers on first time at their next start, have won a lot less relatively than horses that won their last start and just raced their next start without adding blinkers. I can't understand it - that a trainer would do that since they would have trialled them and known that their horse that was in form would improve with blinkers added.

Maybe when they won, they weren't actually in form at all.

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7 hours ago, Mk2_Zephyr said:

Here is one for you marty,

Please post your values for this Saturday early, then we can truly see how your theory works.

because all I have seen so far has been, comments after the horse has bolted .... :) 

Open your eyes then. Since I've posted selections before the races on this site. Many of them. Go and read them, add up the winning dividends and the total number of selections, then tell me you have only seen comments after the horse has bolted. Try the $10+ value thread - and also the NZ Cup one for starters.

As for this Saturday, I'd be happy to except I am at a wedding this weekend and I won't be betting. Might put some up the following week. Some on here are not afraid to do so. 

This thread has been about the basics of punting to win. If you have something worth contributing, put it up. Haven't seen anything from you on that so far.

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On 29/01/2019 at 9:29 PM, mardigras said:

Here's one for our stats loving friends. 

Can someone explain why horses that win at their last start (so surely regarded as in form), then get blinkers on first time at their next start, have won a lot less relatively than horses that won their last start and just raced their next start without adding blinkers. I can't understand it - that a trainer would do that since they would have trialled them and known that their horse that was in form would improve with blinkers added.

Maybe when they won, they weren't actually in form at all.

Hilarious stats statsman

Being a HORSEMAN....and a reader of horse psychology/trainer mind reader

My advice is to dismiss such irrelevance stats

The neddys' would have been joining more esteemed opposition I.e. Black type more than likely

And the trainer would have been endeavouring to squeeze every last slurp of juice out of the pip....

It obviously worked well in Jammie Richards raisin day tear on Millions day though

Both the winner and runner up had VISORS on first time...after the winner won the previous start

Now I know you didn't realise VISORS are more or less BLINKERS once a upon a time

So you wouldn't have realised the change for the Kraka Millions...

But now you do...congrats

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16 minutes ago, Thomass said:

The neddys' would have been joining more esteemed opposition I.e. Black type more than likely

Wrong again. 

As per your example, why does your rule only seem to apply after the race where you can cite winners?

Show us some before the race if you want credibility.

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It's simply counterintuitive to think Jammie would insert VB's without thoroughly trialling said neddys first

PROBABEEL was oustanding in her previous win...so why would Jammie insert gear in such a big race without researching it first

Same as LONG LEAF...as you know I'm all over Aus form...Black Type form is superior to ours...who knew?

and added 1unit extra for tWinkers going on first time...

Why wouldn't you trust Haysy ffs?

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50 minutes ago, Thomass said:

 

Why wouldn't you trust Haysy ffs?

Because it's counter intuitive to do so, since his results from doing that are poor and you haven't told us how to identify which ones will do better from those that won't - before the race. How come you can't do that? 

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