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Bit Of A Yarn

Market Monopolies Create Inefficiency: well unless you are Winnie and it's the NZ TAB.


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44 minutes ago, aquaman said:

Yes I do. And if you take your bias out of the equation you would to

What bias? All the evidence suggests that if you add or remove products, the existing punters will still lose the same amount betting as they did before.

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21 minutes ago, aquaman said:

Evidence suggests a good portion of punters are code specific, a good portion will be lost to the churn. I'm confident it cannot enhance their business.

If there is such evidence, at this stage anyway, code specific punters will still be able to bet on the code, just not NZ racing.

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As I mentioned many months ago, Geo Blocking is off the table, common sense prevails.

Seems they will rely on amendments to the Racing Act to stop NZs punting overseas. Wouldn’t worry too much, won’t happen until at least 2026. 
 

And about the $180m figure mentioned, what makes Entain think they will scoop most of this if they are successful?  I use Sportsbet, TAB & Betcha, all offer something different and seperate promos. 
If I can no longer bet with Sportsbet, i won’t increase my spend with TAB or Betcha, I’m not that desperate. 
Surely won’t be too many punters that bet solely with Aus operators, I don’t understand.

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1 hour ago, Newmarket said:

As I mentioned many months ago, Geo Blocking is off the table, common sense prevails.

Seems they will rely on amendments to the Racing Act to stop NZs punting overseas. Wouldn’t worry too much, won’t happen until at least 2026. 
 

And about the $180m figure mentioned, what makes Entain think they will scoop most of this if they are successful?  I use Sportsbet, TAB & Betcha, all offer something different and seperate promos. 
If I can no longer bet with Sportsbet, i won’t increase my spend with TAB or Betcha, I’m not that desperate. 
Surely won’t be too many punters that bet solely with Aus operators, I don’t understand.

NZTR are planning for it to be in effect by February as of the latest road show info. They've tentatively budgeted for the extra money.

I'm similar to you though. I do 5-10% of my turnover on TAB/Betcha. That will probably halve once the 'no deductions' is gone. If I can't bet overseas, I'm still not going to find any more bets at value on the NZTAB unless they significantly improve their pricing.  They certainly won't get any of the turnover that I currently bet offshore. I'm sure there are many like us. I'd love to see the business case for this. I wonder if that could be obtained? Perhaps by an OIA request if necessary?

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