mardigras Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 8 hours ago, barryb said: Thomass only measures one thing and it’s not a winner either. He certainly is the forums whipping boy, how can a person be so consistently stupid and still get around each day. The ankle monitor might mean he doesn't actually get around! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 9 hours ago, curious said: Mind you I can see why Thommo might like that strategy as it would reduce his loss rate to somewhere round 5.65% per bet, excluding the extra 30% for any which have blinkers on. The major thing which is evident in betting day to day, is that Thomass thinks the way many do. Many punters can't determine the actual performance of the horse, but they have the class of the race to work from. The end result being those that have under-performed for that level of race, end up being massively under-value. Those results I put up demonstrate that clearly. They are largely starting at short odds no doubt because of the 'Thomass' factor. But they shouldn't be - which provides the opportunities for the punters that understand actual performance. As I said in another thread. He simply doesn't have the intelligence to understand most things. And punting is clearly one of those things. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 The worry for him is reading the instructions for patching the Princess. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weasel Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 On 30/09/2018 at 9:58 PM, FeelTheFear said: no badgering Hesi thanks for the back up FTF...not nice to have my Captain in the Comp be so unkind...reckon he lost a dollar or two on Interlocutor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedley Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Riccarton R2 #13 DREAMTESTA..no room very wide out seeking to wind up travelling Well last time...drawn badly today though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 27 minutes ago, Hedley said: Riccarton R2 #13 DREAMTESTA..no room very wide out seeking to wind up travelling Well last time...drawn badly today though. thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 jmac ride race 7 syd no.2 m walker melb race 4 no.1 currently 26s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 3 hours ago, Weasel said: thanks for the back up FTF...not nice to have my Captain in the Comp be so unkind...reckon he lost a dollar or two on Interlocutor It's understandable, Hesi is short for Hessian I believe. A warrior class...or woven cloth bag. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 55 minutes ago, Hedley said: Riccarton R2 #13 DREAMTESTA..no room very wide out seeking to wind up travelling Well last time...drawn badly today though. Has ability Hedley and won 2 trials before that first up effort. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Hastings today 12:30 has R01 9 Kamanda Lincoln 13:05 has R02 4 Awatane 13:40 has R03 4 Hugo The Boss 14:15 has R04 11 Keltic Rockstar 14:50 has R05 12 Star Performance 15:25 has R06 12 Princess Sapphire 16:00 has R07 2 Hunta Pence 16:35 has R08 12 Danzdanzdance 17:50 has R10 7 Smokin' Oak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 you out there tommy any pak n save specials for today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 5, 2018 Author Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, Hedley said: Riccarton R2 #13 DREAMTESTA..no room very wide out seeking to wind up travelling Well last time...drawn badly today though. unlucky good place divvy well done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, barryb said: Hastings today 12:30 has R01 9 Kamanda Lincoln 13:05 has R02 4 Awatane 13:40 has R03 4 Hugo The Boss 14:15 has R04 11 Keltic Rockstar 14:50 has R05 12 Star Performance 15:25 has R06 12 Princess Sapphire 16:00 has R07 2 Hunta Pence 16:35 has R08 12 Danzdanzdance 17:50 has R10 7 Smokin' Oak off to good start baz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 For lovers of Thomass Down In Grade selections. R5, Our Beeskees. 3L off the winner in a Listed event - in a race run to a level of that. Today in a maiden. For me, too short. Would need to be in excess of $10s. Of course those stats aren't that useful from a straight punting perspective. Stats aren't. They don't consider the other horses being raced against and their merits for the race in question. And the last time I looked, you have to beat your competition to win the race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 On 6/10/2018 at 6:32 AM, mardigras said: The major thing which is evident in betting day to day, is that Thomass thinks the way many do. Many punters can't determine the actual performance of the horse, but they have the class of the race to work from. The end result being those that have under-performed for that level of race, end up being massively under-value. Those results I put up demonstrate that clearly. They are largely starting at short odds no doubt because of the 'Thomass' factor. But they shouldn't be - which provides the opportunities for the punters that understand actual performance. As I said in another thread. He simply doesn't have the intelligence to understand most things. And punting is clearly one of those things. The major thing evident... ..is that when you finally release the grip on your bellend for the day...to take a dump...you make a lot of people relieved..for 10 wonderful minutes...5 if your Mammy cooked grits for the morning All this from some Nobody who hasn't the foggiest about punting in NZ... The nuances and niches needed are a complete f in mystery to you... And then you foot in mouth...like no other "but you didn't tip any $10 plus" When Nothing won over 6's... The TIPPING MASTERCLASS of Tri, Q and winner...in one... ...all following the SUPERIOR FORM back to INFERIOR CLASS Recognise...you're out of your depth here...stick to Dipton and Narrabine Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 I'm quite happy being a nobody. Better than being someone so stupid they suggest they actually gave a tipping masterclass. A set of tips that actually lost money. Ho ho ho. As for you not tipping $10 tips. That wasn't anything to do with putting up tips. it was to do with the title of the thread - your English is so poor, you can't even read the titles. But on price, I like the fact you're having to resort to spruiking $1.20 shots now - after the race of course. Keep them coming. Your arguments will not succeed because you don't work with facts. Stats are useless and things like blinkers on, down in grade are stats based. Useless. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 (edited) Why do you keep producing stat after useless stat then statsman? Stats that bare no resemblance to what actually happens in real form analysis... ...you know the big ELEPHANT in your cluless perspicacity room... You treat every horse as a lane runner...no unlucky runs, no wide without cover, slow out... ...you name it...Magoo you is... ...and that's why you think 6L after the perfect trail..is the same as 6L unlucky ...Making no adjustment to your f'ed time ratings... Thats why you selected a slow maiden mid weak winner over a G3 HQ performer as I've previously highlighted Clueless inaccurate stats they is...give up Oh you have already...you don't bet here ffs You're the stranded pony ...Im the Bull Edited October 7, 2018 by Thomass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 Stats as a betting tool are useless. But as a means to highlight why your methods are flawed, they are perfect. And given the methods you have put up as your blue print are exactly based on generic 'stats', it's interesting you claim they are no good, but your blue print 100% revolves around them. So thanks for confirming that your blue print is for nutters. Everything you do is based on generalisations. Which is why you keep losing and keep wanting more information to try and work out why you lose 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 Generic is assuming I'm treating every Black type performance as 3L and under you fool... I can easily find a 10L Black Type performance as superior to a maiden win...after allowances ...whereas you can't... ...you're too stupid to realise timing each run as a 'lane race' is the Generic version of 'form analysis' you so hate If any punter is too stupid to not make a profit after a TIPPING MASTERCLASS of the Tri, Q and winner..in one... ...then I can't help them any further... ...maybe they need locking up with you for a dose of cop the f on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 7, 2018 Share Posted October 7, 2018 I couldn't give a toss what you do. But your blue print is generic. End of story. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 You're the only one fighting on...pointlessly... ...Black Knight you is...armless, legless, brainless... ...and I shot your block and tackle off last week with a TIPPING MASTERCLASS... ...you love going backwards at the rate of knots... ...best you join a Coxless four methinks... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 What are you still doing up T?, I thought you would have long had your hot choc and be in bed with the Princess. Has she gone down on you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 8 hours ago, Thomass said: You're the only one fighting on...pointlessly... What do you mean fighting on. I'm not fighting on about anything. I'm simply telling you facts. Verifiable facts. Your blue print has zero correlation with providing punters with more success, yet for some weird reason, you keep going on that it does. I've given you the evidence. You just don't have the mental capacity to understand it. You're the one that keeps coming back and showing everyone just how thick you are in regards these things. And no doubt you will be back again to repeat the dose. I'm quite happy putting the stats up that refute your claims about your blue print. And will do so, while you keep showing us your inability to actually understand simple stuff. You don't even understand that there are likely no population based generic 'blue prints' that can make a punter more successful - yet every one of your blue print elements is that. You should have got yourself an education instead of spending your time behind the bike sheds pumping up your doll. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted October 8, 2018 Share Posted October 8, 2018 38 minutes ago, mardigras said: You don't even understand that there are likely no population based generic 'blue prints' that can make a punter more successful - Evidently the remedial classes are still not working. Must have failed them again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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