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Bit Of A Yarn

BODs = Bets of the Day


Weasel

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The intention here is for people to post some decent value bets for the day.

That means TODAY .. and it means BEFORE THE RACE.

I fear a certain person whose name begins with T will use it as a place to post female BODs wearing not very much clothing, but that's a risk I have to take.

I'll start:

Rotorua R2   RAAJ ...not the safest jumper but won here on this day last year and at $35-1 FO is worth a modest speculator each way.

 

 

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12 minutes ago, hesi said:

They couldn't get enough of Jochen Rindt last week.  Down in weight and good course stats, was surprised to see it at 11/3.50 FF

Poor Jochen Rindt got "Tedded" last week - he tipped it out on social media before the event.  His tips generally go much better when he tells people after the event.

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a couple more from me

 

R2 Rosehill  THE MACALLAN $4.80 ...ex-Kiwi looks a progressive type, now with Waller, good 3rd Oz debut, J Mac aboard

R10 Rotorua VALANTE $11 and DELUXE EDITION  ($35)  - two Tavistocks that handle bad ground (!!) both with 3kg off. I'm looking forward to hearing George call it DULUX EDITION (again, LOL)

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arp R01 12 Senassy           
arp R02  5 Nek Minnit        
arp R05  7 Secret Angel      
arp R08  5 Jochen Rindt      
arp R09  9 Century Miss      
arp R10 11 Deluxe Edition    
awa R04  2 Yin Dragon        
awa R07  7 Onawing           

Me today

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8 minutes ago, mardigras said:

Well done to you and Weasel with that one. 

But let's not forget, we still have to hear from Thomass on Monday with a selection of winners.

by Monday I expect he will have found both Magnanimous Man and Deluxe Edition among a veritable treasure trove of 'value bets'

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4 hours ago, Weasel said:

by Monday I expect he will have found both Magnanimous Man and Deluxe Edition among a veritable treasure trove of 'value bets'

I got a post race winner for Thomass. Worthless now, but it will trump his Magnaminous Man I think. This winner started at SP $90.

 

Belmont.jpg

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Great tipping wease and Bazz....

...good to see you've taken moi's advise finally...

...Regards investing on "fit seasoned horses, especially at this time of the year"

DE is the ultimate back up neddy...raced 3 days previously after a tough early run and snagged back...3kgs off and tough and seasoned to win on the slower part of the track as well

...last year backed up 2 days later to win then another 6 days after that to run well again...

Ive written previously in many dispatches about back up horses...those that enjoy the work...who're gold in Winter...

Youd have also noted mid week THATS LOUIS had run well when 3rd after the quick back up...won easily in the bog at 23's...again a very fit seasoned horse who enjoys racing...and needs it...

Not some piss'n'fart Ozzie sprinter who can't handle mud kicked in its face...the horsey equivalent of the conjoined twins curious and ridiculous ridney rude

So it's not only about superior form back to inferior company...such as KEEP IT SAVVY with good 3Yo Premier form....with BO First Time...straight to the lead and blitzed them at 8's...

ffs...and that should have been reported...as it is in Arse

Thanks Bazz...

A great weekends punting...just remember the guidelines Bazz.....fit and seasoned, superior form and add 20% for BO...

best

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Oh Tommy Tommy Thomass

You are SO clever validating after the event the picks posted on Saturday by my weasely-self and Bazz before the event.

Given your wise, self-loving, self-praising and all-knowing nature, a cupla questions come to mind (no doubt you can and will answer them!):

  • Why didn't you tip Tommyra to win?
  • Did Deluxe Edition have 'superior form'? And if it was so superior, how come it started at 25-1?
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12 hours ago, barryb said:

The question I have weasel is why does Thomass go missing every weekend?

It he connected to the racing industry? Like a journo? or comments?. Similar abilities.

Or is he just a loon whose jacket is locked on tight for the weekend.

Either that or he is too busy with his puncture repair kit.

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17 hours ago, Weasel said:

Oh Tommy Tommy Thomass

You are SO clever validating after the event the picks posted on Saturday by my weasely-self and Bazz before the event.

Given your wise, self-loving, self-praising and all-knowing nature, a cupla questions come to mind (no doubt you can and will answer them!):

  • Why didn't you tip Tommyra to win?
  • Did Deluxe Edition have 'superior form'? And if it was so superior, how come it started at 25-1?

Obviously you weren't a 'reader' of the other site wheeze...

Moi's reading of form and the 'niches' thereof...were well documented and repeated...endlessly...for the likes of ignorami like Rid hill....

...including 'fit back up' neddys...especially in winter...you know battle hardened old f'ers who like and need racing...in a word 'FIT' az...

....and fitter neddys always win at this time of the year...

...in DE's case even better if they're recognised as known 'back up' neddys...with a history..a well known form description of pro form analyst's...

...it happened a lot in the olde days...especially at Trentham...

The other niche of mine...entirely separate...is Black Type form racing back in class

i.e. superior form is...Black Type form back to rating class...who the f knew it's better?  Not Rid hill and her alter ego curious 

I gave you the RUNLIKEYOUFINSTOLEIT example in another post...

I had her getting within 2 1/2L of LA FILLE EN JEU in a set weight G3 race...after excuses...recent form on unsuitable H tracks...back to a S8...with some wag on here suggesting "don't worry about 'unsuitable'....dickhead right there

Back to a R 75...got up at 30's

Its about finding your 'niche' wheeze..and what works for you at value...

best

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16 hours ago, barryb said:

The question I have weasel is why does Thomass go missing every weekend?

It he connected to the racing industry? Like a journo? or comments?. Similar abilities.

Or is he just a loon whose jacket is locked on tight for the weekend.

I moonlight as a Chup maker at Mr. chups Bazz..

It keeps the Princess in the lifestyle that she's become accustomed to...

...but in reality it gives moi a break from the constant attention...she can't keep her hands off me...

In other matters...Look for a move from the industry soon on giving Punters the EXACT reading of track conditions

This idea that H11 is all the same..when they're running a 50L difference is simply intolerable...

Punters don't deserve b/s like that...and I'm sure you'd agree?

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33 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Obviously you weren't a 'reader' of the other site wheeze...

Moi's reading of form and the 'niches' thereof...were well documented and repeated...endlessly...for the likes of ignorami like Rid hill....

...including 'fit back up' neddys...especially in winter...you know battle hardened old f'ers who like and need racing...in a word 'FIT' az...

....and fitter neddys always win at this time of the year...

...in DE's case even better if they're recognised as known 'back up' neddys...with a history..a well known form description of pro form analyst's...

...it happened a lot in the olde days...especially at Trentham...

The other niche of mine...entirely separate...is Black Type form racing back in class

i.e. superior form is...Black Type form back to rating class...who the f knew it's better?  Not Rid hill and her alter ego curious 

I gave you the RUNLIKEYOUFINSTOLEIT example in another post...

I had her getting within 2 1/2L of LA FILLE EN JEU in a set weight G3 race...after excuses...recent form on unsuitable H tracks...back to a S8...with some wag on here suggesting "don't worry about 'unsuitable'....dickhead right there

Back to a R 75...got up at 30's

Its about finding your 'niche' wheeze..and what works for you at value...

best

Weasel, I certainly remember his posts from the other site.

Funnily enough he put up heaps of winners - all after the event about how good his methods were.

I can't fathom why(maybe you can), but when he tried it before the event, he had 8 out of 8 all non-winners, all at low odds that certainly wouldn't find a place on the 10-1+ thread. 

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5 minutes ago, mardigras said:

Weasel, I certainly remember his posts from the other site.

Funnily enough he put up heaps of winners - all after the event about how good his methods were.

Funnily enough, when he tried it before the event, he had 8 out of 8 all non-winners, all at low odds that certainly wouldn't find a place on the 10-1+ thread. 

Funnily enough you put up 7 losers in a row last month and there was no self analysis #rulesnotforyourulesforothers

And I put up actual EVIDENCE from the TAB of turning a lazy 2 Hundy on a slow Friday into 10k to shut you up...but it didnt

Wheres your actual evidence iron stain?

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Yep, and in a jurisdiction where you claim I don't understand the nuances, I have put up 11 horses, 9 of them starting at 10-1+. Two winners and winning starting prices of $33. 

And of the 7 in a row - at odds ranging from 11+ to 75, you think that compares to 8 at odds of 3 - 5 like yours.

Clearly that means you don't know much about punting. 

Let's see 9 runners in NZ from you. And we'll see how you go. Before the event of course.

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1 hour ago, Thomass said:

Funnily enough you put up 7 losers in a row last month and there was no self analysis #rulesnotforyourulesforothers

And I put up actual EVIDENCE from the TAB of turning a lazy 2 Hundy on a slow Friday into 10k to shut you up...but it didnt

Wheres your actual evidence iron stain?

Evidence of what?

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