curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 Did you do all those selections without using Pi? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 Just now, curious said: Did you do all those selections without using Pi? I do all of these selections without using a brain - like Thomass does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, curious said: Did you do all those selections without using Pi? And I stopped where I did because I got to Pukekohe R5 and I couldn't come up with any new comments for the 8/11 remaining runners in that race that all have 'superior' performance - all though you'd have to go Tattybogler given the significant gear change of Hoof Pads( Front) Off. If I had to include Pi, I'd probably have to bring up all 11 runners and how would that help anyone 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 Free And Easy, must have read my post. Blinkers on, money in the bank. Owes me a dollar so will plonk on $0.50 on the nose. 5yos go well this time of year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 OK. The only real way to test this is with real money so I might have a lazy $50 to win on them all and see how we go. I assume I just ignore price? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 15 hours ago, FeelTheFear said: One important fact is the actual physical width of each individual horse. Two wide would be width of horse 1 plus width of horse (halved) 2 plus distance between horses plus distance between first horse and rail Still trying to work this out FTF. Are we supposed to measure the distance travelled by the inside of the horse, the centre or the outside? Because by my calculations the outside will have travelled several meters further than the inside in most cases unless it's a figure 8 course and they do one complete circuit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 19 minutes ago, curious said: OK. The only real way to test this is with real money so I might have a lazy $50 to win on them all and see how we go. I assume I just ignore price? FFS Curious, wait until after the race and then back it. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 That's not a bad idea barryb. I could get a better estimate of value then too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 hour ago, curious said: OK. The only real way to test this is with real money so I might have a lazy $50 to win on them all and see how we go. I assume I just ignore price? Definitely ignore price. When it wins, it is by default "value" and the others weren't - based on what I've read on here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weasel Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 18 hours ago, FeelTheFear said: Now we just need to find a horse that was 3.14159 lengths behind the winner last start, preferably with blinkers. you forgot to mention" that is now fit, has shown previously superior form and is dowen in grade (preferably from black type company in a Hong Kong race) LOL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 Just now, Weasel said: you forgot to mention" that is now fit, has shown previously superior form and is dowen in grade (preferably from black type company in a Hong Kong race) LOL ..Or black type company in Germany) LOL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weasel Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, mardigras said: ..Or black type company in Germany) LOL or both! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weasel Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 perhaps on the quick back-up from Germany to HK 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 14 minutes ago, mardigras said: Definitely ignore price. When it wins, it is by default "value" and the others weren't - based on what I've read on here. OK. I'll just added 20% to the ones with blinkers on then. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 How much do I add for Hoof Pads? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 24 minutes ago, barryb said: How much do I add for Hoof Pads? How many hooves? 5% for each I expect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, mardigras said: How many hooves? 5% for each I expect. Is that just a bloody guess Mardigras? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 Just now, barryb said: Is that just a bloody guess Mardigras? Just thought that for 4 - that was 20% which seems popular as a number. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, barryb said: Is that just a bloody guess Mardigras? I'm thinking if we can get this system a bit more fine tuned we should be able to sell it. Your post gave me an idea barryb. We could call it the TBG system (Thommo's Bloody Guess). He obviously works on weekends to fund his betting account, so he won't know we've stolen it. Of course, we'll need to establish some track record data for marketing purposes but if we place all bets the day after the races, then I think we can come up with something quite impressive for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, curious said: I'm thinking if we can get this system a bit more fine tuned we should be able to sell it. Your post gave me an idea barryb. We could call it the TBG system (Thommo's Bloody Guess). He obviously works on weekends to fund his betting account, so he won't know we've stolen it. Of course, we'll need to establish some track record data for marketing purposes but if we place all bets the day after the races, then I think we can come up with something quite impressive for that. I think it imperative to record a few losses as well. appears more legit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 4 hours ago, curious said: OK. I'll just added 20% to the ones with blinkers on then. Not a disaster. $1310 back from my $1720 investment. An ROI of -23.8%. Might have just been a bad week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, curious said: Not a disaster. $1310 back from my $1720 investment. An ROI of -23.8%. Might have just been a bad week. I am not confident Mardi has followed the rules correctly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, barryb said: I am not confident Mardi has followed the rules correctly. Betting after the race would have provided a much better ROI 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 23 minutes ago, barryb said: I am not confident Mardi has followed the rules correctly. Yes, those results from curious seem better than expected. No doubt I'll find out some more rules on Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 there were a few that should never have been put in as they were a strong chance without the rules. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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