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Bit Of A Yarn

Down In grade - $$$


mardigras

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5 minutes ago, curious said:

Did you do all those selections without using Pi?

And I stopped where I did because I got to Pukekohe R5 and I couldn't come up with any new comments for the 8/11 remaining runners in that race that all have 'superior' performance - all though you'd have to go Tattybogler given the significant gear change of Hoof Pads( Front) Off.

If I had to include Pi, I'd probably have to bring up all 11 runners and how would that help anyone :) 

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15 hours ago, FeelTheFear said:

One important fact is the actual physical width of each individual horse. Two wide would be width of horse 1 plus width of horse (halved)  2 plus distance between horses plus distance between first horse and rail

Still trying to work this out FTF. Are we supposed to measure the distance travelled by the inside of the horse, the centre or the outside? Because by my calculations the outside will have travelled several meters further than the inside in most cases unless it's a figure 8 course and they do one complete circuit.

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1 hour ago, curious said:

OK. The only real way to test this is with real money so I might have a lazy $50 to win on them all and see how we go. I assume I just ignore price?

Definitely ignore price. When it wins, it is by default "value" and the others weren't - based on what I've read on here.

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18 hours ago, FeelTheFear said:

Now we just need to find a horse that was 3.14159 lengths behind the winner last start, preferably with blinkers. 

you forgot to mention" that is now fit, has shown previously superior form and is dowen in grade (preferably from black type company in a Hong Kong race)   LOL

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8 minutes ago, barryb said:

Is that just a bloody guess Mardigras?

 

I'm thinking if we can get this system a bit more fine tuned we should be able to sell it. Your post gave me an idea barryb. We could call it the TBG system (Thommo's Bloody Guess). He obviously works on weekends to fund his betting account, so he won't know we've stolen it. Of course, we'll need to establish some track record data for marketing purposes but if we place all bets the day after the races, then I think we can come up with something quite impressive for that.

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3 minutes ago, curious said:

I'm thinking if we can get this system a bit more fine tuned we should be able to sell it. Your post gave me an idea barryb. We could call it the TBG system (Thommo's Bloody Guess). He obviously works on weekends to fund his betting account, so he won't know we've stolen it. Of course, we'll need to establish some track record data for marketing purposes but if we place all bets the day after the races, then I think we can come up with something quite impressive for that.

I think it imperative to record a few losses as well. appears more legit. 

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