mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 (edited) 2 minutes ago, FeelTheFear said: there were a few that should never have been put in as they were a strong chance without the rules. They were probably the ones that won. But 4 winners from 30 is not good given the prices. And of the next 18 (which I can put up), 1 has been a winner at 6s. 5 winners from 48 starts - about the ratio you would get with a dartboard. Probably get some at better odds with a dart as well. Edited August 11, 2018 by mardigras Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 I think once we get the Pi factor worked into it, we should be right. By Monday, at least one of those winners, I'm picking Amun Ra, a blind man would have seen. I mean down from finishing less than 4l from the winner in a Group 2 less than 4 years ago, to an R72, plus racing with blinkers on, you could hardly go wrong. I probably should have quit after that one but I was getting excited. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curious Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Oh and I forgot to mention the 3kg claim ... gold! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 It seriously is looking bad for you Curious, Thomass I hear though the grape vine has a huge profit and you a significant loss. How did Mardi get such clear rules so badly wrong?. it almost smacks of Mardi deliberately doing this to make Thomass look bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 17 minutes ago, barryb said: It seriously is looking bad for you Curious, Thomass I hear though the grape vine has a huge profit and you a significant loss. How did Mardi get such clear rules so badly wrong?. it almost smacks of Mardi deliberately doing this to make Thomass look bad. All above board me. I can't make Thomass look bad - he is very capable of doing that without me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 48 minutes ago, mardigras said: They were probably the ones that won. But 4 winners from 30 is not good given the prices. And of the next 18 (which I can put up), 1 has been a winner at 6s. 5 winners from 48 starts - about the ratio you would get with a dartboard. Probably get some at better odds with a dart as well. 5 winners from 48 is a better return than Mr T. would get pre-race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 (edited) After a tough day yesterday with a total of 74 starts winning 8 races - with a total TAB SP return of $43.90. Today we will reverse that trend! Today is the day we are going to bring home the bacon. track race # runnername class superior recent class comment Ruakaka 1 1 HELLO IT'S ME BM82 G2/LR/multiple superior LR perfromances over shorter trips, and a G2 winner - in a R82. Unbeatable Ruakaka 1 3 MEMORIES ONLY BM82 G3/LR very unlucky in a G3, wide throughout. Lump on. Ruakaka 2 3 ROCANIC BM65 BM75 Littered with R75 performances - in a R65. it's a no brainer. Added advantage of the Blinkers off and the rest is easy. Ruakaka 2 6 WILIJONMCBRIDE BM65 BM75 Running in superior races Forgive LR runs at HQ. Very unlucky and often wide. This will be too easy. Ruakaka 2 7 ANGELINE BM65 G2/G3 G2&G3 performances and now at the right distance. Nose band On which is the second best legal go fast. Take an Armourguard truck to the TAB. Ruakaka 3 14 POWER OF STRENGTH MDN 2Premier Premier 2yo performance down to a lowly maiden. Ruakaka 6 8 DUBLIN ROSE MDN 2Premier Premier 2yo against a bunch of no-hopers. What margin? Ruakaka 8 2 AMAZING AZ MDN MDN SPEC Special Cond maiden against a bunch of scrubbers. Lump even more on. Ruakaka 8 11 ADIS MDN G2/multiple A G2 2nd - still in maiden grade. Blinkers on first time. This ticks all the boxes. Mortgage the house. Ruakaka 9 2 DANGER DEE BM65 BM75/multiple Top runs in R75 and an unlucky run in a G2. Won't be beaten. Ruakaka 9 4 O'GUY BM65 LR Stamped himself a horse of far superior class with a close up 4th in LR. Rating 65 - get real. Shadow Roll goes on - and the only thing the opposition will see is his shadow lengths in front. Edited August 11, 2018 by mardigras 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 12 minutes ago, mardigras said: After a tough day yesterday with a total of 74 starts winning 8 races - with a total TAB SP return of $43.90. Today we will reverse that trend! Today is the day we are going to bring home the bacon. track race # runnername class superior recent class comment Ruakaka 1 1 HELLO IT'S ME BM82 G2/LR/multiple superior LR perfromances over shorter trips, and a G2 winner - in a R82. Unbeatable Ruakaka 1 3 MEMORIES ONLY BM82 G3/LR very unlucky in a G3, wide throughout. Lump on. Ruakaka 2 3 ROCANIC BM65 BM75 Littered with R75 performances - in a R65. it's a no brainer. Added advantage of the Blinkers off and the rest is easy. Ruakaka 2 6 WILIJONMCBRIDE BM65 BM75 Running in superior races Forgive LR runs at HQ. Very unlucky and often wide. This will be too easy. Ruakaka 2 7 ANGELINE BM65 G2/G3 G2&G3 performances and now at the right distance. Nose band On which is the second best legal go fast. Take an Armourguard truck to the TAB. Ruakaka 3 14 POWER OF STRENGTH MDN 2Premier Premier 2yo performance down to a lowly maiden. Ruakaka 6 8 DUBLIN ROSE MDN 2Premier Premier 2yo against a bunch of no-hopers. What margin? Ruakaka 8 2 AMAZING AZ MDN MDN SPEC Special Cond maiden against a bunch of scrubbers. Lump even more on. Ruakaka 8 11 ADIS MDN G2/multiple A G2 2nd - still in maiden grade. Blinkers on first time. This ticks all the boxes. Mortgage the house. Ruakaka 9 2 DANGER DEE BM65 BM75/multiple Top runs in R75 and an unlucky run in a G2. Won't be beaten. Ruakaka 9 4 O'GUY BM65 LR Stamped himself a horse of far superior class with a close up 4th in LR. Rating 65 - get real. Shadow Roll goes on - and the only thing the opposition will see is his shadow lengths in front. Disclaimer: Please do not try this at home. The betting undertaken is by (some) experts in their field and should not be seen as an endorsement to bet. BOAY is in no way responsible for loss of income or loss of face. As always, if you should fail, BOAY will disavow any knowledge of your mission. Refer Thomass v mardigras August 2018 and Thomass v curious August 2018. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 I expect some of these may well win. The punters seem to as well. But are they value? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 26 minutes ago, mardigras said: I expect some of these may well win. The punters seem to as well. But are they value? And this discussion is around the supposed correlation between the class of race, raced in and the chance of the horse in a future race. Funnily enough, I don't think the horse knows what class it raced in. And there is no correlation. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 19 minutes ago, mardigras said: I expect some of these may well win. The punters seem to as well. But are they value? im confident ive got the armaguard truck on standby just load up todays the day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poisoned Dwarf Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Have you flown over specially from Melbourne " Chris " ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Race 1 Hello It's Me too short. Better value Memories Only if $4.00 or above. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Oh moi f in gawd.... ...while I've been cavorting along Muriwai Beach on a cloudless windless day... ...with the Princess...in all her splendour...and see through lace number... ...and Beth the pig dog...who front footed some chew was waas ...the day after the night before...Of unbelievable hotness and some may say debauchery.. Yous lot...were in your lockup for the criminally insane....tossing your salads non stop Seriously...5 yo's dont carry on like this....I was so wrong about you being teenage girlys ...get some help is the best tip of the day... ...and book an appointment with the head med dispenser cum Monday... whatever you're the f on ain't working best Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Race 2 Indigenous Union one you missed mardi... Superior form Curragh 2nd, Leopardstown 1st, Sha Tin 3rd. Bold run first up at Awapuni. A Mr T. special Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 16 minutes ago, FeelTheFear said: Race 2 Indigenous Union one you missed mardi... Superior form Curragh 2nd, Leopardstown 1st, Sha Tin 3rd. Bold run first up at Awapuni. A Mr T. special That will only count if it wins. Will have to update the rules if so. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted August 12, 2018 Author Share Posted August 12, 2018 FTF, the rules I have don't go back more than 20 months (that takes out the Irish form in maidens) - that was based on Thomass siting Black Lace. And I also have a distance variance limit for races of higher class. If that limit is incorrect, we'll end up with a lot more horses - I thought 74 yesterday was already enough! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, mardigras said: FTF, the rules I have don't go back more than 20 months (that takes out the Irish form in maidens) - that was based on Thomass siting Black Lace. And I also have a distance variance limit for races of higher class. If that limit is incorrect, we'll end up with a lot more horses - I thought 74 yesterday was already enough! My mistake though I am sure if it wins we will hear about it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Thomass said: Oh moi f in gawd.... ...while I've been cavorting along Muriwai Beach on a cloudless windless day... ...with the Princess...in all her splendour...and see through lace number... ...and Beth the pig dog...who front footed some chew was waas ...the day after the night before...Of unbelievable hotness and some may say debauchery.. Yous lot...were in your lockup for the criminally insane....tossing your salads non stop Seriously...5 yo's dont carry on like this....I was so wrong about you being teenage girlys ...get some help is the best tip of the day... ...and book an appointment with the head med dispenser cum Monday... whatever you're the f on ain't working best i need a security guard tommy are you busy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Thomass said: Oh moi f in gawd.... ...while I've been cavorting along Muriwai Beach on a cloudless windless day... ...with the Princess...in all her splendour...and see through lace number... ... Careful T, Muriwai can gust up real quick. Would not want the Princess to blow away to Aus & have some filthy Aussie have his wicked way with her. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 1 hour ago, wally said: i need a security guard tommy are you busy I can lend you Beth...she lurves Wallies and has a vicious lick on her... ...which you'll no doubt lurve...pm moi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 1 hour ago, wally said: i need a security guard tommy are you busy 5.40 the place how goods that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 44 minutes ago, Thomass said: I can lend you Beth...she lurves Wallies and has a vicious lick on her... ...which you'll no doubt lurve...pm moi tommy can you help me out with a winner ill get withdrawal symptoms waiting for race 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 I wrote the Blue Print for you years ago Wal... Shatin form 4 starts ago...in a 14 horse field..Baker..say no more Very Elleegant in an open 2yo against winners..in a huge run.. Nulli Secundus... last 2 starts with very good PERFORMANCES read FORM...against winners with big reputations...Von Trapp and Tiny Terror... Not Usual Current in a good G1 effort last start back to mid week maidens...home track ...Alphastar in a 16 horse Premier field close up just 5 starts back...to midweek class with 3kgs off... Amazing Az...special maiden form against winners last start...back to maiden... North Island form killed them yesterday as well.... ...Hk/Australian form better than here...Sth Island form inferior to North...Black Type superior any which way....Spec mai You know the Blue Print Wal...just get on or get out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wally Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, Thomass said: I wrote the Blue Print for you years ago Wal... Shatin form 4 starts ago...in a 14 horse field..Baker..say no more Very Elleegant in an open 2yo against winners..in a huge run.. Nulli Secundus... last 2 starts with very good PERFORMANCES read FORM...against winners with big reputations...Von Trapp and Tiny Terror... Not Usual Current in a good G1 effort last start back to mid week maidens...home track ...Alphastar in a 16 horse Premier field close up just 5 starts back...to midweek class with 3kgs off... Amazing Az...special maiden form against winners last start...back to maiden... North Island form killed them yesterday as well.... ...Hk/Australian form better than here...Sth Island form inferior to North...Black Type superior any which way....Spec mai You know the Blue Print Wal...just get on or get out can you give me hand to push the barrow to the armaguard van Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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