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Handicapping Blog | Monday 18 November Handicapper’s Blog 18/11 The New Zealand Cup carnival provides the perfect finale to New Zealand’s spring racing. The 3-day, Group 1 carnival is unique, and fits ideally on the back of Melbourne Cup week. It is a busy racing week, with 9 meetings programmed across the country, and invariably presents numerous re-ratings of interest. We touch on Open race winners below. Feature Open race winner ratings: Bella Waters Gartshore Tauranga Stakes, Group 2, $150k 98 Mehzebeen Martin Collins NZ Cup, Group 3, $400k 97 Kopua TAB Mile, Group 3, $250k 96 Mystic Park Lindauer Stewards, Listed, $140k 95 Bella Waters entered the Tauranga Stakes as a rating 84 horse and risked a large re-rating for a top 4 finish - given she was competing at WFA against a 105-rated horse, Ladie’s Man, and other high-rating horses at the level weights. In winning she beat two rating 98 horses, Pearl Of Alsace and Mali Ston, in a tight finish. Given the narrow margins, and the relative weights, a re-rating to 98 (+14) was appropriate. Any less of a re-rating would have her receiving weight at their next meeting under handicap conditions, which is not equitable. The risk and benefits of running a progressive horse in a race under these conditions is a balancing act. No doubt Cambridge Stud factored these, and the calculated risk has paid dividends with Bella Waters now a Group-2 winning mare. In terms of feedback, Kopua was the most contentious re-rating of the week with his 9-point re-rating for the TAB Mile win. The entry of Perfect Scenario (rating 107) pushed the majority of field to 53kgs and out of the handicap. Kopua was 6 points out of the handicap (ie. In a precise handicap he would have carried 50kgs). To give Kopua a re-rating 6 points or less for the win would see the entire field facing him again at exactly the same weights set-up. Kopua was given 3 points for the win, and 6 points for the out of handicaps adjustment. In simple terms, had the race been run again Kopua would carry 54.5kgs. Mehzebeen and Mystic Park were standard feature race re-ratings of 5 points, given no issues with out of handicap. Previously, Mehzebeen had attracted an 8-point re-rating on Day 1 for an out of the handicap win in the Metropolitan Trophy (Listed). In that race also, Beavertown Boy was re-rated 7 points for his 2nd placing, moving him 1kg below the winner at that point in time. -
Excellent work TABman. I didn't take the Tri's and F4's this time round but yeah the Oscar B one In the Trotting FFA looked a beauty. good on you . Oscar was one of my best for the day. should of looked at that F4. Marketplace was enormous , and Borris was a beast both days. A friend has a share in Meant to Be (winning the Group1 2yearold trot) . Chief 's fav horse won at Riccarton a group 1 as well . so had those as well. Missed with 50 bucks on DSD (didn't think Swayzee could travel all those km's from Young NSW win to Chch and still win) and 50 on Miki Bennett (the 2nd day) after he looked the winner the CUP day but broke in the run home when going to the lead. Did exactly the same on Showday though. What are the chances ??😳 Was all but there to enjoy. Is Nice NewMarket said the Punters club function went well though and he had a great time. I will be there next Nov 2025 100% , as just had a few loose ends and couldn't get there last week when wanted to go. more up and downs than Leap To Fame 🤕 . only been once to Addington way back 80's with Lightning Blue. retire tomorrow . so big night out New Queens Wharf ( $3 billion dollar development in Brisbane that just opened,) is on the cards tomorrow night 🍻🕺, and might try and find a horse to bring to Addington next year. lol. Have the ASCENT Winning Tip for you already though 💰 . Another Volstead sired trotter like 'Keayang Zahara'. This blokes name is 'Enchauffour'. 2025 Ascent winner , long range prediction 😂 . He can trot a 56 second half already , (a lot faster than Meant To Be) -
120 horses. Half a dozen from Cambridge and Matamata. I wonder what that must cost the owners?
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By Chief Stipe · Posted
Empire Rose did it in a Melbourne Cup if I recall correctly. -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
What Scone Races Where Scone Race Club – 434 Bunnan Rd, Scone NSW 2337 When Tuesday, November 19, 2024 First Race 1:10pm AEDT Visit Dabble Country racing returns to Scone Race Club on Tuesday afternoon, with a competitive eight-part program set for decision. The rail is in the true position the entire way around, and although the track is rated a Good 4 at the time of acceptances, significant rainfall is predicted to hit the course proper on Monday, so punters can expect a downgrade into the Soft range on race-day morning. The opening event is scheduled to get underway at 1:10pm local time. Best Bet at Scone: Quick Sharp Quick Sharp proved too good debuting at this track on October 25 and appears perfectly placed to secure back-to-back wins. The Bull Point filly led every step of the way over 1000m and never looked in doubt as Reece Jones asked for an effort turning for home. Stepping back to 900m shouldn’t be an issue, and with Quick Sharp likely to dictate terms once again, she’ll prove hard to chase down. Best Bet Race 3 – #6 Quick Sharp (5) 3yo Filly | T: Rodney Northam | J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) Bet with Neds Next Best at Scone: Sir Remlap Although it’s been 505 days since Sir Remlap went to the races, the Rubick gelding looks set for a first-up assault. The Scott Singleton-trained four-year-old has been ticking over nicely at the barrier trials, with his penultimate effort at Scone on October 30 suggesting he’s flying heading into this assignment. Mitch Stapleford takes 1.5kg off his back after the claim, and although he’ll be getting back from gate seven, watch for Sir Remlap to close off best despite the lengthy layoff. Next Best Race 1 – #1 Sir Remlap (7) 4yo Gelding | T: Scott Singleton | J: Mitch Stapleford (1.5kg) (60kg) Bet with Picklebet Best Value at Scone: Rockbarton Flash The David Atkins-trained Rockbarton Flash debuts after a dominant barrier trial win at Newcastle on October 22 and represents terrific each-way value with horse racing bookmakers. The son of Sooboog looked to appreciate the sting out of the ground, cruising through the wire to score by 1.9 lengths. Benjamin Osmond gets legged aboard from gate five, and provided he can unleash a similar turn-of-foot heading to the races for the first time, the $11 available with Dabble will seem too big. Best Value Race 5 – #3 Rockbarton Flash (5) 3yo Gelding | T: David Atkins | J: Benjamin Osmond (57.5kg) Bet with Dabble Tuesday quaddie tips for Scone Scone quadrella selections November 19, 2024 2-3-4-5-12-14 5 2-5-8 5-6-9-10 | Copy this bet straight to your betslip Horse racing tips View the full article
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