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By Murray Fish · Posted
sigh, fact, I DO make money, (though the last two years all via Dodger$ winning two WS) partly by having a iron discipline and avoiding listening to all the 'hype around value'. If you are talking betting on horses, then you have to have a ability to actually be betting on horses that 'run in the money'! (personally, if I was going to have Racing a area of betting, then Laying bets looks attractive) That is So much easier when the actual runners in a race decrease! The extra CHAOS that happens in all races rather Increases with every runner added to a field! I recon what also happens if you regularly bet into larger fields is that it is so easy for silly 'cognitive bias's' kicking in around 'bad luck' etc.. I 'watch' multi 1000's of races where i don't bet! For any race meeting, the first thing I look for are the races with 10 and under starters!!! Then spend some brain power looking for the form races leading into the race! But for me, the real key is how they Present on the Day, how they prelim, how they look around at the start, 95% of my bets go on then! Other than say a Melb Cup, I almost always stick to Win bets 15% take out. If I was needing to punt to make a living, then I recon the Show bet is the way to go! To me that is actually the brave bet over time. The take out rates for Q and Tri etc are vulgarly large! You are welcomed to throw money into them! Having said that all, 'each to their own'. To finish, if you ever find yourself in Dunedin with spare time, look me up! also, my days with anything to do 'racing' is steadily counting down... -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Big returns to the races was the hallmark of many of the five fleet fillies this week, but it wasn't the 2025 champ who took down the number one spot. 5. ME AND MOLLY McGEE, SA, 2/7-6th, 7 furlongs (Video) Beyer Speed Figure-93 (2nd). (f, 4, by Vekoma-Molly McGee, by Quality Road) O-Exline-Border Racing, Aaron Kennedy, Mike Burns, Susanna Wilson and Dan Hudock. B-Four Pillars Holdings (Ky). T-Peter Eurton. J-Hector Berrios. This was a best-case-scenario return after she was vanned off the Saratoga track following the GI Test Stakes last August with a left-hind splint bone fracture and a laceration. Fortunately, her injuries didn't require surgery, and she made a splashy comeback in the GII D. Wayne Lukas Stakes despite the layoff to clearly hold second behind 2/5 Splendora (below) after setting the fractions–and now she's Grade II stakes placed. 4. RUNAMILEINMYSHOES, SA, 2/6-8th, 1 mile (Video) Beyer Speed Figure-94 (m, 5, by Street Boss-Intoitagain, by Into Mischief) O-Wachtel Stable and Gary Barber. B-Red Baron's Barn and Rancho Temescal (Cal). T-Peter Miller. J-Emisael Jaramillo. First time back off a $50,000 claim, she immediately picked up a $54,600 payday with a solid win. And it was on dirt, which might be the key. She had run 17 of her 19 races on grass, but now is 3-for-3 on dirt–and even if you don't look at figures, this jumps out as her strongest effort to date. She's well named, too: 15 of her 20 starts have been at a mile. 3. SPLENDORA, SA, 2/7-6th, 7 furlongs (Video) Beyer Speed Figure-96. (m, 5, by Audible-Miss Freeze, by Frost Giant) O-By Talla Racing. B-The Elkstone Group (Md). T-Bob Baffert. J-Juan Hernandez. Splendora | Benoit The talented GI PNC Bank Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint heroine picked up right where she left off in the newly- christened D. Wayne Lukas Stakes, and this time even overcame a somewhat sluggish break. She lost an Eclipse Award to Shisospicy (Mitole) in what looked like a coin-flip decision, but that's the only loss she has suffered over the last 6 1/2 months. 2. NITROGEN, OP, 2/7-9th, 1 1/16 miles (Video) Beyer Speed Figure-97. (f, 4, by Medaglia d'Oro-Tiffany Case, by Uncle Mo) O/B-D J Stable (Ky). T-Mark Casse. J-Jose Ortiz. Jose Ortiz rode her like a 1/5 shot, and once he woke her up at the 3/16ths she powered past improving stablemate Nerazurri (Protonico) and the GIII Bayakoa Stakes trophy was in the case. With his 1-2 finish, Casse's 45% Oaklawn juggernaut continues and Nitrogen surely looms the early favorite for the Apr. 11 GI Apple Blossom Handicap. 1. MOON SPUN, GP, 2/7-10th, 5 furlongs (turf) (Video) Beyer Speed Figure-99. (m, 5, by Hard Spun-Moonlit Bay, by Malibu Moon) O-Town and Country Racing. B-Jack Liebau Sr (Ky). T-Brian Lynch. J-Javier Castellano. “She always beats the gate,” jockey Javier Castellano said of Moon Spun, and that was definitely the case in Gulfstream's Ladies Turf Sprint. She can be tough and spirited, and the waters will surely get much deeper than this ungraded stakes–but she has won four straight including three her return from a forced 13-month layoff. The post Five Fleet Fillies Of The Week, Feb. 2-8 appeared first on TDN | Thoroughbred Daily News | Horse Racing News, Results and Video | Thoroughbred Breeding and Auctions. View the full article -
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By Murray Fish · Posted
I would be the opposite! I prefer to actually back winners and find that it is way easier when the fields are smaller and so-call weaker!!! best value = winning bet! -
I lived in Waharoa (just north of Matamata) for a while, working in the now defunct dairy factory. A group of us would never miss a mid-week race meeting in the region. Got to know a few racing people and there was always a usually very accurate tip out for a Matamata horse. That is racing for the mad keen enthusiast punter, so many of us were like that in those days, perhaps because there was not a lot else to do, other than live in the now also defunct Waharoa Tavern. I always felt that Ellerslie missed the boat when they went corporate/elitist, missing out on many of these enthusiasts and also general race-goers who just wanted a relaxing day out at the races, so now they stay at home. There is no reason why Ellerslie cannot offer both options. Many sports and entertainment venues offer the full range to meet all customer expectations, from upmarket to budget
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