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Everything posted by Chief Stipe
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I'm not convinced it was the sole reason but agree it could have been a factor. Horses see white exceptionally well. Presumably running rails are white so horses can see them which begs the question - why change the colour for the last 100m to something harder for the horse to see? No one can read the advertising on the rail anyway unless you are the Jockey on their way going through it. Perhaps the irony is it is so the Stipes know when to count the number of whip strikes in the last 100m!!!!
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Yes but where was she looking at that point? Or rather how far ahead was she looking. Horses don't run into things if they can see them. Just to throw something else into the mix did you notice her trying to take a chunk out of the clerk of the course's horse? She definitely isn't happy about something. She chucked it in real quick in the Manikato and in the Railway - both Craig Williams rides.
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It doesn't actually. However the fact is you were both operating on hunches rather than looking at the accounts. That is half the problem with the industry at all levels. They bleat on about decisions being made that are wrong and so on but never avail themselves of the facts. Your assertions may very well be correct but talking in hyperbole and generalisations lacks credibility. I'm not prepping for any job. The fact is both you and @Brodie contended that the ENTAIN and other capital had been squandered. Now if you really want to change things refer to Note 20 in the 2025 report and make a comment on what the $8.5 million that has been allocated to improving breeding levels and directly related stakes incentives SHOULD be spent on. Bleating on for days and months won't change anything - positive solutions will. However those positive solutions aren't non-win maidens at Reefton! You both may wish to look at pages 33 and 34 and see which assets can be consolidated to ensure Harness Racing pays its way. Note Reefton is jointly owned with Thoroughbred Racing - what happens if the latter wants out? Should HRNZ buy their share so you can have more non-win trots at Reefton?
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If you don't realise that horses can see behind them and don't realise that blinkers can make a difference, then it might be a good thing that you are no longer a trainer. I can post many head on shots of horses moving their rear away from the whip BEFORE they have been hit in anticipation that they will. As the following diagram shows a horse has monocular vision to the rear meaning it can distinguish what is happening left or right separately. Horses also do not have a great depth perception because their binocular vision is limited. That's part of the reason why horses shy suddenly at objects. A Jockey see's the winning post and determines its distance well before a horse does which has caught out many Jockeys.
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No from what I saw she ran in at the point the white rail changes to a brown (dark?) rail. Not incorrect however what about another theory. She has run away from the whip previously but only slightly. She got a hammering in the Moir from Craig Williams but didn't stray from her line. Yes she has run away from the whip when hit but not by much and at the same time the rail changes from bright white in colour to dark brown. Horses can distinguish white very clearly but dark colours blend into a green/grey morass i.e. a horse is red/green colour blind. So is it possible that yes she did react to the whip BUT thought there was room to run away from it because in her vision the rail wasn't there? Or her reaction unbalanced her (and the Jockey) and once she touched the rail she doubled down on the reaction. Looking back at her races Sam Spratt mostly whipped her on the inside on left and right hand tracks. First race ride for Sam Collett. As for not needing the whip I disagree. Sweynesday wasn't giving up.
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Injured as opposed to not wanting to race. He like many top three year olds of that year had a torrid programme that year caused by abandoned racemeetings after they had travelled and then poor track conditions.
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She hasn't done too badly in the three Grp 1 1600m races in OZ so far. Only 4 years old.
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Just had another look at the All Star Mile. That was a big run by Leica Lucy on the slow part of the track. Of the 8 sectionals she had the fastest time in six of them and only beaten 1.5 lengths.
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Look at races 4, 5, 6, and 7. Plus 8. When they got to the Newmarket the Jockeys weren't keen on staying out wide. That could have been a collective mindset. It created a logjam. Regardless I first made the comment in respect of Damask Rose's chances. It did put me off Tentyris.
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It wasn't stopping as much as the other horses were finishing over the top of it. Was wide on the turn and got to the front too soon. Collett could have waited. 10 horses finished behind it. Could have finished a place or two closer if it hadn't got jammed 100m up resulting in the Jockey standing up. Only 4 lengths from the winner. Note in the vets report he was suffering from mild heat stress.
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Ok so now you are looking at the races you didn't see yesterday. Go back and look at those sprinr races. Compared to the Newmarket they were small fields. The barriers that the horses started from were in the middle of the lane i.e. there was an even number of empty gates each side of the track. Over 1000 and 1100m a Jockey in a small field would be brain dead to go more distance to get to the inside. The Newmarket was a large field spread across the track. After 100 to 200m they all went to the inside.
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What IS really interesting is that both @the galah and @Brodie have admitted they haven't bothered to read the HRNZ Annual Accounts!!!! Which I might add are freely available for downloading from the Incorporated Societies website amd the HRNZ website.
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THEY didn't use the comparison. I did and it wasn't SPIN. It was for CONTEXT and COMPARISON which you keep banging on about.
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So they HAVEN'T squandered it all contrary to @Brodie and your assertions.
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They essentially all won on pace and on the inside. The OZ commentors (which I rate) explained Damask Rose's odds lengthening from $4.4 to over $6 was due to the prevailng pattern working against her draw and racing style. Under the circumstances her run had a lot of merit. Especially when she was 3 wide albeit with cover for most of the race and wider on entering the straight. In the Newmarket it was noticeable they didn't split and all tried to get to the inner.
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It is difficult to place a one dimensional horse whose forte is 2400m. You can only race that distance two or three times at most in a season and you have to build to it. We've discussed Leica Lucy before and as I said then they went to the well too many times. Robbie Patterson said she needed a break. She basically only had one preparation leading to the NZ Oaks win. Sometimes it takes a long time to recover sometimes they don't recover. I also wouldn't listen to what a Jockey says. Often their post race media comment is slanted by disappointment and or a poor ride. LOL I can think of numerous occasions where a Jockey has had a shyte ride and blamed the track conditions. If Thats Gold is better suited to mile-middle distance then he has more chamce in OZ than an outright stayer.
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7% isn't it? Isn'r that significant?
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Newmarket Handicap - can Tentyris carry the weight?
Chief Stipe replied to Chief Stipe's topic in Galloping Chat
Once the race pattern was confirmed for the day he had no chance. -
Yeah na! We'll turn it around. Think positive.