
Thomass
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Everything posted by Thomass
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What's this got to do with THOROUGHBREDS Wees?? You post ubiquitously across many forums...just like a flibberty jibbert stoat...and usually stick to the topic... ...can you lift ya game short legs? ta
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Many top trainers will tell media... "I've been saving Blinkers up" If a top trainer says that then I should be adding 80% obviously! Not 20%...stupid me as stupid does... Its counterintuitive to think anything else... So you do? NIL... NILLER But you can't assess Course Specialists...so no f in surprises there
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Wake up...I tipped the Tri in the Cox pet!...IN ONE The last 4 races I've tipped, 2 tris, a Q and a winner ALL IN ONE SELECTION...All on BOAY...I should be charging for such genius ffs! Thats a World Record and I'll be applying to the Guinness peeps for it to be consummated...stand by... Alors, I've always offered personal lessons on how to BP....by PM...Ask away McDuff.. BTW I don't tip...I'm not a tipster...but an educator! Tips are for the Sultans to see how far they can swing a wee sausage for a buzz
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That's why I increase the investment by 20%..not 80%...who said it works EVERY TIME...or 80%... ...Trainers will be expecting at least that though....after trialling gear on in form horses and not last resorters... ...basic shit this...last time the horse may have not had a problem...yet developed one including breathing...any number pop up... ..you obviously think they're machines...yet even machines need oiling so you're clueless...but we knew that from your previous dickhead dissertations I trust the Trainer that in their professional opinion some gear will improve them this start... ...you don't and assess performance with new gear post race...and you've lost...if it wins...me 20%...you nothing... ...oh and Magoo can't see if they're unlucky or caught wide without cover either... ...to which I add @0.3 secs to their performance measurement on average... you...NOTHING...NIL...NADA... You NILLER...OK.
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Besides superior class back to inferior i'll run a few other 'niches' over a race including an ultimate fitness requirement that relates to its ability to take Racing... ...on average there maybe 3/4 per race that fit the total bill... btw why would you rate EVERY runner per race when some have NO CHANCE...the idea that the Sultuns of Sophistry have of pricing every horse is balmy The basis is fewer convictions with up and coming horses...in short... fresh legs...although some mature later so I'll take that into account obviously... I'll dish out unit values taking into account excuses, quality of field previously, weight, gear etc...normal analysis 101... Of course the value component then comes into it post analysis...but I won't hesitate investing on 3/4 horses at times if there's a a good ROI to be had...definitely NO SAVERS.... As for Tip being a CS...almost every start bar one he'd raced very well there but unlucky...either caught wide or just pipped...3 placings in G2/3...beating Jon Snow in one, drew the outside in another G 2 just pipped...now back in an ordinary Hdcp ..was wayyy over the odds...I had him value at 8's...even though winless for 2 years...unlucky as I say..and racing in Black Type...G1 2nd at WFA The other 6 times may have been either poor value or unsuited.. Certainly don't invest EVERY start if no value...
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Ditto mate...some of your criticism of moi's intelligent ideas on 'value' when it comes to investing are rather galling to be frank... ...btw you haven't got a pocus on me have you? Im being forced to change passwords EVERY time I log in..and Freda's getting posts duplicated 3 times.. Can you sort it? thanks
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You could be right Weas...but... ...these are Professional trainers with years of experience...bloods would be ok, they'd be happy with her 'looks'... ...and besides the Owner is not a well man and has invested heavily from his Lotto win...probably wants results sooner than later....and the Filly appears to be racing well looking for extra ground? His prerogative?
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Shrew...you are the ULTIMATE troll... Every extremely intelligent knowledge based post I make...you're there trolling And Using of instead of OFF and shrewing up your commas and vacant spaces... Let it go son...go walk the beach... or stalk someone on the beach if that's your thang... I add unfathamable value added content and I'm much loved by almost everyone...let moi take you to the promised land..just say when and I'll come rescue your lost soul... best
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The truley bizarre 'thought' process you employ... ...is to say "you trust a trainer to get said neddy to the races to perform to its peak" ...yet you won't alter a performance rating that coincides with trusting a trainer...especially a top one...that said trainer has trialled any new gear and they're well over 80% sure it'll work...or else they wouldn't have done the deed on an already performing neddy... ...anything else is desperation and last chance throw a dice I trust my assessments that a superior performer in a race is ready to perform... also trusting the Trainer has dispensed his professional services to anything else they think will help...you dont No f in surprises there then You're too shit scared to identify Course Specislists in case another similar rater hasn't raced on the course...holy f Like GO NICHOLAS and TIPTRONIC two Blue Print neddys who LOVE HQ... HQ is especially suited to Course Specialists... wake up
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Hilarious...that's about your level...country hick meetings... I couldn't give a flying fox what's happening over there and in your weird ' world' ...Your bizarre 'thoughts' are off the planet crazy shit "Constantinople wins without the trainer adding gear....Redzel ran a faster sectional in one Benchmark race without Blinkers so he doesn't need them...Whanganui rails runners on an H 11 gives value" TOTAL Bunkum Crazy Horse Shit.... Neil Young would love you beating your Bongos senseless though...
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Don't think I'm letting you off the hook shrew... Are you getting someone to compose your Mea Culpa seeing as you can't compose written Engrish.. ...or are you too busy getting a Latin translation organised in your busy trolling life?
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Any mea culpa coming up...or was he relly relly lucky with Opee's rails ride?
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Imagine if you will koppa... HK having 20 courses spread around its wee area and the wastage that entails... ...As an industry we need around 4/5 Courses in the North Is. All funding targeted to having first class facilities and Tracks... The Greenfields in Cambridge will be the Blue Print...going forward....and who doesn't like a go forward? As for the Queen's City BP... Turn HQ into a mini Shatin...and Avondale into its training centre...that'll cover the burgeoning Aucks population and HQ might even allow a Chinese person on course? Are these new Ellerslie suits racist or what? Getting rid of Chinese New Year day....and keeping Irish Day? Who knew we had so many more Irish than Chinese in Queen's City?
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Wtf are you on about? Theres been NOTHING mentioned on here...I certainly don't read Harness here...so if it appeared there? This highlights the TOTAL LACK OF COMPETITION here though Forget overseas Corporates who offer very limited NZ competition... ...we desperately need MINIMUM bet Rules as per Australia and of course... ...Course Rail bookies who also guarantee a higher Minimum Bet limit... It can only add colour and increased interest...win win
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Geee I thought you'd be agreeing...after getting kicked off the other site..with so much work you'd put into it... ...and him treating you like dog scrape shoe?
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MV Breakfast with the Stars on NOW! Trackside 1
Thomass replied to Thomass's topic in Galloping Chat
Oh cmon...admit it As soon as you saw I'd tipped the Tri in ONE....and before that the Tri, Q and winner...ALL IN ONE...another TIPPING MASTERCLASS.. ...you felt sick to the pit of your double chin chin after trying to wish for any other result than the Tri I tipped you? FYI after so many races in 2 days and rain on the day the best ground was out where 1/2 were....not to mention the sling shot they got from the camber... The simple fact was if silly Opee had have stayed one off the trip...following the Jap..he could have used the sling shot off the camber and run 2nd...as moi predicted! What say you double chin? -
Oh ok so the wee fella was transitioning Stick? After his last quote "she's got other things on her mind" ...and being a 'noted' Vet of self proclaimed 'note' He's seen the research I've posted...because he reads this site religiously... ...and come to the conclusion that her hoped for go fast new hormones... ...have not kicked in and she's become another slow down pregnant stat? Shell make a great price when she goes into the ring though.... which begs the question..if Julz and the Wee fella love her so much..and seeing as they're loaded and could buy 100 of her like 10 times over... ...why sell a loved family member who's now become a family heirloom?
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Some great analysis from Oz form guru Dan O'Sullivan... The Queen will be reading this and laughing.. As impressive as the win of Lys Gracieux’s was, it wasn't in the same territory as Winx with the champion mare rating between one and 3.7 lengths superior across her four-year reign. Lys Gracieux's Cox Plate win on Saturday returned a 108 WFA Performance Rating. By comparison, here are Winx's four Cox Plate ratings: 2015: 113 2016: 115.5 2017: 110 2081: 111 It's easy to get carried away in the euphoria of a stunning victory like Lys Gracieux produced, but that's where a consistent and objective rating process can help to provide some context. When I assess the speed performance of Saturday's Cox Plate in conjunction with the past form and ratings of key runners, there's no objective reason to rate Lys Gracieux any higher than 108. The time and sectionals were strong, but they certainly weren't what I would call world class. The style of the win has some extra merit and it's likely that if Lys Gracieux found a position up near the lead in the early stages (like she did last start in Japan) then I'm sure she wins the Cox Plate by further and rates even higher, perhaps challenging that 110 mark or a touch better, but we can only assess what happened on the day. That's not to knock the win in any way, it was outstanding and a serious Group 1 quality performance, but it's important to keep some perspective. The ratings based assessors like myself have had Winx well and truly established as one of the top horses in the world for a number of years. Few would argue with that. Prior to Saturday Lys Gracieux didn't have that standing, so just because she was an impressive winner of the Cox Plate, it doesn't suddenly elevate her into the discussion with a mare like Winx. While it's unreasonable to compare her to Winx, Saturday's 108 rating win is totally dominant over anything we can foresee an Australian trained middle distance WFA horses producing at the moment and that's why she was so impressive. In the last four seasons, there has only been four Australian-trained horses outside of Winx produce a rating of 108 or better; Hartnell: 111 in his 2016 Turnbull Stakes win Humidor: 109.4 when 2nd to Winx in the 2017 Cox Plate (the lowest rating of her four wins) Arcadia Queen: 108.5 winning the 2018 Kingston Town Stakes Jameka: 108 when she won the 2017 2400m G1 WFA BMW in Sydney by 6.5 lengths (over Humidor) Our middle distance WFA races over the past couple of seasons have typically been won in the 103 to 105 rating range, which is short of what I call genuine Group 1 standard, so commentary about our current crop of WFA horses being below par are very much accurate. It's important to keep this in mind when interpreting the visual impressiveness of Lys Gracieux's win. She beat horses that aren't of genuine Group 1 WFA standard. On the positive side for Australian and New Zealand racing, both Castelvecchio and Te Akau Shark are new kids on the block, so with the benefit of their new found peaks this Spring, they will hopefully return in the Autumn and add some much needed credibility to our WFA ranks.
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Ok got ya Freda, Freda, Freda... My bad! It was a LOL emoji you pressed and not a LIKE.. ...should have realised you'd be laughing at his preposterous suggestion that 'investing' in L's are the same as doing actual form analysis 101...separating the desperate last chance Blinker applications with serious trainers.... ...who have Form horses, and have trialled blinkers knowing said application will help rather than hinder... ...as evidenced by serious Stats such as Moore's... ...and Jockeys like Willow who said after CASTELVECCIO's great effort..."the trainer gave me great confidence that he loves the Blinkers"...after Willow trailed him without them yea...all that
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Unfortunately you can't understand the concept of blinkers improving a horse... Remember your quote? "prove they make horses go faster" Almost as stupid as the Whanganui rails bias...which I'm predicting you're a purveyor of as well... ...tell im wrong Baldrick
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Wtf..I can understand wee Cee and bogan Bazz supporting your nonsense of 'L''s but Freda? Perhaps she missed the whole point.... If I've identified a superior Black type performer racing back in inferior class...with recent excuses such as 'unlucky' in recent starts...(something you ignore due to you being too thick and/ or blind) ...which activates the 'value' component...where said trainer identifies their neddy as needing Blinkers...after trailing said gear in training... ...so I simply add 20% to the Stake invested... ABSOLUTELY nothing to do with population stats and 'investing' on L's Totally preposterous fake b/s idiocy its comparable...
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I'll tell you what a fraud is... ....encouraging Punters to "do the opposite" and 'invest' on Whanganui rails runners on H 11 tracks... ...the single most stupidest advice you and Bazz have promulgated among a shit load of fake promulgations... Baldrick has more cop the f on
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Already done that...and in the 'tips' department the TIPPING MASTERCLASS continues on... I shouldn't have to continually show just how good I am.... ...or prove how ridiculous it is to suggest its like "tipping everything beginning with 'L'
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MV Breakfast with the Stars on NOW! Trackside 1
Thomass replied to Thomass's topic in Galloping Chat
Gee Wee Cee.... ...just checked the results....and is that another TRI I've tipped out...IN ONE. That could be part of a World Record methinks... The last 4 races I've Blue Printed....a TRI tipping 3 horses...a Quinella tipping 2....a winner in one... ...and now the Cox...a Tri in ONE Now that's what I call a TIPPING MASTERCLASS ROYALE ...I see you had the Shark at 33's though..what happened to your 'speed ratings'.... ..faulty speedo? -
Actually wasn't that the wee fella? MCKee said " she's very well"... ...they do look fantastic in the blooming period though...Ive oftened used a preggers Mare to look at moi's definition...wet seals are just like mirrors did you know? She does tend to over race but when she won the G2 there they were on...usually at this late stage of a race horse's career it's on/off that works to get them thinking