
Thomass
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Everything posted by Thomass
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Ring Snowey and tell him he's a loser for wasting time hooding Big Red up... How can anyone be so arrogant to suggest a Trainer of his stature knows less than a Statsman of your weasel stature??
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It's not funny at all... Your main man..BETFEAR have given you the stats... But an atypical stat such as REDZEL's..according to BF...doesn't match wtf knew horses ain't robots and dance to the same f in dance every time?? f me.. So you think Big Red...with his shiney Red Blinkers...is a robot... ...and his trainer doesn't know wtf he's doing onya...dickhead
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That could be it! Trev and Scooter could have detected an electric current had been applied to said blanky... They should be congratulated not reprimanded!
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That's too true FU... The combo of a good trainer and the fresh change could be all empowering... And then...how long does the Pavlov's Dog effect remain...if indeed there was one?
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So Godber gets asked the question today on the wireless...thanks for that question whoever yous is... "ahhhhh mmmmmm aaahhhh...really...ahhhahhh...oh f me...it's prolly the owner requested it...yea that" f me...no Mike Your RIU SUPPRESSED the reason why...that's what...nothing to do with the f in Owners Im getting the impression Te Akow are MASSIVELY pissed about this.... ...and rightfully so...why the Starter only got a reprimand...and not a FINE that trainers get is hopless But what's really hopeless is the SUPPRESSION and ZERO TRANSPARENCY of the RIU RIU = ZERO TRANSPARENCY
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He sounded very chipper..and it'll be joy oh joy for all 3 codes... .No real details due to the fact he'd get the sack...but news out from the Interim report real soon...
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Ring them up...I haven't got time for your lack of comprehension... You wish you knew how to win in the Blinker niche.... ...but you haven't got the emotional horse intelligence to know when and how to apply it... ...Maybe ring Snowden up and get a horses perspective on how some react...he's a horseman...he'll help you
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WOW!! Some people just give you complete and utter faith in their ability! Deano is just like Cindy... ...in control...assertive yet calm... no details but wtf cares!! Great Radio...what say you Reefer....Reefer...you out under the rock yet?? Hello...come in spinner
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Imagine taking this bird home to meet mum and Dad
Thomass replied to Flagship uberalles's topic in Galloping Chat
Yum! What about Sir Pat getting a sniff of this new op for his nu stud though?? Parading around the Kraka parade ring..with Armando on his arm....then his progeny flying behind... ...with buyers dodging the flying Pidgeons...not to mention the flying shit... Great entertainment And upon retirement rather than eating the poor f'er... Burying Armando with his pecker facing the sun...and his ass in an apple pie -
Imagine taking this bird home to meet mum and Dad
Thomass replied to Flagship uberalles's topic in Galloping Chat
You beat me to this one FU... This could be NZ Racing's saviour though... sold to China...which has MASSIVE growth in Pidgeon Racing ..now this provides MASSIVE ops for us...not only from a wagering perspective... ...but the pesky nuisance where Thoroughbreds are now requiring re-homing once tired ...get it?? ALREADY HOMED!! Then theres Pidgeon pie...and any amount of condiments not needed from the Thoroughbred feed larder... Nothing better than Pidgeon Pie and...Barley with a linseed base The TAB needs to work on this fast though...yea -
You shuddaupa your face Email BETFEAR and ask them... ...but how does "a better than average return in comparison to others" resonate in the olde grey batter matta? I only need look in the wagering accounts to know the way moi uses this particular niche works 3 winners had BO first time at Trentham...Equinox, Volks Lightning and Sent Miss.. Remarkably for VL first on in her 34th start...wtf did they wait so long? Eliot " they settled her from her usual over racing"...not so common Latta " they enabled her to race handier..made a Huge difference"..very common Obviously not all have the same reaction Thats why in my specific 'Blinker nich'...where the sole determinant is the fact Blinkers are on... There has to be VALUE...and what's remarkable about the BETFEAR stats...is that EVERY horse with BO 1st time or again...is included...in the "better than average return" I simply don't invest on neddys who are out of form...but I do take into account wide without cover, unlucky et el in assessing past form...who wouldn't...apart from bazza and his mutt?? SM was snagged back from the widest 13 draw last start and never got into the action on the rails..so the previous start was the form line...beaten 1/2L by Imelda Mary..but beating the fav for the Oaks in QOD... With her good wet track stats I assessed value at 17's...got 23's Its that simple...pm me for any queries you may have for future BO wearers though Id be delighted to help
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Very interesting article from Daniel O'Sullivan... Changing environments can never be underestimated in terms of increased vitality...and is there still a residual affect from past illegal Jiggery Pokkery?? Posted on March 20, 2019 by Daniel O'Sullivan FRIDAY will mark 50 days since a horse raced under the name of Darren Weir. The hundreds of horses in his care have been dispersed and at latest count there had been 179 individual horses from his stable to have started for another trainer. So how have they performed? Did they fall off a cliff like many thought? Have they improved? Has it been business as usual? Or do we have to wait a little longer to see the real outcome? When Weir was banned (he last had a runner on January 31), it’s fair to say there was an expectation his horses wouldn’t be as good in the care of new trainers. The reasoning was that on average Weir was regarded as one of the best (if not the best) conditioners in the country and the circumstances of his exit led to the assumption his horses had been afforded an illegal advantage. So you could say punters went into this period thinking Weir horses probably won’t prove as good as we’ve been used to. THE RESULTS The marketplace backs up that suggestion to some extent. Of those 179 runners, 29 won at their first start for another trainer (16.2%), which is slightly superior to Weir’s 14.6% strike rate for the season. More telling, if you backed all 179 runners, they show a +14.5% profit on turnover at the VIC Tab dividend (using proportional staking), which is quite amazing. The overall market average for all runners on the VIC Tab is a 15% loss! This shows the market took a slightly negative view to their chances, which was reflected in pricing, when in fact they have been winning at a similar or slightly better rate. Further to this, there’s been a good number of ex-Weir horses run to new peaks in their new surroundings. New Peaks Verry Elleegant became the latest feature winner from the former Weir stable when she convincingly won the Phar Lap Stakes for Chris Waller on Saturday at Rosehill. She also added her name to a list of horses that have run to new peaks since they left Weir’s stable. Here is a list of some of the bigger names to have started since Weir’s disqualification and their WFA Performance Ratings. Those ratings highlighted blue show where runners have run to a figure higher than their previous peak with Darren Weir, while those in light green shown runs within a length of their previous peak with Darren Weir. From the horses that have improved to new peaks, there’s probably not a lot of surprise in most of them given where they were at in their respective careers. The likes of Yes Yes Yes, Fifty Stars and Verry Elleegant were on an upward spiral when they left. The two exceptions are Brave Smash and Red Cardinal, who both went to Kris Lees at Newcastle. Red Cardinal had been a bitter disappointment since arriving in Australia, finishing no closer than 4.1 lengths from the winner in seven Australian runs before shifting to Lees. He is now two for two (in stakes races) since heading north. Brave Smash has been a topliner for a couple of seasons, but Lees managed to coax something even more from him to get as close as he did in the Newmarket Handicap this month. From the same list, the only ones you could say that have under-performed are Big Duke (veteran now), Voodoo Lad (returning from possible arduous Perth trip), Whispering Brook (end of long prep) and Extra Brut (needs 2000m?). So the easiest conclusion to draw is that there’s been very little change at all in the performance of those runners. UNANSWERED QUESTIONS While the results suggest there’s been no real change to the status quo, it’s possible the answer to the Weir question won’t be known for some time yet. Is the suspected effect of the reported illegal practices under Weir overstated? Or is there a longer lasting effect of those practices still in play with these horses? Will the performance of these horses deteriorate next preparation? Or has there been benefit for these horses in new surroundings and in different routines under the care of their new trainer? There’s some who believe all Weir horses should have been stood down for a mandatory period. If the horses were getting an unfair advantage at Weir’s, what’s to say that advantage doesn’t stay with the horse for some time to come? With such serious allegations levelled at Weir – and him subsequently pleading no contest – it’s a question that shouldn’t readily be dismissed. On the other hand, there may be nothing in it and the results may continue to flow next preparation and beyond. We will find out later in the year as the horses return for a full preparation in the care of another trainer and different regime, but for now, there’s no evidence at all to suggest they shouldn’t be backed with confidence. Posted in Latest News Darren Weir, WFA Performance Ratings
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And instead of making a major statement about vital gear being left off in a G1 race ...where IAT was SLOW out!! They slipped it virtually unseen into the 'miscellaneous' page the next week Race 9 - Vodafone NZ Derby IN A TWINKLING (G Boss) - The starter was reprimanded after Stewards became aware that the barrier blanket which was an item of notified gear had not been placed on the gelding. The starter’s explanation for this omission was noted. FFS...the Stewards "became aware" So the starter tried to hide the fact the BB had been left off...and him and his assistant clean forgot to look on the gear sheet?? And wtf was the explanation?? RIU = TRANSPARENCY Yea NA
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I don't need to BETFEAR don't need to talk porkies either... Theyve produced raw data that Blinkers is UNDERESTIMATED by the market... What a larf though... If "credible analysis" says REDZEL doesn't need Blinkers...with what his trainer says... then leave me out of credible
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Yes but your Stats show REDZEL's best ever performance was without BLINKERS in a benchmark race... ...and he doesn't need BLINKERS It's simply remarkable a minute portion of the population still hang on your every word...
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Ffs...this is BETFEAR!! They don't give a flying fig if you wipe their back to your front... Its Punter agin Punter there...shit fights in the bare pit ..they just sit back smoking durries rolling in the %'s
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Yep Look koppa...I'm actually all for the rail to stay in the True position EVERY day...like the olde days at Ellerslie...every course... But if the movable rail is there WTF would you leave it in the TRUE for a crap meeting... before Oaks day...Its nonsensical And it was buggery bollocks when Treweak said "oh we didn't see that rain coming on the first day" Even without the rain it still would have stuffed the rail though where Wodger James said "welly welly disappointing that track is WUFF" yea yep
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What absolute absurdity you rant.. Only a tool head would say Blinkers are the secret to wealth... Please don't talk b/s... But you should contact your mates at Betfear if you disagree Blinkers are "underestimated by the market"... theyve done the 'stats' statsman... which don't telly with yours... go on put them straight
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Good idea!! Any extra dissemination can't be bad...but Punters shouldn't have to check track conditions at the TAB site every time they bet... ..it needs to be ALERTED... If the boys at the RIU accept Twitter into their boozzies... ...they actually need to USE THE SYSTEM... Just doing it occasionally like the Northern boys are doing is f in hopeless
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I'm doing a hole lot of guessing today..but I'd say you're a reel olde f'er These younguns are mobile..on the run...not sat on their pat malones watching telly 24/7 They want to know the Trentham track description was absolute rubbish At least 3 levels out from Oatham sticking his foot in the morning dew... ...and a HOLDING track what's more... None of that was tweeted out...but it takes 10 seconds Maybe they could save money No gear changes...ALL horses to carry steering gear and standard bit Thatll save checking time...is that what you want?
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This is how it'll bedpan out Earily "you know Deano, btw Hi Deano love you... ...Ive been going on about this for years Deano....there...there...you know I have... ...I could have written this hole document...there....there..bye Deano...great chatting"
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Yea na, I whack out a tweet in 10 seconds But I'm cheep az I guess The boys at the RIU don't bother too much so don't worry The coudnt be bothered tweeting the change of Track condition at Tauranga... ...for the kids ..you know the young gees who are the next Punters... ..but they hate social media and information I guess..
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You're often to blame for his nonsense...please don't encourage him "it costs money to tweet...we don't need it"
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With Earily...Radio Trackside...if it works For those like Reefer who doesn't know who the f he is.. Head schbang at Winn's transition Committee for a new tomorrow Will he be divulging what's in the Interim report...will Winn release it tomorrow?? So many questions
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Strangest...make that strangest... Anyone ever been to the Palio Di Siena?? What a f in hooten spectacle...nearly lost the life there https://www.thoroughbredracing.com/articles/are-these-worlds-ten-strangest-horse-races/