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Bit Of A Yarn

Yankiwi's Racing Calendar


Yankiwi

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Southland continues to perform well.

7 consecutive race meeting without a medium or major injury covering 611 starts.

image.png.743c44d596dbb88cd6164955dbed66b7.png

 

Southland led the pack in Sept thru Nov 2023 when Mr. Dore claimed that Manukau Manawatu & Cambridge (or however it reads now) led the pack.

Southland also leads the pack over the entire racing season.

image.png.99d9e72b1e0e6d7d0f35c8ca00712838.png

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Yankiwi's April Racing Calendar.

Major injury rates applied with the current 3rd quarter results.

 

Of note

  • Otago RC club meeting will be held at Ascot.
  • Auckland RC meetings will be held at Cambridge.

Also of note

  • Christchurch rates have significantly decreased since last month's presentation but still remain above GRNZ's KPI target.
  • Palmerston North rates have significantly increased since last month's presentation and are now well now above GRNZ's KPI target.
  • Wanganui rates have significantly increased since last month's presentation yet remain below GRNZ's KPI target.

 

April.thumb.jpg.a505bdae126cc38986e14168d01c7c74.jpg

 

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  • 2 months later...
Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, Chief Stipe said:

It can't be fraud if it was an honest error.

The way it panned out, it wreaked as a fraud.

Mr. Dore had first said "Manukau & Cambridge".

Once that was mentioned on BOAY, it was changed to "Manawatu & Cambridge".

Then when I started calling it fraud, it reverted back to "Manukau & Cambridge".

Then a couple of hour later it again was changed to "Manawatu & Cambridge".

 

Those same "verified" minutes, because as they claim they are not posted until they've been signed off, the .pdf linked on their website, still to this day, appears to be a "draft"

https://www.grnz.co.nz/Files/Animal Health Welfare Committee minutes/2023 12 13 AHWC Minutes - Draft (1).pdf 

 

nor has it been signed off.

image.png.856fa4f6b860f95ab7feee731a49dcc9.png

Edited by Yankiwi
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1 hour ago, Yankiwi said:

The way it panned out, it wreaked as a fraud.

Mr. Dore had first said "Manukau & Cambridge".

Once that was mentioned on BOAY, it was changed to "Manawatu & Cambridge".

Then when I started calling it fraud, it reverted back to "Manukau & Cambridge".

Then a couple of hour later it again was changed to "Manawatu & Cambridge".

 

Those same "verified" minutes, because as they claim they are not posted until they've been signed off, the .pdf linked on their website, still to this day, appears to be a "draft"

https://www.grnz.co.nz/Files/Animal Health Welfare Committee minutes/2023 12 13 AHWC Minutes - Draft (1).pdf 

 

nor has it been signed off.

image.png.856fa4f6b860f95ab7feee731a49dcc9.png

It's not fraud.

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 3/14/2024 at 10:49 AM, aquaman said:

Southland have the best sand and surface in the entire country. They also have the slowest track, so no surprise's there.

Interesting the winning times coming out  of Ascot Park lately. They seem to be running around at least 0.5 of a second quicker. One wonders what has changed  as this was always a slow surface. Hopefully the quickening up doesn’t result in more injuries.

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12 hours ago, Chapdog said:

Interesting the winning times coming out  of Ascot Park lately. They seem to be running around at least 0.5 of a second quicker. One wonders what has changed  as this was always a slow surface. Hopefully the quickening up doesn’t result in more injuries.

Two things spring to mind, new box's and quality of dogs. The last year has seen regular appearances from strong Canterbury kennels, and this is set to grow. And the boxes look fairly new unlike the rubbishy ones they replaced. But first and foremost, quality of dog. Just my thoughts Chapdog.

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13 hours ago, Chapdog said:

Hopefully the quickening up doesn’t result in more injuries.

Ascot ~ safest track in the country, by far.

 

Season to date.

image.thumb.png.bc5879b152ba6f2059dbbae7606ffb50.png

 

4th quarter (Current).

image.thumb.png.86c06894014463255a02c663000043df.png

 

3rd quarter.

image.thumb.png.19ab80f779833b9233442f0e0ae19120.png

 

2nd quarter.

image.thumb.png.da7832be92a3e41610a82f7981ca9676.png

 

1st quarter.

image.thumb.png.1d0f9a18c150f4d47683a96528b7d446.png

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Is it correct that if you compare Chazza's figures to those from NSW then NZ actually does considerably better with injury rates than the NSW jurisdiction.  Perhaps GRNZ are shooting themselves in the paw with unrealistic KPI's.

Nothing worse than a KPI that you can't manage by action i.e. one that has an inherent statistical rate regardless of management activity.

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5 hours ago, Chief Stipe said:

Perhaps GRNZ are shooting themselves in the paw with unrealistic KPI's.

Quite possible.

I didn't set their KPI's, I only use them as the bar to compare against.

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  • 4 months later...
On 6/24/2024 at 8:49 PM, Chapdog said:

Interesting the winning times coming out  of Ascot Park lately. They seem to be running around at least 0.5 of a second quicker. One wonders what has changed  as this was always a slow surface. Hopefully the quickening up doesn’t result in more injuries.

 

On 6/25/2024 at 9:55 AM, Yankiwi said:

Ascot ~ safest track in the country, by far.

 

Season to date.

image.thumb.png.bc5879b152ba6f2059dbbae7606ffb50.png

 

4th quarter (Current).

image.thumb.png.86c06894014463255a02c663000043df.png

 

3rd quarter.

image.thumb.png.19ab80f779833b9233442f0e0ae19120.png

 

2nd quarter.

image.thumb.png.da7832be92a3e41610a82f7981ca9676.png

 

1st quarter.

image.thumb.png.1d0f9a18c150f4d47683a96528b7d446.png

I guess the guess the faster track has had a massive effect on the injury rates. Would be interesting to know why things have gone down hill like they have. 

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I don't know what caused the rapid change.

I have heard that they've had to strip the top layer and sift it (possibly twice) so far because of rocks/stones in it. Also, that further delays getting the track back are expected. GRNZ did put a couple of notices out which have now disappeared & seemed to have gone silent on the matter publicly.

 

Here's 15 months of major injury stats.

Southland.

All Major (22+ days & death)

  • 23/24 Q1  = 0.392%
  • 23/24 Q2 = 0.670%
  • 23/24 Q3 = 0.272%
  • 23/24 Q4 = 0.372%
  • 24/25 Q1  = 1.174%

 

Major 2+ (43+ days & death)

  • 23/24 Q1  = 0.392%
  • 23/24 Q2 = 0.096%
  • 23/24 Q3 = 0.246%
  • 23/24 Q4 = 0.106%
  • 24/25 Q1  = 0.961%
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  • 4 weeks later...
1 minute ago, Yankiwi said:

Not a good look for Southland.

The people that approved the recent refurb as "ready to return to racing" should be held responsible for that decision.

 

The job was to fix this,

image.thumb.png.6d5b9231e931564dce15a8b01794fd36.png

 

and this is what was accomplished.

image.thumb.png.d101a864cc692f91bef17d7562e48a85.png

FFS go to your local tertiary institution and borrow a book about statistical variation.

You are comparing one sample that is 10 times the size of the other with no variance estimate.

Subsequently your assertion is a nonsense!!

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