Jump to content
NOTICE TO BOAY'ers: Major Update Coming ×
Bit Of A Yarn

2024 Two Year Old of the Year - Who wins a tight contest? Or is it not that close?


Recommended Posts

  • Journalists

The Finalists for the 2024 Two Year Old of the Year are:

Bellatrix Star

Captured By Love

Move To Strike

Velocious

Which one deserves to win?

Using a graduated process of elimination - firstly:

By Race Performance - Race Wins:

Bellatrix Star  - 

  All 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th U Prizemoney
Career 5 2 1 1 1 0 0 $207,700.00

Captured By Love - 

  All 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th U Prizemoney
Career 6 4 0 2 0 0 0 $335,735.00


Move To Strike - 

 

  All 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th U Prizemoney
Career 4 2 1 0 0 1 0 $340,250.00

Velocious - 

 

  All 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th U Prizemoney
Career 6 4 0 1 0 0 1 $922,500.00

Based on race wins it is a tie between Captured By Love and Velocious on 4 wins with Bellatrix Star and Move To Strike on 2 wins each.  Although Move To Strike won a Grp 1 arguably both he and Bellatrix Start could be eliminated at this stage.

So that leaves Captured By Love and Velocious.

By Black Type Performance

Captured By Love - 

All Grp 1 Grp 2 Grp 3 Listed Restricted Listed Unplaced  
5 starts 2 x 3rd 2 x 1st 1 x 1st - - 0  

 

Velocious - 

All Grp 1 Grp 2 Grp 3 Listed Restricted Listed Unplaced  
5 starts 1 x 1st 1 x 3rd 0 1 x 1st 1 x 1st 1    

Velocious won the Grp 1 Sistema (Captured By Love - 3rd) and the Karaka Millions which is a good argument for her to win the award.  However the Karaka Millions is a Restricted Listed race which Captured By Love was ineligible to race in.

So would a points system be fairer?

The NZ Bloodstock Filly of the Year Points System (Note no points for Listed races)

 

 

RACE TYPE FIRST SECOND THIRD
Group 1 12 7 3.5
Group 2 8 4 2
Group 3 6 3 1.5

Captured By Love - 

All Grp 1 Grp 2 Grp 3 Total      

5 starts

Points

2 x 3rd

7

2 x 1st

16

1 x 1st

6

-

29

     

 

Velocious - 

All Grp 1 Grp 2 Grp 3 Total      

5 starts

Points

1 x 1st

12

1 x 3rd

6

0

0

-

18

     

 

That gives it to Captured By Love by the near equivalent of 1 Group win at 11 points in front.

A System Including the Restricted Listed Race

Perhaps that used to determine the Owner of the Year Award. 

Owner of The Year Award

Points are allocated as follows:

 

RACE TYPE FIRST SECOND THIRD
Group 1 12 8 6
Group 2 10 6 4
Group 3 9 5 3
RACE TYPE FIRST SECOND THIRD
Listed 8 4 2
Maiden 1    
       
Horse Total Points    
Captured By Love 42    
Velocious 33    

Again Captured By Love by 9 points nearly the equivalent of a Grp 1 win.

If you subtract the Restricted Listed Win points from Velocious the margin is even greater 25 vs 42.

Other Factors to Consider:

Travel

Velocious won at - Ellerslie (2), Te Rapa and Pukekohe

Captured By Love at - Trentham, New Plymouth, Matamata and Tauherenikau.

Points win to Captured By Love.

Most Impressive Performance

Velocious - probably her Karaka Millions win.

Captured By Love - the Wakefield Stakes in a race record time for the 1100m of 1:02.46.  A sectional between the 400m and 200m of 10.29 left the field gasping and she cruised to the line untouched.

Conclusion:

On most counts it is a clear points win to Captured by Love.  The most consistent 2yr old at the top level.  Using a fair points based system favoured by the NZ Bloodstock or NZTR and she is a clear winner.  

 

  • Champ Post 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Wandering Eyes said:

What a cracking win that was! I have not re watched until now! I note the rider comment about making the weight! :)
In the lead up to this race I was keen to see how the colt Red Sea ran, he looked great, but not today!  later to run 2nd in G1 1400... another colt that I was watching was Move To Strike, both him and RS had to run on some challenging tracks for a few of their runs.. I see the Ratings have them at

Move To Strike 80

Velocious 80

Captured By love 77

Archaic Smile 77.

Red Sea 77

 

Gee, dropping the Hype of that race, then I would have to vote for the Colt! :)

ps. I would be rather Excited with any going forward! :)

 

In the end

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Chief Stipe said:

Velocious is by Written Tycoon (AUS) out of an Australian Bred mare.  Just happened to go through the NZB sales.

My point exactly , they are all by Aus bred sires.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Wandering Eyes said:

Move To Strike by I Am Invincible is the winner of the Matamata 2yr Old of the Year Award for 2023-24.

that would have been my vote... such a good looking boy! as ever, one has to wait and see how he has come up as a 3 year old.. can't wait to see what he looks like next time he at races? Hastings?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Murray Fish said:

that would have been my vote... such a good looking boy! as ever, one has to wait and see how he has come up as a 3 year old.. can't wait to see what he looks like next time he at races? Hastings?

Didn't you watch the trials?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 4 weeks later...

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...