mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Hesi suggested putting up some info for this race. Early days and will update my views as things change. This race isn't one I'd bet on even if I was an NZ punter. Most horses have had very few starts, which reduces my confidence around their ability. So here are my assessments including prices. As at now. Punters may want to get on Total Excess, or even Masetto - but no. Based on track rated 8 Bonecrusher Stakes # Runner Predicted Time Price Chance% 9 Langkawi 1:26.94 $5.90 16.95 2 Star Performance 1:26.94 $6.00 16.67 12 Surely Sacred 1:26.94 $7.00 14.29 7 Hypos 1:27.18 $10.00 10.00 5 Spirits Aubeer 1:27.27 $12.00 8.33 11 Roll The Dice 1:27.27 $12.50 8.00 3 Masetto 1.27.29 $16.50 6.06 8 Cantstopthefeeling 1.27.29 $19.00 5.26 6 Cavallo Veloce 1:27.29 $24.00 4.17 1 Bocce 1:27.29 $26.00 3.85 10 Quizmaster 1:27.29 $27.00 3.70 4 Total Excess 1:27.30 $40.00 2.50 13 Musical Blues 1:27.73 $500.00 0.20 99.98 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 With current TAB odds. Based on track rated 8 Bonecrusher Stakes # Runner Predicted Time Price Chance% TAB Thomass Curious FTF barryb Other? 9 Langkawi 1:26.94 $5.90 16.95 $8.00 2 Star Performance 1:26.94 $6.00 16.67 $9.50 12 Surely Sacred 1:26.94 $7.00 14.29 $13.00 7 Hypos 1:27.18 $10.00 10.00 $11.00 5 Spirits Aubeer 1:27.27 $12.00 8.33 $8.00 11 Roll The Dice 1:27.27 $12.50 8.00 $35.00 3 Masetto 1.27.29 $16.50 6.06 $4.20 8 Cantstopthefeeling 1.27.29 $19.00 5.26 $23.00 6 Cavallo Veloce 1:27.29 $24.00 4.17 $21.00 1 Bocce 1:27.29 $26.00 3.85 $13.00 10 Quizmaster 1:27.29 $27.00 3.70 $16.00 4 Total Excess 1:27.30 $40.00 2.50 $4.80 13 Musical Blues 1:27.73 $500.00 0.20 $31.00 99.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 (edited) Add these in for me please Mardi For mine its a race in 5 2 Star Performance $4.00 4 Total Excess $6.00 1 Bocce $9.00 9 Langkawi $10.00 6 Cavallo Veloce $12.50 Not a race I would bother with (at this stage), but Star Performance is easily the best betting option. Edited December 6, 2018 by barryb 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 minute ago, barryb said: Add these in for me please Mardi For mine its a race in 5 2 Star Performance $4.00 4 Total Excess $6.00 1 Bocce $9.00 9 Langkawi $10.00 6 Cavallo Veloce $12.50 No probs barryb. Will do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barryb Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Interesting I had a re-look at Surely Sacred as I have it priced at over $20.00 & I am happy with where I have priced it. Its a lotto style race, makes things harder to assess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 (edited) 9 minutes ago, barryb said: Interesting I had a re-look at Surely Sacred as I have it priced at over $20.00 & I am happy with where I have priced it. Its a lotto style race, makes things harder to assess. It definitely is. Whatever happens, we won't see anything from Thomass until after the race. Edited December 6, 2018 by mardigras Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 Hey VC!, Portfolio, Newmarket, others - give this a crack. More the better! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VC! Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, mardigras said: Hey VC!, Portfolio, Newmarket, others - give this a crack. More the better! How did you come up with the name mardigras come on mate racing is the sport of kings not queens sorry I couldn’t help myself Hesi asked me to have a crack at this in his original post there’s not enough exposed form for myself to rate this race it’s a race I couldn’t get involved in either Awesome you put this thread up though So I guess you will be laying Total Excess I might have a crack at an Australian race tomorrow when I get a bit of time I will post it on here if that’s Ok with you 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hesi Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Yes, great you have put this thread Mardigras, thanks, in retrospect, probably should've gone for the Captain Cook Stakes with the more exposed form. But what the hell I'm just sitting back and taking it all in. Much to the disgust of you pro's, I'm a $200 all up place, 3-4 legs, all faves. 1.40, 1.50, 1.60, 1.70, divvies in that region give me a $1000 to $1800 collect every so often. Just a bit of fun, and it gets fairly exciting going into the last leg with a grand on a 1.40 place shot. But who knows 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 12 hours ago, mardigras said: It definitely is. Whatever happens, we won't see anything from Thomass until after the race. It's going to be a 4/5 by the time this race comes around I've just come back from a X fit session with the Princess... 40 x 3 repeats of push ups...with the P on my back..really got me going Luckily I forced her into that mid winter diet...there's nothing worse than xtra cellulite weighing moi down Anyway change ya prices...asap...or ya going to look stupid az The Muriwai surf looked spectacular on a cloudless morning... ...especially moi coming out of the surf... as naked as the day the midwife spanked me...picture that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hesi Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 ??? WTF has this got to do with the Bonecrusher Stakes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newmarket Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Well, As Thommy obviously not going to put up, here are my 5. Langkiwi $5-00 Total Express $5-00 Surely Sacred $8-00 Canstopthefeelin $11-00 Cavallo Veloce $11-00. Really like the ones rated $11-00, 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, hesi said: ??? WTF has this got to do with the Bonecrusher Stakes Grassi's miscalculated his track prediction ffs! Im here to help him! Hes on Mars...Im at HQ! Where are you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 I haven't miscalculated anything to do with the track rating. I've used the rating as per NZTR. When that changes, then I may change my prices. My post had the rating that applied at the time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 6 minutes ago, mardigras said: I haven't miscalculated anything to do with the track rating. I've used the rating as per NZTR. When that changes, then I may change my prices. My post had the rating that applied at the time. WTF up son TWITTER is where it's at... Not only the ALL OVER Tan from this morning's frolic indicates HOT weather....but there's a continuing improvement... oh forgot you're a MAGOO The track at 8.30am at @Ellerslie_Races was just a Slow 7. It will be in the Dead range this afternoon and with fine weather forecast tomorrow, it will keep improving Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newmarket Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 20 minutes ago, Thomass said: Grassi's miscalculated his track prediction ffs! Im here to help him! Hes on Mars...Im at HQ! Where are you? Must admit, i thought your posts were a little amusing earlier on, but they make little sense now. You mention you at the gym, moi and princess in every thread? Why not just post nags with prices before race, what are you worried about? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mardigras Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 And to think I put my prices up last night when NZTR said it was an 8. I'm happy using 8 until I decide otherwise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hesi Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just give him a holiday will ya Chief before he turns the site into a circus Been warned about corrupting threads Some never learn 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theshu Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Bit late for that,the guy just threadfucks every topic ,lucky i deleted the moron. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, hesi said: Just give him a holiday will ya Chief before he turns the site into a circus Been warned about corrupting threads Some never learn Wtf... Im helping everyone out for the reported track conditions!! His selections are for S8! Take a deep breath hess! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hesi Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Bullshit, you're warbling on about your fantasies with some woman Everyone else manages to take responsibility for a reasonable modicum of forum etiquette and decorum If you can't, then just fuck off from this site and give the Chief one less headache 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghost Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 15 minutes ago, hesi said: Bullshit, you're warbling on about your fantasies with some woman It’s not just some Woman she’s a real Doll 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thomass Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 (edited) 24 minutes ago, hesi said: Bullshit, you're warbling on about your fantasies with some woman Everyone else manages to take responsibility for a reasonable modicum of forum etiquette and decorum If you can't, then just fuck off from this site and give the Chief one less headache FYI you invited moi into this thread... Who said only selections are ALOUD?? Id say buy a SOH pop! Edited December 6, 2018 by Thomass Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Typical definition of a troll Trolling – (verb), as it relates to internet, is the deliberate act, (by a Troll – noun or adjective), of making random unsolicited and/or controversial comments on various internet forums with the intent to provoke an emotional knee jerk reaction from unsuspecting readers to engage in a fight or argument 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FeelTheFear Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 Wouldn't usually play these races but in the spirit of giving and a little fun. Horse Assessed Masetto $10.98 Total Excess $6.95 Hypnos $9.97 Langkawi $9.54 Roll The Dice $8.65 Surely Sacred $11.64 Top Assessed Jockeys (Current) L Innes (Surely Sacred) M McNab (Roll The Dice) Top Assessed Trainers (Current) J Richards (Total Excess) N Tiley (Spirits Aubeer) T Pike (Surely Sacred) James & Wellwood (Hypnos) O'Sullivan & Scott (Musical Blues) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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