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Bit Of A Yarn

Bonecrusher Stakes


mardigras

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Hesi suggested putting up some info for this race. Early days and will update my views as things change. This race isn't one I'd bet on even if I was an NZ punter. Most horses have had very few starts, which reduces my confidence around their ability. So here are my assessments including prices. As at now. Punters may want to get on Total Excess, or even Masetto - but no.

Based on track rated 8

     

Bonecrusher Stakes

     

#

Runner

Predicted Time

Price

Chance%

9

Langkawi

1:26.94

$5.90

16.95

2

Star Performance

1:26.94

$6.00

16.67

12

Surely Sacred

1:26.94

$7.00

14.29

7

Hypos

1:27.18

$10.00

10.00

5

Spirits Aubeer

1:27.27

$12.00

8.33

11

Roll The Dice

1:27.27

$12.50

8.00

3

Masetto

1.27.29

$16.50

6.06

8

Cantstopthefeeling

1.27.29

$19.00

5.26

6

Cavallo Veloce

1:27.29

$24.00

4.17

1

Bocce

1:27.29

$26.00

3.85

10

Quizmaster

1:27.29

$27.00

3.70

4

Total Excess

1:27.30

$40.00

2.50

13

Musical Blues

1:27.73

$500.00

0.20

       

99.98

 

 

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With current TAB odds.

Based on track rated 8

                 

Bonecrusher Stakes

                 

#

Runner

Predicted Time

Price

Chance%

TAB

Thomass

Curious

FTF

barryb

Other?

9

Langkawi

1:26.94

$5.90

16.95

$8.00

         

2

Star Performance

1:26.94

$6.00

16.67

$9.50

         

12

Surely Sacred

1:26.94

$7.00

14.29

$13.00

         

7

Hypos

1:27.18

$10.00

10.00

$11.00

         

5

Spirits Aubeer

1:27.27

$12.00

8.33

$8.00

         

11

Roll The Dice

1:27.27

$12.50

8.00

$35.00

         

3

Masetto

1.27.29

$16.50

6.06

$4.20

         

8

Cantstopthefeeling

1.27.29

$19.00

5.26

$23.00

         

6

Cavallo Veloce

1:27.29

$24.00

4.17

$21.00

         

1

Bocce

1:27.29

$26.00

3.85

$13.00

         

10

Quizmaster

1:27.29

$27.00

3.70

$16.00

         

4

Total Excess

1:27.30

$40.00

2.50

$4.80

         

13

Musical Blues

1:27.73

$500.00

0.20

$31.00

         
       

99.98

           

 

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Add these in for me please Mardi

For mine its a race in 5

2 Star Performance $4.00

4 Total Excess $6.00

1 Bocce $9.00

9 Langkawi $10.00

6 Cavallo Veloce $12.50

Not a race I would bother with (at this stage), but Star Performance is easily the best betting option.

Edited by barryb
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9 minutes ago, barryb said:

Interesting I had a re-look at Surely Sacred as I have it priced at over $20.00 & I am happy with where I have priced it.

Its a lotto style race, makes things harder to assess.

It definitely is. Whatever happens, we won't see anything from Thomass until after the race.

Edited by mardigras
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10 minutes ago, mardigras said:

Hey VC!, Portfolio, Newmarket, others - give this a crack. More the better!

How did you come up with the name mardigras come on mate racing is the sport of kings not queens  sorry I couldn’t help myself 

Hesi asked me to have a crack at this in his original post there’s not enough exposed form for myself to rate this race it’s a race I couldn’t get involved in either 

Awesome you put this thread up though 

So I guess you will be laying Total Excess

I might have a crack at an Australian race tomorrow when I get a bit of time I will post it on here if that’s Ok with you

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Yes, great you have put this thread Mardigras, thanks, in retrospect, probably should've gone for the Captain Cook Stakes with the more exposed form.

But what the hell I'm just sitting back and taking it all in.

Much to the disgust of you pro's, I'm a $200 all up place, 3-4 legs, all faves.

1.40, 1.50, 1.60, 1.70, divvies in that region give me a $1000 to $1800 collect every so often.

Just a bit of fun, and it gets fairly exciting going into the last leg with a grand on a 1.40 place shot.

But who knows

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12 hours ago, mardigras said:

It definitely is. Whatever happens, we won't see anything from Thomass until after the race.

It's going to be a 4/5 by the time this race comes around

I've just come back from a X fit session with the Princess...

40 x 3 repeats of push ups...with the P on my back..really got me going

Luckily I forced her into that mid winter diet...there's nothing worse than xtra cellulite weighing moi down

Anyway change ya prices...asap...or ya going to look stupid az

The Muriwai surf looked spectacular on a cloudless morning...

...especially moi coming out of the surf...

as naked as the day the midwife spanked me...picture that

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6 minutes ago, mardigras said:

I haven't miscalculated anything to do with the track rating. I've used the rating as per NZTR. When that changes, then I may change my prices. My post had the rating that applied at the time.

WTF up son

TWITTER is where it's at...

Not only the ALL OVER Tan from this morning's frolic indicates HOT weather....but there's a continuing improvement...

oh forgot you're a MAGOO

The track at 8.30am at

was just a Slow 7. It will be in the Dead range this afternoon and with fine weather forecast tomorrow, it will keep improving

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20 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Grassi's miscalculated his track prediction ffs!

Im here to help him!

Hes on Mars...Im at HQ!

Where are you?

Must admit, i thought your posts were a little amusing earlier on, but they make little sense now. You mention you at the gym, moi and princess in every thread? 

Why not just post nags with prices before race, what are you worried about? 

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12 minutes ago, hesi said:

Just give him a holiday will ya Chief before he turns the site into a circus

Been warned about corrupting threads

Some never learn

 

Wtf...

Im helping everyone out for the reported track conditions!!

His selections are for S8!

Take a deep breath hess!

 

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Bullshit, you're warbling on about your fantasies with some woman

Everyone else manages to take responsibility for a reasonable modicum of forum etiquette and decorum 

If you can't, then just fuck off from this site and give the Chief one less headache

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24 minutes ago, hesi said:

Bullshit, you're warbling on about your fantasies with some woman

Everyone else manages to take responsibility for a reasonable modicum of forum etiquette and decorum 

If you can't, then just fuck off from this site and give the Chief one less headache

FYI you invited moi into this thread...

Who said only selections are ALOUD??

Id say buy a SOH pop!

Edited by Thomass
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Typical definition of a troll

Trolling – (verb), as it relates to internet, is the deliberate act, (by a Troll – noun or adjective), of making random unsolicited and/or controversial comments on various internet forums with the intent to provoke an emotional knee jerk reaction from unsuspecting readers to engage in a fight or argument 

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Wouldn't usually play these races but in the spirit of giving and a little fun. 

Horse Assessed
Masetto $10.98
Total Excess $6.95
Hypnos $9.97
Langkawi $9.54
Roll The Dice $8.65
Surely Sacred $11.64
   
Top Assessed Jockeys (Current)  
L Innes (Surely Sacred)  
M McNab (Roll The Dice)  
   
Top Assessed Trainers (Current)  
J Richards (Total Excess)  
N Tiley (Spirits Aubeer)  
T Pike (Surely Sacred)  
James & Wellwood (Hypnos)  
O'Sullivan & Scott (Musical Blues)  
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