BOAY Racing News

Like many of us enthusiasm wanes somewhat as winter and very heavy tracks loom. That said I have known many a punter that loved the wetter months and like you I can get sucked into the gruel that is a genuine slush/sticky track. I noticed that the stakes for the Winter months have been reduced but I was curious about open handicaps and what I uncovered is depressing. An owner with a mudder will be racing for stakes in most open handicaps that were available 30 years ago. A real you and us divide compared to Spring/Summer racing. Yes there was always a gap but that gap is now a chasm.  Scroll through the Saturday dates in the Calendar on NZTR and you will see. If one has a promising galloper that only performs on heavy, why bother. I had a lot of success in one early winter race which used to be known as the Kiwifruit cup raced mid/late June at Tauranga. We remember the names of those lovely horses that we bet on and won, so again using the excellent data available on NZTR website I can type in the horses name and see results and stake of race. The Kiwifruit cup was 35K in 1991, (approx 100k today), 2007, stake doubled to 70K but mid last decade dropped back to 40K. Problem is next month, ten years on, that race will be still 40K. I think there is a strong case to be made for racing to cease for 3 weeks in July and then a grand finale in the last week of July where real money is up. That unfortunately requires initiative and creativity regarding the racing Calendar...sigh   

EDUCATION: Are blinkers and winkers a profitable gear change? Blinkers or winkers – can either prove a profitable gear change? Photo: George Sal/Getty Images.     By Greg Polson 02:00pm • 19 May 2024 0 Comments More number crunching this week looking at gear changes and the results are thought provoking. Blinkers first time, winkers first time and blinkers off first time are the focus of this week's analysis. Firstly, some background on the data. It covers the period January 1, 2023 to April 30, 2024, and I have chosen not to include horses that had blinkers or winkers on first time having there first start. **** Greg Polson is one of Racenet iQ's premium tipsters covering racing across the state of New South Wales. Click here to subscribe to his winning insights. **** I will leave it to Racenet readers to draw their own conclusions and whether the data will help there punting however there are a couple of salient points. Blinkers first time is over rated in the marketplace, blinkers off first time is actually a better guide for punters. Whichever way the data is spliced and diced, it's hard to get any sort off edge from blinkers first time, there are some profitable groupings in winkers first time and blinkers off that could be worth considering from a punting angle. Joe Pride is the star trainer with these gear changes. Interestingly he was also the best performer with change of tactic notifications in last week's article. **** EDUCATION: Are Changes Of Tactics Profitable? **** Here's the data on Blinkers and Winkers. Blinkers first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 3131 317 10.1 -25.3 per cent **** Blinkers off first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 1877 193 10 -17.4 per cent When the blinkers come off for the first time it's actually an improved return for punters. A similar strike rate but the losses nowhere near as high. **** Winkers first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 1264 146 12 -11.7 per cent Winkers first time actually out performs blinkers. **** Blinkers first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 140 9 6 -37.1 3 1209 148 12 -19.4 4 1098 108 10 -22.6 5 441 35 8 -34.8 6 174 12 7 -46.6 7 and older 69 5 7 -33.5 **** Winkers first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 52 6 12 -49.8 3 413 53 13 -10 4 424 55 13 +15.5 5 220 22 10 -46.8 6 99 7 7 -4.3 7 and older 56 3 5 -65.5 Again winkers out perform blinkers and four-year-olds with winkers on for the first time are a profitable group. **** Blinkers off first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 39 2 5 -89.7 3 587 66 11 -41.8 4 699 71 10 -22 5 413 35 8 +5.8 6 168 21 13 +50.5 7 and older 76 2 3 -86.8 Blinkers off the older horses five and six-years old profitable. Clearly a grouping underestimated by the market. **** Blinkers first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 1729 177 10 -33.5 1400m-1799m 1103 112 10 -13 1800m and longer 299 28 9 -23.5 **** Winkers first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 692 87 13 +1.3 1400m-1799m 444 45 10 -21.4 1800m and longer 128 14 11 -46.1 Winkers first time on horses racing at a distance less than 1400m is actually marginally profitable. **** Blinkers off first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 1123 119 11 -35.2 1400m-1799m 631 56 9 -1.6 1800m and longer 228 22 10 +6.2 Again blinkers off are more profitable for punters particularly at distance 1400m and longer. **** Blinkers first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 2416 256 11 -22.3 10-19 582 57 10 -41.2 20 or more 231 18 8 -11.9 **** Winkers first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 1210 134 11 -5.6 10-19 284 31 11 -27.4 20 or more 148 12 8 -14.3 **** Blinkers off first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 1177 122 10 -34.4 10-19 535 58 11 +14.6 20 or more 270 17 6 -24 What about breaking down the data by trainers? Joe Pride is the star when it comes to blinkers first time with a 35 per cent winning strike rate and a profit on turnover of 177.50. Chris Waller and Ciaron Maher the two trainers with the most runners with the gear change perform poorly. Matt Dunn, Grant & Alana Williams, Brad Widdup and Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou are all profitable trainers applying blinkers first time. When it comes to taking blinkers off for the first time Joe Pride performs with distinction again with a winning strike rate of 25 per cent and a POT of 50.8. **** Greg Polson is one of Racenet iQ's premium tipsters covering racing across the state of New South Wales. Click here to subscribe to his winning insights. **** Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott, Annabel Neasham, Leon and Troy Corstens, Matt Dunn and NSW country trainer Brett Robb also know when to remove the blinkers with impressive strike rates and profit on turnover. Symon Wilde is the leading trainer with a 17 per cent strike rate and 39 per cent profit on turnover applying winkers first time. Blinkers first time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter, the first five in the table is by volume, the second five are the most profitable Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 67 7 10 -46.1 C Maher 51 6 12 -71.4 K Lees 46 5 11 -38 B Baker 34 7 21 -21.5 P Stokes 34 4 12 -12 J Pride 20 7 35 +177.5 M Dunn 18 3 17 +227.2 G & A Williams 17 3 18 +54.1 B Widdup 15 3 20 +97.3 G Ryan and S Alexiou 13 2 15 +84.6 **** Let's add a couple of price filters for the trainers. Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 55 7 13 -34.4 C Maher 44 6 14 -66.8 K Lees 36 5 14 -20.8 B Baker 30 7 23 -11 P Stokes 28 4 14 -22.9 T Gollan 23 4 17 +3.9 J Pride 20 7 35 +177.5 T Busuttin and N Young 19 3 26 +.5 G & A Williams 17 3 18 +54.1 Mitchell Freedman 11 4 36 +37.3 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 36 6 17 -33.1 C Maher 32 6 19 -54.4 K Lees 26 4 15 -50.8 A Neasham 24 4 17 -50.8 B Baker 22 7 32 +21.4 James Cummings 16 4 25 +22.5 T Busuttin and N Young 14 3 21 +36.4 D O'Brien 13 3 23 +16.2 J Pride 13 5 38 +109.2 Mitchell Freedman 9 4 44 +67.8 **** Winkers first time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 31 2 6 -71.6 S Wilde 29 5 17 +39 T Dabernig 27 2 7 -37.4 M, W & J Hawkes 21 2 10 -66.2 P & P Snowden 20 3 15 -43 L J Hatch 12 4 33 +100 C Waller 10 2 20 +85 **** Let's add a couple of price filters for the trainers. Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 27 2 7 -67.4 S Wilde 26 5 19 +55 T Dabernig 25 2 8 -32.4 P & P Snowden 19 3 16 -40 M, W & J Hawkes 15 2 13 -52.7 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 19 2 11 -53.7 T Dabernig 17 2 12 -.6 S Wilde 16 4 25 +53.8 ***** Blinkers off time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 35 4 11 +9.7 K Lees 27 3 1 -48.1 G Waterhouse & A Bott 26 6 23 +50.4 C Waller 23 3 13 -50.9 M Price & M Kent Jnr 17 1 6 -76.5 Annabel Neasham 13 3 23 +99.2 J Pride 12 3 25 +50.8 L & T Corstens 12 3 25 +34.2 M Dunn 11 3 27 +38.2 Brett Robb 9 3 33 +68.9 **** Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 29 3 10 -44.5 K Lees 23 3 13 -39.1 G Waterhouse & A Bott 22 6 27 +77.7 C Waller 19 3 16 -40.5 T Gollan 16 2 13 -24.4 B Cavanough 14 2 14 +17.9 A & S Freedman 13 5 38 +23.1 J Pride 11 3 27 +64.5 Annabel Neasham 11 3 27 +135.5 M Dunn 10 3 30 +52 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 20 3 15 -19.5 K Lees 17 3 18 -17.6 G Waterhouse & A Bott 15 5 33 +52 C Waller 15 3 20 -24.7 T Gollan 13 2 15 -6.9 J Pride 16 4 25 +22.5 T Busuttin and N Young 14 3 21 +36.4 D O'Brien 13 3 23 +16.2 J Pride 6 3 50 +201.7     Read all news by Greg Polson

Driver Penalties  T Grant | Banks Peninsula 1 April (heard non-raceday 19 April); failed to take all reasonable and permissible measures; suspended 11 May – 2 June inclusive.  A Edge | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; use of whip; fined $250.  B Ford | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; careless driving; fined $300.  Z Butcher | Waikato Bay of Plenty 16 May; use of whip; fined $300.  A Drake | NZ Metropolitan 17 May; careless driving; suspended 18-26 May inclusive.  C De Filippi | Rangiora 19 May; careless driving; fined $250.  R Holmes | Rangiora 19 May; contacted track marker; fined $100.  G Smith | Rangiora 19 May; contacted track markers; fined $100.  Trainer Penalties  T Stratford | Invercargill 18 May; incorrect gear; fined $100.  M House | Rangiora 19 May; late to present runner onto track: fined $100.  Horse Penalties  SCARLETT’S LEGACY | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; late scratching on veterinary advice; veterinary clearance required.  IMPERIAL COMMAND | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; refused to come up into position; must complete standing start trial.  SILVERLININGS | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; broke in running; must complete trial.   FINAL APPROACH | Auckland 17 May; broke in score up; must complete mobile start trial.  LIVING THE MOMENT | Rangiora 19 May; broke in running; must complete trial.  Protests  CAPPAHA | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; failed to lose ground when in break; disqualified from 3rd.  IMPERIAL COMMAND | NZ Metropolitan 15 May; unsatisfactory manners prior to start; declared a non-runner.  The post 13-19 May 2024 appeared first on RIB. View the full article

Right so Kah can't win with can she?  If the horse is well ridden and wins its the horse that did it and anyone could have ridden it. If the horse gets skittled early and Kah recovers but the horse won't move out when she reins it to its Kahs fault. Just keep banging on and on being a knocker and don't back her ever again. Geez you must have a lot of time on your hands if you can sit their analysing all her rides.  Actually you don't really do that do you? I gather your hobby is trying to knock down tall poppies.

I had one of them radio booster things, either bought it out of Turf Digest of Truth also putting radio up against post and wire fe ce worked, wasn't always convenient uf you going to town to take the fence with you lol but the wee device did work. That would have been the mid 80s. Strangely in today's day and age we have so much available with the internet but still moan sometimes. All the oldies like the radio, lots of youngans probably don't know what a AM radio is.