Chief Stipe

A handfull is 5. Imperatriz had 27 starts. 24 at Group level.

Same ilk.

Caitlin Jones was the partner of Jason Holder. I say was because not sure where they are at now.

Typical comment from you. I'm not sure you'd look that good either without makeup and having ridden a few horses not to mention cap hair.

The bunny would tire out.

Perhaps your punting is suffering from a bias as found in the attached paper. Over a 20-year period, the effect of jockey gender on fixed price betting odds was examined in National Hunt racing. Employing censored regression to account for non-finishers we find female jockeys to be underestimated by the UK betting market. Results indicate an increasing trend for underestimation in recent years, despite growing representation and rising performance levels of female jockeys. We conclude that mistake-based discrimination and confirmation bias may be impacting efficiency in the betting market. The market might recognise some improvement in female performance but may be failing to adapt at the speed with which female jockeys are professionalising. 1-s2.0-S0167268122002864-main.pdf

Nor the "Non-binary". You say it is hardly an unusual occurence - when was the time prior? It's only been done once in NZ that I can recall. On 10 October 2019 at Tauherenikau Racecourse.

Not to mention that if they redirected the money from boosting the top tier races and the novelty races they could probably run $25,000 minimum races all year keeping horses in the game longer to feed higher rated races. But who cares about Open Handicap racing anymore...the suits obviously don't.

I don't understand why SAFE don't protest outside French Bulldog breeders and owners homes?

Correct and why didn't they? I should have said 1969 or 1970 but then you'd pull me up on the size of the fields and once again miss the point. I was there at the Hororata Domain track in 1971 to see Arapaho win the Hororata Cup beating another good horse in Robalan who was off 24 yards. A 16 horse field. The fields that day were huge - 17, 18, 14, 19, 16, 18, 16, 9, 16. 143 in total! The TAB app wouldn't cope and you'd need a 95 inch TV just to see the win odds! The last race was in 1980 with 4,000 people oncourse and a turnover in excess of $600k. Which takes us back to the Topic. Has does that turnover compare with Addington today? Hororata – Whilst not strictly classified as Mid Canterbury, Hororata (situated on the north western edge of Canterbury plains), has been included in Mid Canterbury section as they now hold their annual meeting at Methven’s Mt Harding track. The club formed on 11 September 1951, held matinee meetings from 26 March 1952 on Hororata Domain (1 mile grass, 1½f straight), non-tote meetings from 8 January 1955 until 6 October 1956 before their inaugural totalisator meeting on 26 April 1958. Prior to this the Hororata RC (formed 1875, trotting races since 1885) programmed trotting events at the Domain from 9 January 1891 until 8 December 1956 (meetings Riccarton 24 March 1923; 16 December 1933; 14 December 1946 and Waihora Domain. Motukarara 15 December 1945). The Racing Club invited the Trotting Club to assume a half share in its assets with no interest payable for the first three years. The Racing Club is now a ward of the Canterbury JC and races at Riccarton. The Trotting Club continued to race at Hororata Domain until forced to close and move elsewhere with its final meeting 10 March 1984. In 1985, the Hororata TC commenced racing on the all-weather track at Ashburton until its annual meeting of 4 March 2001; moved to Addington 1 March 2002 – 22 February 2013 and since the annual meeting of 22 February 2014; has returned to its roots of grass track racing on the Mt Harding course at Methven.

One of my favourite teachers at High School was a Mr Gugich. He loved a punt. Knew my Dad had horses and was always asking me at the end of class if I had any tips. He used to put a good word in when at the beginning of every year I invariably missed the first week and a half of the new school year. Our family was holidaying on the Nelson/Blenheim Harness circuit.

Those fences looked terrible. Not very high either. I could have jumped them!

If you didn't measure it then your observations have no value.

We've all seen what happens when you go one race too far. Or one season too far. Verry Elleegant springs to mind.

Or the guy in the trench coat and low brim hat offering you cash for your tickets plus 10%. That was when money laundering was a breeze!

I'm not. Why risk a nice mare for a sweepstake race?

So why retire her? Te Akau made a business decision based on the vet report and her broodmare potential. BTW what would be the cost of insuring a mare worth around $6m for a year? I know it costs $26k per year to insure a filly that's valued at $600k.

Hope not. If Te Akau have vetted her and the information says don't race again as there is a high risk of injury racing again then I'd say NO. At the end of a horses season Te Akau fully vet and x-ray all their Group 1 horses.

But that was real time. No fourth referee review from down in the TV Bunker. Winston was sitting in a drafty commentary box blowing in the wind above Athletic Park.

I thought spellchecks were universal?

The "Social License" issue is BS. Change that to "where are the most votes". The reality is though that most people don't really care.

Hence my story about phone and radio. I think 3ZB was 1031AM. Remember fiddling with the aerial connection often and the dial on the radiogram in Hokitika when Dad's horses were racing at Addington. Those were the days when you got a recording of a race it came on a vinyl record. Only talking the 70's!!

EDUCATION: Are blinkers and winkers a profitable gear change? Blinkers or winkers – can either prove a profitable gear change? Photo: George Sal/Getty Images. By Greg Polson 02:00pm • 19 May 2024 0 Comments More number crunching this week looking at gear changes and the results are thought provoking. Blinkers first time, winkers first time and blinkers off first time are the focus of this week's analysis. Firstly, some background on the data. It covers the period January 1, 2023 to April 30, 2024, and I have chosen not to include horses that had blinkers or winkers on first time having there first start. **** Greg Polson is one of Racenet iQ's premium tipsters covering racing across the state of New South Wales. Click here to subscribe to his winning insights. **** I will leave it to Racenet readers to draw their own conclusions and whether the data will help there punting however there are a couple of salient points. Blinkers first time is over rated in the marketplace, blinkers off first time is actually a better guide for punters. Whichever way the data is spliced and diced, it's hard to get any sort off edge from blinkers first time, there are some profitable groupings in winkers first time and blinkers off that could be worth considering from a punting angle. Joe Pride is the star trainer with these gear changes. Interestingly he was also the best performer with change of tactic notifications in last week's article. **** EDUCATION: Are Changes Of Tactics Profitable? **** Here's the data on Blinkers and Winkers. Blinkers first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 3131 317 10.1 -25.3 per cent **** Blinkers off first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 1877 193 10 -17.4 per cent When the blinkers come off for the first time it's actually an improved return for punters. A similar strike rate but the losses nowhere near as high. **** Winkers first time Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 1264 146 12 -11.7 per cent Winkers first time actually out performs blinkers. **** Blinkers first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 140 9 6 -37.1 3 1209 148 12 -19.4 4 1098 108 10 -22.6 5 441 35 8 -34.8 6 174 12 7 -46.6 7 and older 69 5 7 -33.5 **** Winkers first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 52 6 12 -49.8 3 413 53 13 -10 4 424 55 13 +15.5 5 220 22 10 -46.8 6 99 7 7 -4.3 7 and older 56 3 5 -65.5 Again winkers out perform blinkers and four-year-olds with winkers on for the first time are a profitable group. **** Blinkers off first time by age Age Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent 2 39 2 5 -89.7 3 587 66 11 -41.8 4 699 71 10 -22 5 413 35 8 +5.8 6 168 21 13 +50.5 7 and older 76 2 3 -86.8 Blinkers off the older horses five and six-years old profitable. Clearly a grouping underestimated by the market. **** Blinkers first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 1729 177 10 -33.5 1400m-1799m 1103 112 10 -13 1800m and longer 299 28 9 -23.5 **** Winkers first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 692 87 13 +1.3 1400m-1799m 444 45 10 -21.4 1800m and longer 128 14 11 -46.1 Winkers first time on horses racing at a distance less than 1400m is actually marginally profitable. **** Blinkers off first time by distance Distance Range Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 1400m 1123 119 11 -35.2 1400m-1799m 631 56 9 -1.6 1800m and longer 228 22 10 +6.2 Again blinkers off are more profitable for punters particularly at distance 1400m and longer. **** Blinkers first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 2416 256 11 -22.3 10-19 582 57 10 -41.2 20 or more 231 18 8 -11.9 **** Winkers first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 1210 134 11 -5.6 10-19 284 31 11 -27.4 20 or more 148 12 8 -14.3 **** Blinkers off first time by career starts Career Starts Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent Less than 10 1177 122 10 -34.4 10-19 535 58 11 +14.6 20 or more 270 17 6 -24 What about breaking down the data by trainers? Joe Pride is the star when it comes to blinkers first time with a 35 per cent winning strike rate and a profit on turnover of 177.50. Chris Waller and Ciaron Maher the two trainers with the most runners with the gear change perform poorly. Matt Dunn, Grant & Alana Williams, Brad Widdup and Gerald Ryan and Sterling Alexiou are all profitable trainers applying blinkers first time. When it comes to taking blinkers off for the first time Joe Pride performs with distinction again with a winning strike rate of 25 per cent and a POT of 50.8. **** Greg Polson is one of Racenet iQ's premium tipsters covering racing across the state of New South Wales. Click here to subscribe to his winning insights. **** Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott, Annabel Neasham, Leon and Troy Corstens, Matt Dunn and NSW country trainer Brett Robb also know when to remove the blinkers with impressive strike rates and profit on turnover. Symon Wilde is the leading trainer with a 17 per cent strike rate and 39 per cent profit on turnover applying winkers first time. Blinkers first time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter, the first five in the table is by volume, the second five are the most profitable Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 67 7 10 -46.1 C Maher 51 6 12 -71.4 K Lees 46 5 11 -38 B Baker 34 7 21 -21.5 P Stokes 34 4 12 -12 J Pride 20 7 35 +177.5 M Dunn 18 3 17 +227.2 G & A Williams 17 3 18 +54.1 B Widdup 15 3 20 +97.3 G Ryan and S Alexiou 13 2 15 +84.6 **** Let's add a couple of price filters for the trainers. Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 55 7 13 -34.4 C Maher 44 6 14 -66.8 K Lees 36 5 14 -20.8 B Baker 30 7 23 -11 P Stokes 28 4 14 -22.9 T Gollan 23 4 17 +3.9 J Pride 20 7 35 +177.5 T Busuttin and N Young 19 3 26 +.5 G & A Williams 17 3 18 +54.1 Mitchell Freedman 11 4 36 +37.3 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Waller 36 6 17 -33.1 C Maher 32 6 19 -54.4 K Lees 26 4 15 -50.8 A Neasham 24 4 17 -50.8 B Baker 22 7 32 +21.4 James Cummings 16 4 25 +22.5 T Busuttin and N Young 14 3 21 +36.4 D O'Brien 13 3 23 +16.2 J Pride 13 5 38 +109.2 Mitchell Freedman 9 4 44 +67.8 **** Winkers first time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 31 2 6 -71.6 S Wilde 29 5 17 +39 T Dabernig 27 2 7 -37.4 M, W & J Hawkes 21 2 10 -66.2 P & P Snowden 20 3 15 -43 L J Hatch 12 4 33 +100 C Waller 10 2 20 +85 **** Let's add a couple of price filters for the trainers. Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 27 2 7 -67.4 S Wilde 26 5 19 +55 T Dabernig 25 2 8 -32.4 P & P Snowden 19 3 16 -40 M, W & J Hawkes 15 2 13 -52.7 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent B, JD & W Hayes 19 2 11 -53.7 T Dabernig 17 2 12 -.6 S Wilde 16 4 25 +53.8 ***** Blinkers off time by trainer Let's have a look at some of the leading trainers without any price filter Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 35 4 11 +9.7 K Lees 27 3 1 -48.1 G Waterhouse & A Bott 26 6 23 +50.4 C Waller 23 3 13 -50.9 M Price & M Kent Jnr 17 1 6 -76.5 Annabel Neasham 13 3 23 +99.2 J Pride 12 3 25 +50.8 L & T Corstens 12 3 25 +34.2 M Dunn 11 3 27 +38.2 Brett Robb 9 3 33 +68.9 **** Market Price less than $21 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 29 3 10 -44.5 K Lees 23 3 13 -39.1 G Waterhouse & A Bott 22 6 27 +77.7 C Waller 19 3 16 -40.5 T Gollan 16 2 13 -24.4 B Cavanough 14 2 14 +17.9 A & S Freedman 13 5 38 +23.1 J Pride 11 3 27 +64.5 Annabel Neasham 11 3 27 +135.5 M Dunn 10 3 30 +52 **** Market Price less than $10 Trainer Starters Winners Winning Strike Rate percent Profit/Loss on Turnover percent C Maher 20 3 15 -19.5 K Lees 17 3 18 -17.6 G Waterhouse & A Bott 15 5 33 +52 C Waller 15 3 20 -24.7 T Gollan 13 2 15 -6.9 J Pride 16 4 25 +22.5 T Busuttin and N Young 14 3 21 +36.4 D O'Brien 13 3 23 +16.2 J Pride 6 3 50 +201.7 Read all news by Greg Polson