Not at all it is based on solid research and sound reasoning.
The fact is Covid-19 cannot be eliminated - no matter how Arden tries to define the meaning of elimination. I see she has dropped that term now and is back to using suppression.
So if you cannot eliminate Covid-19 therefor the best you can do is manage its rate of spread and impact. A vaccine if developed will not stop it but only serve to allow us to manage it. We can't expect any vaccine to be better than the flu vaccine which has an effectiveness of between 50 and 60%.
This current Government imported 1.2m flu vaccines last year. Only 600,000 were administered. 1.7m were imported this year and so far 700,000 have been vaccinated. If Adern had any clue she would have widened the eligibility for free flu vaccinations. At the very least she would have reduced wastage but more importantly she would have reduce pressure on our hospital system which she told us was one of the main reasons for Level-4 lockdown. Have they used that time to eliminate the bottle necks in our hospital system? NO by deferring surgery they have created another bottle neck which without Covid-19 will take a 18 months to get back to the same numbers in the wait list. They haven't increased the number of ICU beds which is 334 for the country.
Now the implementation of Level-4 was pointless and only served to defer the inevitable. When the inevitable happens the money tree will have been stripped and the general public wont be so eager to comply with Adern's directive to go back to Level-4.