I'd agree MM. But what would be absoutely stupid imo, would be to focus on social media as per the topic of this thread. It should be, and needs to be, a complete offering. Not this or that, but the lot. Putting things on social media and not putting it out through every available channel is just the same as only putting information out on one channel. Only a few will get to know of it, and therefore it becomes information to the few.
Just look at the RIU on twitter. So few followers, it's akin to standing on K Road with a sign for the drivers to see as they drive by.
I make no apologies for this. Anyone that thinks punting can be based around generic statements deserves to be treated like the idiot they are clearly displaying themselves as.
It's no different to saying something like barrier one is gold. And even though loser Thomass thinks it's different, it is the very same thing as suggesting horses starting with P are the best. I wouldn't tell punters what works, but they should be able to understand what clearly cannot.
Awapuni
R1 #1 My Gift (winner $4.90), #7 Leading Role ($4.70)
R3 #3 Royal Ruby ($19.40)
R4 #3 Satin Belt ($3.50)
R8 #7 Dance For Money ($11.90)
Pukekohe
R1 #5 Diesel ($11.70)
R2 #3 Athena Baby ($16.50)
R4 #5 Somethingvain ($15.50), #8 Aligns With Me ($6.00), #10 Swisswatch ($4.40), #11 The Kipling Girl ($14.00)
R6 #12 Le Sablier (winner $7.50), #16 Kailani Sunset ($24.30)
R9 #5 King's Cross (winner $4.50), #8 Lovelight ($14.20)
Well we managed to get a small profit - as suggested at the start of the day. You can't go that long losing - surely! $16.90 from 15 selections at level stakes of $1. Just in time for Christmas shopping.
Maybe this is the start of something big.
I think Thomass will be on all of these as they all fit the blueprint. Since as I say, when he has written up about the winners after the race, he has managed to pick all the winners that come from the same set of selections - he just omits the losers.
On these runners, the ones I'd definitely be on are My Gift and Diesel (only for a place). Should go OK.
Todays specials. After a horror run, one would think today has to be the day where the ships floats.
Awapuni
R1 #1 My Gift, #7 Leading Role
R3 #3 Royal Ruby
R4 #3 Satin Belt
R8 #7 Dance For Money
Pukekohe
R1 #5 Diesel
R2 #3 Athena Baby
R4 #5 Somethingvain, #8 Aligns With Me, #10 Swisswatch, #11 The Kipling Girl
R6 #12 Le Sablier, #16 Kailani Sunset
R9 #5 King's Cross, #8 Lovelight
Should add - these are not long odds horses losing. Those 3 started at 9, 4.50, 3.80. And I've put up heaps of them. The ones that get the post race write up just happen to be the ones out of all of them that win. What a coincidence.
The blue print is the perfect tool for finding under value runners. So many do similar to what is spruiked, it brings the prices down to below their chance level more often than not. Which is why so many of them pay low odds when they win. And the only ones that pay anything decent are those that happen to win having their 8th start (or similar) after the wonderful 'black type' performance. Which might still be under value!
Ok, don't shoot the messenger. 0/3 is not what was expected. I was reliably informed that these weren't just tips - these fed the people for eternity. Much better than tips, but something one could rely on week in week out. Just another aberration I'm sure. Will see what eventuates tomorrow.
Going to try and alter the blue print method as well - put some up before the races.
Today
R1 #16 Capellani
R4 #7 Craggy Range - a super special as also in foal which is add 50%
R6 #5 Exemplar
Definitely. Hello Its Me is 1.5kg above the min from memory. Even the BHA handicappers reckon that 'generally', that is worth sfa according to their document regarding their changes to the WFA scale.
Higher rating would be a bonus in my view. Easier to get into the better races.
Yep. Possibly a bit light because as a 3yo when winning, other 3yos winning the same level of races here would likely get to more than 84 imo. They rate our 3yo high performers higher generally over there and he is 93 in QLD. I'd say around 87-88 would be about the norm.
They appear to have adjusted his rating up 10 points (due to the Australian starts) which is present alongside the trial prior to departure. Seems an odd way to do it. And 10 points on initial reading seems light.
He craves it.
But he can now spend hours writing to himself. He brought it upon himself with incessant dribble. It's what he's good at. That, and writing fairytales.
And he'll be quick to write total bullshit about people agreeing with him or that he's right because you don't respond. As theshu says, he wants to bait people to try and get a response. Shows how much of a lonely loser he is - not surprising when he only has a blow up doll in his 'real' life.
Responding to someone as thick as him with the same stuff is futile and doesn't mean the situation has changed. It hasn't.
All his methods have been shown to be the work of someone who doesn't even understand punting. They have been clearly shown to not produce a profit. They won't overall because they are flawed . A day here and a day there does not a punter make.
He is the path to the poorhouse and as you say barryb, he actually knows it as well.
That post you quoted is a fairytale. As for 1110-1. Even the odds quoted for the fairytale are a fairytale. More like 170-1. Many posters have surpassed that on here.