mardigras

It's abundantly clear that you have been fed so much bullshit for so long, you are unable to differentiate fact from fiction. No wonder you are always wanting new information to be provided as you think you lose because you are missing the 'magic' piece of the puzzle. When the problem is, you are using the information that is available incorporated with some on old wive's tales.

If he recommends what tracks to close based on that, then bye bye Ellerslie etc.

Were punters robbed? Maybe. But if they believe that, then I suspect they have been robbing themselves so much already, a little bit more probably shouldn't concern them.

Well done on your best there Wally. Not so well done on those that put $370 on Mutechi in the last at Trentham at $1.01 in running on betfair.

Are you suggesting he will be quick enough to get to the post before the horses in Race 5? Hopefully he doesn't wayanka for that long as he is in R4.

Might pay to remind him to bring a pump. Nice selection yesterday by the way.

Wally, it was hilarious (and others on here can back this up). He was asked to back up his claims over a period of nine months. Nothing. Then one day he sticks up some image of winning some money. Only took 9 months. No winners before the races. Nothing. At the rate spent in the 'image', it wouldn't take many days to wipe that out. And as we speak, still no winners before the races. He is the class clown wearing the emperor's new clothes.

It makes no difference whether I know what any piece of gear is. The way you use the information is worthless. Something you are struggling with.

Your 8 at $3-$5 compared to mine at $10+. Clearly you don't understand punting. All mine before the races profit. You havent put any up. We all know why. Go away again, you are humiliating yourself with ignorance.

Yes, in hindsight. 3rd start with a blinker and a bubble cheeker is regarded as the best legal go fast.

Yeah, but like Thomass, we can all pick them after the race! He absolutely loves my little pictures. Here are my prices for the top 7 in that race from early this morning before final scratchings. But the winner wasn't at any value. Alternatively, you could have laid my one above at $3.1 in running.

Not many races left today down under Wally. Maybe try #12 in your quinella, Powerful Story

Given that backing all my selections in this thread at $10+ results in doubling your money and that backing yours would do quite well although most of yours aren't $10+, so arent in line with this thread. But well done as it at least shows you can read race results. The main difference is that mine have been before the races. Try it sometime.

Nothing changes. He was absent because he realised just how stupid he is and had to run away for awhile. Funny thing is, for a while on another site he actually put up a series of 'selections'. Last call, 0/8 won - and mostly paying $3 -$5. It is actually quite hard to achieve such poor results. He should get a betfair account and start laying them off because they sure are winners - if you are looking for losers.

Agree with the posts about multis and also testing ideas on paper. I never take a multi personally. I wouldn't want to give advice, but paper systems don't factor in a number of things about price as suggested above. And I'd also even place a caveat on an idea that works with low levels of investment. May continue working at those levels but unlikely to be linear in returns as bet size increases. Simply getting the bets on at larger levels becomes an issue at the same price. Providers may knock you back etc. Volatility of Betfair simply won't necessarily allow things that can happen with small volumes to occur with larger volumes. Tote prices are obviously more affected as bet size increases. I had a guy I knew come up to me one day about a system someone was trying to sell him. Was about investing on Tabcorp trifectas. Told him it was likely a crock of shit. He asked me to look into it and gave me a booklet of around 30 pages on it. And I went back and told him that 100% it was all made up and it was all based on paper results. They had things like limiting subscriptions to 100 people etc. And then had past results of things like a trifecta at Nowra paying x - say $700. Then you could actually go and look at the trifecta pool of their listed results, and find out there was only say 20 winning tickets on that trifecta. The pools could clearly not sustain this group getting to 100 people and getting the trifecta and getting $700 from it (even if the process did produce the selections indicated). Let alone that things like this are dodgy, anything you do has to consider the impact of what you plan to do, to the price - and as mentioned, the point in time when you are going to be able to do the bet needs to be factored in to the 'assessment'

True, but the idea goes hand in hand with actually investing in what it is you are trying to support rather than just aiming at obtaining revenue from where-ever and ignoring what it is you are there for.

NZ can't aspire to that, but what they could do is at least operate in a way which is focused on what NZ does offer. Rather than continual promotion of everything non-NZ and then wonder why NZ interest has rapidly dwindled.

I would say that is A$. They average around HK$150m per race.

TC, no one has to accept any tip. As suggested, they are individual ideas. When it comes to why? What constitutes why? I can put up a price for every horse I offer. Yet what is the why? There may well be no basis for 'why' other then the price is higher than the assessed chance. If on the basis of this thread, the price offered is generally above $10 and my assessment had the horse at greater than 10% chance, then that is the why I thought it fit with the guidelines of the thread. People can take any ideas on this site however they like. But I don't work on any 'why' that will fit with conventional 'form' thinking. I work on why being price versus chance.

To be fair, Wally is very appreciate of people that do put up some selections, from what I see. But I tend to agree with you in general. If you put up crap overall, no one comments. If you put up the odd winner, some will comment negatively when you don't pick a winner for the day. All you get is snide negativity. I'll take Newmarket's advice and let them make up their own minds. Sort of makes a site like this useful for things like tipping competitions and not much else. It seems anything more intellectual gets ridiculed - heck, you will even get ridicule for putting a more intellectual stance on something as if it's all a pretence. What's the point in trying to have a debate or discussion on anything.

Not a lot of confidence in these. But these are the best I can come up with. Awapuni R6 #15 Backgammon Te Rapa R5 #8 Cassio Te Rapa R8 #14 Dangerous Pony Gawler R4 #11 Eclair Fiesta

Won the Cesarewitch start before. Qualified for the cup and they've said that race is the target. Depending on rating change, may still have to win another race before hand or hope Carpenter gives him enough weight. Rating is still well below what would get him in race and even after adjustment for this win, might still only be on the 50 - 51 mark in cup weights.

I see Withhold won the Northumberland Plate overnight. On the AWT. Good to see the they didn't use the track as a training ground. First up for over 8 months in a race over 2 miles long. And now an AWT winner is the favourite for this years Melbourne Cup in many markets.

Thanks for the heads up. Are you the determiner of what topics should be written about? Next time, I'll ask your permission.

My advice is. Don't use stats like that. It isn't really about being a maths genius or a maths ignoramus. It is about common sense. The common sense being that two things that are unrelated, don't actually impact each other. Which has been the point the entire time.