mardigras

And Vega Magic has never been beaten as a 3yo+ in the months of June, July, August or September and only once beaten in May. But you assert he won because of blinkers. You hear all these reports after the race and they mention blinkers and you think, heck they're good. When the winner hasn't put blinkers on, nothings said. Funny how they don't interview the losers so you don't hear about all them.

Just to keep with facts. If we are supposedly talking about Vega Magic, he has raced 7 times as the horse leading. And 4 times as sharing the pace, prior to its latest win. More than half of its career starts up to that point. I guess that equates to 'even led like never before'.

What is bizarre is that you can't comprehend that many punters do not evaluate the performance of a horse "relative" to those around it. I don't. I don't care where it finishes. I don't care who it raced against. I don't care about anything the horse has done in a race relative to any other horse. I care about what it did itself in each of its races. And I don't care about what you call luck, since I can't quantify the impact of it. Neither can you. That's why i don't care whether it was black type or a maiden. Whether it raced at Gundagai or Flemington. And the key difference between you and all your so called analysis, is that you keep losing - yet the people you say do bizarre things, don't.

Not in the way you are using it. At Flemington it is a factor as not all horses will necessarily encounter the wind in the straight 1200m. At Caulfield, that scenario does not apply

It's not very nice that you hate yourself. Maybe seek help for that

Who's talking about black type. And your post said led like never before. And then you put up that it had led. Don't you understand that means you were wrong. Clearly you're in need of an education.

Oh my god. You actually believe a horse travelling further like that equates to a loss of that distance in the race. You better not bet on European racing ever. This is just further evidence of how out of touch you are. Boy this is funny.

He'll be using the princess as a flotation device. Better not get another puncture!

That last bit from the resident loser is classic. I'll guess this much here, this much for that. I'll add a bit for blinkers on, more if down in grade. And after all that, still can't work out why he has to keep putting more money in his betting account. No wonder he won't put any selections up on here. He's afraid because he knows he's thick when it comes to this stuff.

Why don't you put up every start the horse has had, so that we can decide what you mean when you stated 'led like never before'. You've been caught out even with your last post. You like digging holes for yourself.

Please quantify the impact '3 wide in the open' has compared to 'perfect trail'. I need another laugh. It'll be hilarious.

I thought you didn't listen to the opinion of trainers. Yet you certainly seem to reference them often - after the races.

Sure. VM has also led in most of his starts - something you said was rare. You are clueless. 2kg, slow track, faster. Yet you though the last run was it's best ever. I don't prefer any form. I don't use form. I use performance. Which is why I can compare a runner from any race to any other. You can't, since you think black type is superior. It's why you lose.

He did. It's called not listening to what you call form analysis. Every bit he started the thread with would help punters if they simply followed the advice that those 'ideas' are flawed and for the deranged.

Take your meds, although medication isn't likely to fix your issues.

Not that I know of. I wrote mine and it's the only one I know about. Bond and Bond might be useful for joining up with thomass, not much else.

That's an individual thing. I do that by simulating running the race 1500 times and use that to tell me the percentage each horse wins, comes second etc.

I do it by taking 100/'my percentage chance' to get prices to a market percentage of 100.

3yos after Christmas - because everyone knows they have strengthened up after eating their christmas turkey.

Apologies to Vega Magic, 'she' is a he. If only someone else on this site that was wrong (and nearly always is) could ever admit it. It has to be a wind up.

So when Vega Magic won at Caulfield on 19 August last year over 1200m on a track rated a Soft6, she ran 1.10.04. Last start with blinkers on , she won at Caulfield on 28 July this year over 1200m on a track rated Good4, she ran 1.10.18 It's all starting to make sense now. Not only that, but I know how much you think weight affects things, she carried 2kg more when winning on the soft track than last start. Wow, your skill is never ending.

I don't use sectionals. Stop making crap up.

What research is that. I've never seen it.

I thought most racehorses were treated with a substance. And I'd like to know the feed regime as well? When are we going to get that, along with the times and quantities.

Vital to the 1% of punters that might see it. I see your point.