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Bit Of A Yarn

Maiki Sherman....the "Breaking News" - "Crisis" that wasn't.


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How relevant are political polls ?

Context is always important. National, NZ First and ACT are now Government due mostly to the fact large numbers of New Zealanders despised what the previous Labour Government did and wanted a Government to do virtually the opposite. That's pretty much what they got. In what way are those voters represented in TV New Bulletins? They aren't. All we've had since the election in October is a relentless flood of vested interest nonsense bagging the Government dressed up as news. There is zero balance. As always, media agendas dictate the direction of travel. After six months of that crap it would be a shock to see political polls showing anything other than a fall in support for the new Government.   This is exactly why another poll seen in news bulletins on April 8th 2024 is far more relevant. What a shame Maiki Sherman like other media have chosen to ignore it.


https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/mediawatch/audio/2018933239/people-s-trust-in-news-has-tumbled-over-the-past-year-survey-shows#:~:text=For the first time since,40 per cent in 2023.


How relevant is the timing of political polls? Three months out from an election polls are relevant. A month out they are more important. Two weeks out they are even more relevant.

130 weeks out from the next election polls mean absolutely squat. Opposition parties are in a dripping water on a stone campaign mode but the Government couldn't possibly care less and rightly so.

Nobody runs an election campaign better and smarter than Winston Peters so what NZF is polling at two and a half years out from election day has zero relevance. If you want a reminder of that just look at the 2% he was polling at six weeks out from election day 2023. How quickly has vested interest Maiki Sherman forgotten that? 

ACT and National are also just getting on with being Government. As time ticks over and the positive results of some of their policies start to come in you'll see folk knowing they are so much a better alternative to the previous load of Muppets who farcically still believe Hipkins is the right person to lead NZ despite conclusively proving he's absolutely not......unless of course you're Maori or Pacifica demanding and receiving special treatment, unemployed, gay, transgender or an unskilled immigrant.  Labour's new voter base. Forget blue collar workers. Why? Because that's what Labour has done.

When you have to clean up a mess left behind and start rebuilding things take time. Our media place zero relevance on that fact. It contradicts their agenda.

If the way TVNZ's new political editor presented the new poll result last night is any guide she's not fit for purpose. It was presented like a major crisis and how NZF would no longer be in Parliament if an election was held tomorrow. All context was lost as there is no election for 130 far king weeks. David Seymour copped the same sort of bullshit. 

It's not "Breaking News" and it's absolutely not a "Crisis".

What it is in reality is an irrelevant snapshot completely bereft of context. 


Edited by Walt
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