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Bit Of A Yarn

Riccarton Track - 11 March 2021. Another crap one?


Chief Stipe

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1 hour ago, Reefton said:

I know Riccarton have the big money meetings but how long before trainers start to boycott them?  I know as an owner I am sick of getting the excuse that the horse got down on the fence and never had a hope.  And that two year old filly should have back type on Cup Day but got switched to the inner and the rest is history.  I only lease a share but if I owned her I would be quite shitty.  She has a stakes race in prospect in early May(assuming she gets there of course) but am I better buying a lotto ticket?

The only option Riccarton have at the moment is to shift meetings to other local tracks - Motukarara, Ashburton.  It was clearly evident that the track at the last meeting wasn't going to be any better than the previous meeting.

It will be interesting to see what they do to the main track when the AWT kicks in.  I imagine they don't have much cash floating around and the next big meetings will have jumps racing won't they?  I guess you could run a hybrid meeting using the outside of the turf track for jumps and the AWT for flat racing while the inside of the turf track was renovated.  But in saying that it is going to be a big job.

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30 minutes ago, Chief Stipe said:

The Penetrometer or even the Going Stick won't tell you if the surface will break up and become shifty either. 

They do penetrometer readings at 1.5m off the rail 3m off the rail and 4.5m off the rail and probably a couple more at Riccarton.  The variance between the inner readings and those further out is the significant matter not whether the track will break up

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19 minutes ago, Reefton said:

They do penetrometer readings at 1.5m off the rail 3m off the rail and 4.5m off the rail and probably a couple more at Riccarton.  The variance between the inner readings and those further out is the significant matter not whether the track will break up

Partly but you could get the same penetrometer reading on two different parts of the track BEFORE they raced on it.  But after they have raced on it one part might become shifty and the other not.  You only have to go back to that track last October which you and Pitty said was fantastic to see the difference in the clouds of dirt.

Regardless you will see that bias is often overstated as is the impact on barrier draws.  If you watch the races you will see the Jockey's migrate to what they think is the best part of the course anyway.  How many horses got blocked for a run on Saturday?

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22 hours ago, Chief Stipe said:

So you are both smoking the same stuff?

The results don't show any bias with regard to draws.  But who would have known - not you.

That aside if any trainer had walked the track prior to scratching time they would have seen it's state.  "You would not have to be a rocket scientist to work that out"!  Expecting it to be any better than the previous raceday on the same part of the track would have required extreme optimism.  Perhaps Frye should have scratched as soon as the draws came out.

Perhaps you need a rocket up your ass to realise not all trainers can travel to a race track...to walk it...FFS

They rely...as indeed does the punter...for an ACCURATE reading...

That SHOULD include the going stick reading across the track....

?..just as ALLPRESS does with her stick as she walks the width

How f in hard is it to give stakeholders those accurate readings?

It's like giving a Whanganui 11...where readings are taken to the pathetic 4.5M mark...

?..yet race down the faster outside rail on a...wtf knows?

But it's DEFINITELY faster

Get ya head around that Rocket boy

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37 minutes ago, Thomass said:

Perhaps you need a rocket up your ass to realise not all trainers can travel to a race track...to walk it...FFS

They rely...as indeed does the punter...for an ACCURATE reading...

That SHOULD include the going stick reading across the track....

?..just as ALLPRESS does with her stick as she walks the width

How f in hard is it to give stakeholders those accurate readings?

It's like giving a Whanganui 11...where readings are taken to the pathetic 4.5M mark...

?..yet race down the faster outside rail on a...wtf knows?

But it's DEFINITELY faster

Get ya head around that Rocket boy

We are still waiting for your Masterclass on how it makes a difference specifically to your punting tips especially when you consider you have no control over what the Jockey decides to do with or without the information.  Nor do you have any idea how those reading will change during the day.

Statistically draws didn't make a difference at Riccarton so the Stipe was right and maybe Fry not so.

 

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On 15/03/2021 at 8:25 PM, Chief Stipe said:

Partly but you could get the same penetrometer reading on two different parts of the track BEFORE they raced on it.  But after they have raced on it one part might become shifty and the other not.  You only have to go back to that track last October which you and Pitty said was fantastic to see the difference in the clouds of dirt.

Regardless you will see that bias is often overstated as is the impact on barrier draws.  If you watch the races you will see the Jockey's migrate to what they think is the best part of the course anyway.  How many horses got blocked for a run on Saturday?

The Riccarton issue is clearly irrigation being inconsistent and the inside especially down the straight) being damper than the middle and outer track.  I would be astonished if there was not a significant variance between readings across the track at the various points on race mornings and prior to.  If there is not that track should race fairly right across and it is clear that it is not doing so.  Mind you they would be easy enough to doctor.

This is presented as the premier South Island Club(based on the NZTR money dished out) and at the moment it is not presenting in a manner anywhere near befitting that title

 

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8 hours ago, Reefton said:

The Riccarton issue is clearly irrigation being inconsistent

It isn't the cause it is a symptom.  However I've given up trying to convince you otherwise.  Apparently a bunch of farmers and their tractors will fix it.

The fact is no major track renovation has occurred in 25 years.  Compare that to what has been done to the major metropolitan tracks in OZ and you get the answer.

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17 hours ago, Chief Stipe said:

We are still waiting for your Masterclass on how it makes a difference specifically to your punting tips especially when you consider you have no control over what the Jockey decides to do with or without the information.  Nor do you have any idea how those reading will change during the day.

Statistically draws didn't make a difference at Riccarton so the Stipe was right and maybe Fry not so.

 

Fair dinkum....

We've done this to death and you still don't LISTEN

Alors....if said horse draws insideish on an H 11 at Whangas...

...the chances of either dropping out or heading straight to the front on a DEATH ZONE Track...to avoid certain DEATH

...is now incremental to its odds of winning 

Thats all one needs to evaluate...

Some half widgets like bazzo and Gras 'invest' on the death zone attendees...finding 'value'

...they wouldnt know death zone if the grim reaper sythed their winkies off and gave them 2 minutes to get the f out of his space

The Oirish explain that away with "fecken idjiots"

So it's a universal language easily understood...

....apart from you and them

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4 hours ago, Thomass said:

Alors....if said horse draws insideish on an H 11 at Whangas...

...the chances of either dropping out or heading straight to the front on a DEATH ZONE Track...to avoid certain DEATH

What distance?  Show me the statistics where the draw shows a difference in advantage.  

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Seems Danny Frye pulled the right rein with Gelato , leads all the way today at Ashburton to win easily , was as long as 16's backed into 11's .

I backed it at 1st start and followed when scr last week , took 14's yesterday thinking it was overs , hope everybody else did .

Trainer 1 , Stipes 0 .

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3 hours ago, nomates said:

Seems Danny Frye pulled the right rein with Gelato , leads all the way today at Ashburton to win easily , was as long as 16's backed into 11's .

I backed it at 1st start and followed when scr last week , took 14's yesterday thinking it was overs , hope everybody else did .

Trainer 1 , Stipes 0 .

And as the owner he also collects $11,500 Pearl  Bonus  Great win and I ran second !!!

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On 17/03/2021 at 7:18 AM, Chief Stipe said:

It isn't the cause it is a symptom.  However I've given up trying to convince you otherwise.  Apparently a bunch of farmers and their tractors will fix it.

The fact is no major track renovation has occurred in 25 years.  Compare that to what has been done to the major metropolitan tracks in OZ and you get the answer.

Farmers and their tractors?

Well let me remind you that it wasn't 'farmers and their tractors' that f*#"^d it in the first place

Nor was it 'farmers and their tractors' that f*#"^d Invercargill, Gore, Wingatui Ashburton, Kumara, Greymouth, Rangiora, Trentham, Awapuni, Te Rapa, Pukekohe and Ellerslie (some admittedly temporarily)

If they listened and relied a bit more on 'farmers and their tractors'(as Riccarton effectively did for 100 plus years without major issues) they would be a frigging sight better off.

That track may have had issue 25 years ago but all it needed was a bit of reshaping(and not too much of that either given its circumference) and resowing occasionally.  Given its size they could have an inner and outer track to give part a break while being resown

As for telling me about Aussie well I only need to think of R Dufficy's regular comments re lanes and bias to know it is not all perfection over there either

 

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On 19/03/2021 at 2:34 PM, muzenza365 said:

Have a read to see how far we have reached in decline.

I thought Thomas would be all over this.It is about how punters were told incorrectly what the track readings were.

Just more crap from this outfit

Look people make mistakes Kev..even moi...once

Raceday control made an error with a 3 and a 4....happens once in a blue moon...

By far the greatest sin is not letting Punters know the stick readings up the straight every meeting...

If the rails had irrigation being Shang highed all over the place with the wind......then Punters have a right to know that?

Right?

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