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By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Classy mare Niance wins her fifth of her six starts in Australia in the Gr.3 How Now Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield. Photo: Bruno Cannatelli Classy sprinting mare Niance has proved a revelation since crossing the Tasman and joining the stable of Cranbourne trainer Grahame Begg. The five-year-old daughter of Swiss Ace has won five of her six starts in Australia and dominated her rivals when defying the pattern of the day to lead throughout and land the Group 3 How Now Stakes (1200m) in Caulfield as the $2.80 favourite with the top Australian bookmakers. 2024 How Now Stakes Race Replay – Niance https://horsebetting.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Caulfield-2024-Group-3-How-Now-Stakes-16112024-Niance-Grahame-Begg-Jordan-Childs.mp4 Leaders on the day had been thwarted by a strong northerly breeze, but connections elected not to alter the preferred racing style for Niance, with regular rider Jordan Childs executing the plan to perfection as the mare comfortably withheld the challenge of runner-up She’s Bulletproof. “She’s got a good record this mare, and she probably should be nearly unbeaten with us,” Begg said. “Each time we’ve raised the bar, she’s stepped up to the mark, and she makes her own luck up front, on the lead. “We said to Jordan going into the race, look don’t change anything; I know it’s been advantageous, a bit of cover and things like that today, but you know I always believe ride the race to suit the horse. Don’t try changing anything and he got the job done and rode her well.” Now a multiple stakes winner, Begg has eyes on some bigger targets, including the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate (1100m) on February 22 back at Caulfield. “She just keeps on producing. In my back of my mind I’d like to give her a bit of a break now, maybe. You’ve got a day to dream, I guess. Maybe an Oakleigh Plate, in a race with 51 or 52 kilos on her back and she goes very well early in a preparation, so we can set her up for something like that could be advantageous or the Robert Sangster (Group 1, 1200m) later on, who knows.” Niance began her career in the care of Shaun and Emma Clotworthy, for whom she was a winner and a placegetter from four starts in New Zealand before Phill Cataldo negotiated a private sale for clients Ace Bloodstock. Begg took his time with the mare when she first crossed the Tasman, with 12 months between her final run in New Zealand and her Australian debut victory at Pakenham in February this year. Niance was bred by Gerry Harvey and is by his Westbury Stud stallion Swiss Ace out of the Red Giant mare Cosmetic. Second dam Renovated is a half-sister to the Australian Group winners Alma’s Fury and Enforced. Horse racing news View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Australian rides California Spangle, Straight Arron and Five G Patch in Sunday’s Group Two contests.View the full article -
By Wandering Eyes · Posted
Formidable combination Steve Wolfe and Shaun McGruddy have combined with Rope Them In ($8.50) to claim the Group 3 Colonel Reeves Stakes (1100m) at Ascot Racecourse. Having been competitive in weaker company to begin his campaign, horse racing bookmakers were keeping the son of Playing God safe following his 1.6 length defeat behind race rival, and key market fancy Almighty Class ($3.50). Not only would Rope Them In turn the tables on Almighty Class, the four-year-old gelding would go on to stamp his claims towards a race like the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) following Saturday’s success. With Snowdome and Man Crush setting a genuine tempo throughout, the race was always going to be set up for a horse that had cover in the second-half of the field. McGruddy quickly found the back of Almighty Class once that runner was caught wide without cover, and as that horse started to tire in the home straight, Rope Them In produced a strong finish to put the race to bed with 100m to go. The eye-catching run was without a doubt from Western Empire, who started a $2.45 favourite with Picklebet. William Pike was racing in restricted room throughout from barrier one aboard the class horse in the field, and once the gaps appeared inside the final 150m, he surged late to go down by less than a length. 2024 Group 3 Colonel Reeves Stakes Replay – Rope Them In https://horsebetting.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Ascot-2024-Group-3-Colonel-Reeves-Stakes-16112024-Rope-Them-In-Steve-Wolfe-Shaun-McGruddy.mp4 Trainer Steve Wolfe was all smiles following the performance. “I always thought he was 1200, 1100 (metre) horse,” Wolfe said. “He’s a genuine horse, he hasn’t had much luck this time in, but the three deep line, a beautiful ride, well-trained and away we go. “He has got a good turn of foot, and I don’t have to do too much with him now.” McGruddy, who picked up his third win in the Colonel Reeves Stakes was full of praise for the classy sprinter post-race. “This horse has been looking for a better horses race,” he said. “The races he has been in there’s been no speed, he’s drawn well or he has had a lot of weight where you do not want to get back. “Up in grade and although it looked like he was out of his depth, I always thought that is what he was looking for.” Following the win, Neds have marked Rope Them In as a $26 for the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes, in from $41 pre-race. Horse racing news View the full article -
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After Aljay won the G3 NZ cup 2 years ago he went up 5 rating points from 78 to 83 yet despite running last in the 2023 Wellington cup he stayed unchanged at 83. Subsequently via excellent placing by his trainer he won three small open handicaps, two were 7 runner fields each with a stake of 35K, the other a 8 runner field for 50K. For each of those 3 wins he was rerated at 4 points but given the low value and quality my reckoning they should have been 2 points, therefore 6 points over-rated. So onto Perfect Scenario who ran 5th in the L 3yo Karaka Millions and for whatever weird reason got bumped up 6 rating points. He then ran 2nd last in the Derby and received no reduction. For mine, at that point over-rated 7 points. Handicapping gets out of whack when unreasonable penalties are applied earlier in a horses career. Perfect Scenario topped the TAB mile on Wednesday and only three other horses were above the minimum. Aljay headed the NZ Cup field today and there were only two other runners above the minimum, Their severe rating totally distorting the spread of weights. The Livamol run at Te Rapa last month had the two top rated horses, El Vencedor and One Bold Cat both on a rating of 103. Are we really to believe that Perfect Scenario on a rating of 107 is a better horse than those two or that Aljay on a rating of 102 is their equal?
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