
the galah
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Everything posted by the galah
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Like I said earlier,i think the margin of error has already been factored in. Just my theory on why the published results dropped overnight a couple of years ago. I think the reading would actually be 37 minus the 1.00 margin of error, bringing it down to 36.0 which is the highest acceptable level. 36.1 would be needed for a positive The jca referred to 36.0 being the highest acceptable level in the scott Dickson case last year.
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"He felt shifting at this point would not have been to the horses advantage." Excuse number 27 in the zac butcher excuse book.
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Now I don't mind losing $ if I back a horse that's driver is trying. But I have an intense dislike if i'm on one that doesn't. Race 2 at manawatu today. Twofiftyeight,driven by zac butcher. Sits in the 1 by 1 sit,then gets boxed in at the 400m when zac butchers brother moves up. . I've seen it once too often for me at this course.,most of the time the same driver.. Palmerston north betting pools are small enough as it is. I don't need the aggravation of betting on races where only some are trying. That's it for me,no more manawatu.
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It was one over da stars that they retired at Timaru. That many one's that gallop its confusing,. The one consistent is how lenient the stipes treat them.
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One over da skye continues to gallop with no warnings. Driver r.may reported the mare panicked when surrounded by other runners. Well it was actually only one horse outside it and it again caused interference to those following it. Unbelievably the horse was 2/3 in the betting. I wonder if they will retire this "one" soon, or will it continue to cause interference?.
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In February they had figures posted on racecafe comparing the first 3 weeks of the new format to the previous years racing tote turnover. It stated racing turnover was down 10 million,at an average of $3.3 million a week. I've always been a big believer in it being very hard to get your customer base back once their routines/habits/leisure activities have changed, whatever the business. At the time many of us referred to the new website as a major self inflicted wound to racing. It would be interesting to learn the more up to date figures. The silence about them probably tells the story.
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The brodster being on overseas holiday would account for half of that. If that is the case will anyone be held accountable?
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John 8:32 Then you will know the truth,and the truth will set you free.
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I see cast a shadow ran the fastest last 800m in that race (54..98)so ran well especially given he was wide,but just got a bit far back mid race. I thought last nights fields had reasonable betting races,but I just seemed to be on a few that left their run a bit late.. Luckily I had dad n dave and betterfast in the 3 I boxed in the quinella in the last race. I agree with what you say, and I prefer a maiden at forbury as well, however I still spend on the premier meetings unless you have races dominated by hot favorites and one stable. Youv'e got to speculate to accumulate type thinking. The pools size is a bit of a negative,but you just have to ignore that. My favorite place to bet on is southland, they have the same pool of horses so form is easier to read,they have a good group of drivers,who will nearly always give your horse a chance, their trainers know how to maintain their horses form, and they all seem very honest. I just think that is the southland way.
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I think Memphis tennesse ,gran chico and cast no shadow will be the trifecta in race 10. Don't know what order
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Fair enough. I was referring to early in the race when he was 4 back the fence,with no one outside him, and had The Kaik racing 1 length behind him looking for cover, He had a long opportunity of about 300m to come off the fence. At the time it looked a very poor tactical decision,and the run he got thereafter was his own making. The better thinking drivers don't miss those opportunities. I think its all a confidence slump for him,like you see in any sport. He will probably come out and drive a couple of wiinners tonight.
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Re reading what I wrote , I think I should say I always enjoy reading what you select (c.p.)as they are always worth watching. My point really was to say why not call a sub standard drive what it was. No one in the media ever seems too, for fear of upsetting someone.
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What is the definition of tragedy beaten. I think that implies the horse had no luck. I was on it last week, but thought it had several chances in the running to be positioned where the gaps were. I think a more apt description should be it was an extremely poor drive. I don't think luck was a factor last week. i see it has drawn 1 tonight in a preferential barrier draw race,maybe that was a factor?.. I have it rated about 4th,but won't be on because of the driver. That's my opinion.
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I was talking to yet another disgruntled punter yesterday. The tab keep trying to tempt him back to betting with the free bets,however he was telling me he found the website so frustrating he gave up using his account not long after it was introduced.. They had even resorted to contacting him by phone. Those who think the new website has helped promote betting on races are ignoring the many the website has alienated.
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People who think they know everything are of great annoyance to those of us that do. (just joking cross codes) The old jealousy chestnut is just a way of your deflecting reasonable concerns about the negative impact one stables domination has on participation and betting. I'm not envious of their achievements or possessions. The only area I feel I could be construed as jealous would be my perceived suspicion about advantages gained through team driving,and why their horses never seem tired after a race. Also from a betting perspective one stables domination, whatever the stable, of any race is a complete turn off to me.
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You cant have used the main car park as you could not miss what I was talking about. Its been like that for years from memory. Good luck with your horse qualifying for the jewels. I agree with nearly everything you have said happy. As to rangiora, a one positive is you can get closer to the horses when they run a meeting on grass. I fully agree with your comment about tracks with a galloping track around them being doomed as a spectacle. I've always thought oe of the main reasons you get more spectators at the country grass track meetings is because of the close proximity of the horses pre race and during the race. Its just a better experience and viewing.
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I stated they weren't parading in the birdcage, which was correct. The parade ring is in front of the stables as I stated. Sure people could walk down to the parade ring,however some people are elderly and park close to the birdcage for that reason. As well it adds more to the atmosphere if the horses walk past the public on the way to the birdcage pre race. Did you notice if the public car park had been cleaned up. Last time I was there it had big mounds of dirt covering half of it along with machinery related to a business there. It always surprised me that they could have it in such a state with public access, given the focus put on health and safety issues these days. Counter punch believes the Timaru Club do a good job,so that's good to hear. My observations aren't about the racing side of things.
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Just heard greg O'Connor comment on the horses not going into the birdcage pre race at timaru. The horses would only be parading in front of the stables. Apparently they don't want the horses coming out of the birdcage,then crossing from the galloping track to the trotting track. This despite Timaru having had little rain recently. This all to protect the galloping track for a mid week meeting. The closest the public at Timaru can get to the horses pre race would be about 100m. Its just another example of those running these meetings taking away part of the experience of going to the races and getting closer to the action. There is a clear message coming through more and more at some of these tracks. Stay at home and watch the races.
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Williams is talented, but he is like most drivers,positive driving gets positive results,negative driving gets negative results. Williiams drive on the just run race 2 at winton was a case of negative driving snuffing out any chance his horse had of placing. No ones perfect I suppose. I've noticed S McNally going through one of those negative patches at the moment. I never quite understand how good drivers can drive so negatively some times. you see it a lot where out of form drivers would rather sit 5 back the fence than face the breeze half way through a race. Its obviously all a mindset they get into.
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I backed spot on and had him on top on recent form,i also backed franco nevin but thought he just went a bit too hard,maybe because of the parked horse giving him no time for a breather. I didn't fancy any of the first 3 in that one,and find The DUde a hard hose to follow. As to Valloria,i had him rated 5th but it is a very capable horse with the right run,and destiny jones breaking early helped. Kings landing looked like it had issues which saw it underperform. The all stars seem to have a few who look like they carry a few issues these days. Sometimes you can have a good stable,or horse,that never seem to go as good when you back them. I know its a bit frustrating when that happens,however I think its just coincidence most of the time,as most stables are consistent,its more just the way the race is run that can alter form.
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I'm not real fan of Tim Williams,but from a punting perspective I always view him as a positive to the equation when assessing his drives chances. His decision making during a race is consistently of a high standard. We all have our favourites,sometimes we are unfairly influenced by a good or bad result punting, however that's understandable..
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The Payne stable is quite inconsistent. Some days their horses run well,but then the same horses seem to not perform at the same level in following starts. They always seem to look good,go best when relatively fresh. Horses like awayovernight often are well supported but never seems to get a good run,and tactically is consistently driven like the driver has no confidence in his horses chances. Having said that,there are lots of others like that. As to peraki reactor,it had shown ok gait speed at its first start,but seemed to put in a funny stride early which resulted in the driver taking hold and ultimately settling 4 back the fence. However she did well to get it off the fence with 900m to go,then totally undid that good move by sitting behind a horse with no real chance on previous race form,and as a result got hemmed in. There was at least 250m for her to improve outwards into the clear prior to getting boxed in. It was hard to tell thereafter whether it would be one of those inconsistent performers I referred to earlier as it never really got a chance to underperform. thats my take on it.
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From what I have read. Blood doping can include blood taken about 1 month prior to competing,,Spun to remove the red cells,then closer to competition the red blood cells are transferred back into the horse,thus enhancing the ability of delivering more oxygen. While Blood spinning is defined as being to repair soft tissue issues by increasing healing time,by injecting it directly into the injury. So blood spinning appears to relate to injury repair. Im no expert,but if all they are doing is the definition of blood spinning,they would use it for injuries or quicker repair. So blood spinning isn't going to make them run any faster if they are injury free anyway. It all sounds like smoke and mirrors again.
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How many bets do you actually have on each race on the tab website and how long before race start? If you like it then that's good, but I absolutely dislike it.I much prefer the previous tab website.