the galah

Are you saying ron dufficy doesn't know what he is talking about? I have always thought he is the best judge in the australian racing media. I quoted his words earlier. Clearly he thinks the waterhouse/bott team have grown a leg in the last couple of weeks. He's talking about the present,not last month or earlier in the year.

I'm a harness racing supporter through and through,but i did used to bet on the gallops as well. I don't bet on the gallops much at all now. If i do have a bet on the nz gallops it is when the tracks get firmer. I agree the gallops form is more inconsistent ,although think thats in part due to in the south island the jockeys not being as good as they used to be. A handful are tops,but many seem to lack experience and consistency in how they ride. I still enjoy watching them though,as i do the dogs sometimes. saturday nights theres never anything worth watching on tv either.

I see he had a horse called mynameisjeff run 1.48.9 first up for the stable last night. Apparently operating under a stay of penalty while they hear his appeal. Mynameisjeff bred by glenys chimel maybe. Ran like it could have won by double the winning margin if the driver had wanted. Funny thing was i was watching some Aussie gallops yesterday and was thinking how well the waterhouse/bott stable was going in victoria and nsw. Then i heard ron dufficy coment near the end of the day that some horse they train looked like it would have run through a wall,after it won. Then he said,well they added the tounge tie today but no one can have predicted that much improvement on its last run. Then he said ,mind you, everything from that stable is going like that lately. i've never heard him comment like that before,but it was obvious he was meaning something with those comments.

I don't know about setting them up for a punt myself. personally i think you need to prepare before backing any wilson house driven horse.Make sure you double the heart medication to keep the blood pressure at a safe level,then get a bottle of scotch and some prozac pills ready for after the finish.Also have a direct line to someone at anger management.I know several punters who think that. I agree a key strategy of that stable is to drive them quiet to drop down in grade. They get an awful lot of winners and that santanna mach is only a rated 44 horse,despite winning 3 country cup races this year and winning a couple of starts ago.Compare that to how non win horses are rated,and it i seems a bit crazy,but thats the rating system. Obviously that stable(including its drivers)are great for the sport,just not so great for the punters.

He would be hard to play cards against. He could be dealt the same cards,but play them with differing levels of confidence sometimes.

watched this horse today. It opened at $7 on the ff then just kept drifying close to race start time and it went out to $14 a minute out so i put mu $20 on it at $14 and that dropped it back into $11. Now anyone who has watched this horse knows it lacks a sprint and is best driven in front. Wilson house the driver in fact has said that and has driven it that way in its last 4 starts. Well today it begins fast like it always does,then to i think everyones surprise immediately slows and took a trail behind the complete outsider who's driver seemed surprised he would be given the lead. Then the horse did what it often does,pulling its head off to the extent house was unable to control it at one point crashing into the back of another at the 800m. The drift in the betting may have been some indication,but Houses tactics are very hard to follow.

Maybe your right. Certainly won well tonight. Tonights field his hardest field so far. Personally i think he more a top 10 type trotter,Obviously doing very well to achieve that. I got a kick out of watching ben hope win the big pacing race for the night with mossdale ben. Anything goes went a nice race.Smithys terror just got lost turning in but backed up his good trial form with an eye catching 5th.Allamericanlover a good run and just needs to get off the front to be a winner again. They ran 3.12 so that made for a good contest.

Mystic max won easy in the end.Oh well. John dunn said ardiebythehill would defintely would need the run but actually ran a close 2nd. Midnight dash,ben hope very confident but never really looked likely and ran 5th of 7.I guess the whale tipping it stopped it.Rachmaninov dropped out but beat the 1 that broke.Harold smith a good run after being taken on early.

Its sad isn't it. Unfortunately i think your right with every point you make. And the reason your right is because you've personally experienced how the changes impact punters. I've had a lot of the same experiences.. I think the biggest problem has been the decision makers at the TAB simply never had much of an understanding of punters. They made really dumb decisions and it cost the racing industry and then the decision makers just moved on to another job. John allen was a fool that cost the TAB customers big time. History clearly shows that.The stupid thing was he never made much sense but industry leaders believed him anyway. Remember he promised to increase racings income by $50 million. Instead,with his new website he actually cost them a fortune. Unfortunately, In the end its the punters that are directly impacted by the consequences of decisions made by dumb people like john allen.Customer service is an area the TAB make cuts to pay for poor decision making,which in all reality just leads to less customers.

Interesting start to that race yesterday,yet it got very little mention in the stipes report. The favorite,itoje,went on to win the race after being cleared to start by the vet after the false start. The interesting thing was when a false start was declared in the first attempt the mobile slowed and itoje ducked under the front of the mobile. But then the mobile with its arms fully extended,obviously through a lack of communication between the starter and the mobile driver,accelerated away quickly and appeared to strike itoje from behind around the neck ,who understandably so,got quite a shock at being hit by the mobile. Evidence that the mobile had struck itoje,was there for people to see as the mobile arm had a big dent in it and they had to replace it. It was an incident that seemed quite dangerous for the horse and driver concerned,yet virtually no mention of that in the stipes report. Anyone who recorded it should watch it,it could have been quite nasty. Alls well that ends well i suppose,but it was something that i've never seen before.

Could be the go although they don't seem unbeatable at the moment. Rasmussen driving so well has been a big help recently to get the recent favorites home. The one i think is well under the odds is mystic max. I can't work out why it is so short myself. Has shortened in to $1.90 on ff at the moment. I would have him at about $8 myself. Time will tell.

Was that the horse or the trainer in the punch up after the race. I see he got 12 months disqualification for punching someone who as being held by a security guard. j Trainor out for 3 months. Does make you wonder though . It seems everyone everywhere thinks the stable is giving them something,hence the punch up,Yet they have never been caught doing so.From which you can draw the conclusion that people have no faith in authorities to detect the performance enhancers they may be using,assuming everyone is right.

the tab bookies have the horse rated a $51 shot to win. That just shows how poor the bookies can be sometimes.Truly one of the stupidest prices ever. If it was paying $200 for a place,it would be paying under its realistic dividend.

I see hes earnt $2500 from running against muscle mountain in 3 group races since 2022.I don't know whether he had to pay nomination fees to start in those races or not.

Will get $437.50 just for running,so you would guess its just for the last placed prizemoney.Hes done it a few times before.I guess it helps pay the bills, must be how he sees it.

Well pfizer representatives have said in recent times they never said that it would stop transmission,that they had said it would reduce transmission. It was all the idiot politicians and media who said it stops transmission and kept saying it when it was so obvious that wasn't true. Any sucker can work out,that with the benefit of hindsight,they were lied to. The question is were the politicians and media knowingly lying and i think the answer is obviously yes they did. personally i chose not to get vaccinated and i have never caught it,and the only other person i know who hasn't caught it is also unvaccinated.

you should look up the study they recently did in switzerland and what dr mobeen syed(dr been) says about it.Its very interesting. The study had found the % of people in their study, who got myocarditis from receiving the covid booster was at the rate of 2.8%.(1 in 35) Previously the experts around the world had said the data was supposed to be .0035%. The reason the study found that was because they said previous data was being based on tests after people reported symptoms, whereas they did blood analysis which took blood tests after 3 days to see evidence of the proteins in the blood which indicated myocardial cardiac cell injury. Thats how they came up with their % of 2.8. It found 3.6% of women and .08% of men. The point being the study tested in a more accurate way. some of the points dr been made were- the people who had suffered from the inflamation in the study didn't realise that had occurred. Its very important that if someome has that happen,they just chill out and do not exercise or stress the body. If they do that apparently it mostly resolves itself. When you think about that point. That ties in with the undeniable(some figures say 10x) increase in deaths of athletes,rap artists,etc from heart issues(people who exercise and stress the body) after receiving the vaccine. He said when people were catching the earlier strains of covid,they clearly had a higher chance of catching myocardidtis than they would have from taking the vaccine. But now covid strains were not as severe and the consequences not as bad.because governments were no longer keeping records there was no way of telling currently whether you are more likely to get myocarditis from covid or the vaccine. Another point he made was every time you take a booster was you were exposing yourself to the possible consequences. He said its unkown whether if you keep getting the booster, will it have a cumulative effect at some stage.They simply don't know at this stage.

The recent friday nights at addington have been dominated by hot favorites. Tonight the first 5 races again have horses paying around $1.50 to win. Only once in the last 2 weeks has the favorite missed a place,but the dividends are so small that many punters are being turned off by the betting product addington keeps producing. The only decent betting fields that addington has come up for a while was when they had the sunday racehorses run on a thursday night in the winter rewards races. Its just proof again that people are wrong who say a higher quality product is what leads to increased betting turnover. It only applies on the meetings like cup day,not the other 90% of the year. As an example,last friday they had 8 races at addington for the higher stakes,yet ashburton with only 8 races and the fields with less form and lower graded horses turned over more. Its the low grade horses that prop up the stakes for the higher grade horses.

I was just watching a segment on why china hasn't released its latest youth unemployment figures for july. They said in june they were the worst ever. The segment on that said the consensus in china was that,apart from the obvious economy,the reason for the high youth unemployment was that china, in the last 20 years, had over educated its people with knowledge and degrees in areas of the economy where the jobs numbers simply don't match the supply in applicants. They said the focus has been on creating people educated enough to be have a job that pays well enough to enable the increasing numbers of middle class and the flow on effect of having people with incomes to support industries that drive the economy like housing. The problem being that firstly to get higher educated it has come at a cost to families and secondly as i mentioned,there aren't enough jobs out there requiring the higher educational skills. Another subject where you think,shouldn't they have seen that coming.

Thats the thing isn't it chief,a $6 return 5 or 10 years ago would go so much further than a $6 return these days. I used to hear that $6 return as a break even point over 5 years ago,which i guess is why you say today even at $6.75 they will not even be breaking even. The only positive is,if you see it that way,is much of dairying is owned by corporates and even the maori tribes have a bit tied up in it. Where i came from i knew one bloke had 18 dairy farms,another 15,others had several and it seemed all dairy farmers i spoke to 10-20 years years ago all intended to have at least 2 or 3 farms. The total focus was money driven not about lifestyle which is why i think the general population aren't over sympathetic towards dairy farmers.. The happiest dairy farmer i came across was a bloke who had been in it for 35 years. He was getting a bit tired of the long hours but didn't care too much about the ups and downs,he just saved a bit more in the good times and that got him through the bad times and he just carried on as normal all the way through.Mind you i don't think theres many like him left in the industry.

Thats why i would have expected it to be all over the news. Its a bit like the coming global food crises,our media seems to ignore the things that really matter until after they have happened. In 2021 treasury said dairy made up 5.3% of our GDP and 23% of total exports. Surely when an industry so important to the nz economy is heading into very tough times it should get more coverage. Its something that will end up effecting everyone down the track when govt doesn't have as much money to spend. They always tell us the most important price is that of whole milk powder, well that has fallen through the floor recently.They say they are sort of stuck with producing that as about 40% of their product due to the milking seasonality,distance from export markets and capital and labour costs in diversifying too much into other products.So the current poor prices must have them worried. And what about China.They are saying their economy is on an imminent economic spiral and the worst is yet to come. Just goes to show though that all these fonterra experts,bank experts,treasury experts who supposedly know what they are doing were all totally wrong in their predictions around dairy returns just a few months ago. Every one of the so called experts got it wrong and everyone of them didn't seem to factor in enough the well known anticipated consequences of the china economy having difficult times. Its one of those things that you watch and you say to yourself,well i'm no expert,but aren't the so called experts ignoring the obvious,then when it happens you think they really have no more idea than anyone and their predictions are often poor guess's based around telling their farmers what they want to hear. I suppose time will tell how it all plays out,but given how dairy farming is why the cost of farmland is so very expensive and with that is the need for those who have invested in recent years in dairying,to maintain returns at a level higher than other farming. Its all a bit sad but almost predictable that dairy farming has to go through such stressful times. I hope all those dairy farmers out there can get through the next year or two without too many getting too depressed. Years ago farmers didn't owe so much to the banks and today that must weigh heavily on so many farmers minds,but they made that choice so i suppose should have the skills to deal with it. Of course thats not how it will play out for some.But its not like they can change it.

Chief may have a better idea,but aren't the latest global dairy prices extremely worrying if you were a dairy farmer. I would have thought that would have been the number one story in nz media,but wasn't for some reason. The 2nd lowest on the index for global dairy prices in the last 7 years and the worst for 5 years.

Its already Big brodie. Its only been out for a very short time but some music magazines are predicting, given its sales and downloads that it may go close to debuting at number 1 on the top 100 list in the USA.Move over taylor swift . Might be popular with our dairy farmers given their latest auction results

Well said brodie. Each horse and driver are a team when they go on the track,both relying on each other in different ways to achieve the best results. The aim is for the horse to physically come through each run in a way that hasn't seen it placed under unnecessary stress(mostly physical but occasionally mentally). Racehorses are like professional athletes ,the only difference is they communicate through their actions and body language to their drivers. When a horse bleeds or fibrillates it must be a fine line for drivers when it comes to recognizing that something is not 100% and immediately taking action to ensure that the horses welfare is looked after as best it can be under the circumstances. Wilson House did that for warloch,as we would hope other drivers would do. John morrison at ashburton in race 3 was another example of a driver recognising his horse needed looked after and he retired it from the race and he immediately did so even though to the casual observer you would have initially wondered why. Warloch has been one of my favorite horses to follow over the years.I have fond memories of a nice collect when he won at auckland one night paying a big price in a 6 horse field. He race from auckland to invercargill,always running good races and always giving his best. His win at kaikoura in their high stake race was very well deserved. i'm not sure if he will make a comeback,but whatever his future i'm sure the houses will make sure he is well looked after. Like brodie i have appreciated watching warloch race and wish him well for the future whatever it may be. Who knows he may come back and race as that is what he obviously has enjoyed doing,but either way punters appreciate the racing memories he created.

Your reply is very strange. Mares aren't sent to studs in the middle of winter.The average gestation period is 11 months 1 week. Studs don't serve mares in the middle of winter. Mares don't come into season in the middle of winter and if they did no one gets them served then anyway. Thats nature.