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Bit Of A Yarn

the galah

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Everything posted by the galah

  1. I see hes earnt $2500 from running against muscle mountain in 3 group races since 2022.I don't know whether he had to pay nomination fees to start in those races or not.
  2. Will get $437.50 just for running,so you would guess its just for the last placed prizemoney.Hes done it a few times before.I guess it helps pay the bills, must be how he sees it.
  3. Well pfizer representatives have said in recent times they never said that it would stop transmission,that they had said it would reduce transmission. It was all the idiot politicians and media who said it stops transmission and kept saying it when it was so obvious that wasn't true. Any sucker can work out,that with the benefit of hindsight,they were lied to. The question is were the politicians and media knowingly lying and i think the answer is obviously yes they did. personally i chose not to get vaccinated and i have never caught it,and the only other person i know who hasn't caught it is also unvaccinated.
  4. you should look up the study they recently did in switzerland and what dr mobeen syed(dr been) says about it.Its very interesting. The study had found the % of people in their study, who got myocarditis from receiving the covid booster was at the rate of 2.8%.(1 in 35) Previously the experts around the world had said the data was supposed to be .0035%. The reason the study found that was because they said previous data was being based on tests after people reported symptoms, whereas they did blood analysis which took blood tests after 3 days to see evidence of the proteins in the blood which indicated myocardial cardiac cell injury. Thats how they came up with their % of 2.8. It found 3.6% of women and .08% of men. The point being the study tested in a more accurate way. some of the points dr been made were- the people who had suffered from the inflamation in the study didn't realise that had occurred. Its very important that if someome has that happen,they just chill out and do not exercise or stress the body. If they do that apparently it mostly resolves itself. When you think about that point. That ties in with the undeniable(some figures say 10x) increase in deaths of athletes,rap artists,etc from heart issues(people who exercise and stress the body) after receiving the vaccine. He said when people were catching the earlier strains of covid,they clearly had a higher chance of catching myocardidtis than they would have from taking the vaccine. But now covid strains were not as severe and the consequences not as bad.because governments were no longer keeping records there was no way of telling currently whether you are more likely to get myocarditis from covid or the vaccine. Another point he made was every time you take a booster was you were exposing yourself to the possible consequences. He said its unkown whether if you keep getting the booster, will it have a cumulative effect at some stage.They simply don't know at this stage.
  5. The recent friday nights at addington have been dominated by hot favorites. Tonight the first 5 races again have horses paying around $1.50 to win. Only once in the last 2 weeks has the favorite missed a place,but the dividends are so small that many punters are being turned off by the betting product addington keeps producing. The only decent betting fields that addington has come up for a while was when they had the sunday racehorses run on a thursday night in the winter rewards races. Its just proof again that people are wrong who say a higher quality product is what leads to increased betting turnover. It only applies on the meetings like cup day,not the other 90% of the year. As an example,last friday they had 8 races at addington for the higher stakes,yet ashburton with only 8 races and the fields with less form and lower graded horses turned over more. Its the low grade horses that prop up the stakes for the higher grade horses.
  6. I was just watching a segment on why china hasn't released its latest youth unemployment figures for july. They said in june they were the worst ever. The segment on that said the consensus in china was that,apart from the obvious economy,the reason for the high youth unemployment was that china, in the last 20 years, had over educated its people with knowledge and degrees in areas of the economy where the jobs numbers simply don't match the supply in applicants. They said the focus has been on creating people educated enough to be have a job that pays well enough to enable the increasing numbers of middle class and the flow on effect of having people with incomes to support industries that drive the economy like housing. The problem being that firstly to get higher educated it has come at a cost to families and secondly as i mentioned,there aren't enough jobs out there requiring the higher educational skills. Another subject where you think,shouldn't they have seen that coming.
  7. Thats the thing isn't it chief,a $6 return 5 or 10 years ago would go so much further than a $6 return these days. I used to hear that $6 return as a break even point over 5 years ago,which i guess is why you say today even at $6.75 they will not even be breaking even. The only positive is,if you see it that way,is much of dairying is owned by corporates and even the maori tribes have a bit tied up in it. Where i came from i knew one bloke had 18 dairy farms,another 15,others had several and it seemed all dairy farmers i spoke to 10-20 years years ago all intended to have at least 2 or 3 farms. The total focus was money driven not about lifestyle which is why i think the general population aren't over sympathetic towards dairy farmers.. The happiest dairy farmer i came across was a bloke who had been in it for 35 years. He was getting a bit tired of the long hours but didn't care too much about the ups and downs,he just saved a bit more in the good times and that got him through the bad times and he just carried on as normal all the way through.Mind you i don't think theres many like him left in the industry.
  8. Thats why i would have expected it to be all over the news. Its a bit like the coming global food crises,our media seems to ignore the things that really matter until after they have happened. In 2021 treasury said dairy made up 5.3% of our GDP and 23% of total exports. Surely when an industry so important to the nz economy is heading into very tough times it should get more coverage. Its something that will end up effecting everyone down the track when govt doesn't have as much money to spend. They always tell us the most important price is that of whole milk powder, well that has fallen through the floor recently.They say they are sort of stuck with producing that as about 40% of their product due to the milking seasonality,distance from export markets and capital and labour costs in diversifying too much into other products.So the current poor prices must have them worried. And what about China.They are saying their economy is on an imminent economic spiral and the worst is yet to come. Just goes to show though that all these fonterra experts,bank experts,treasury experts who supposedly know what they are doing were all totally wrong in their predictions around dairy returns just a few months ago. Every one of the so called experts got it wrong and everyone of them didn't seem to factor in enough the well known anticipated consequences of the china economy having difficult times. Its one of those things that you watch and you say to yourself,well i'm no expert,but aren't the so called experts ignoring the obvious,then when it happens you think they really have no more idea than anyone and their predictions are often poor guess's based around telling their farmers what they want to hear. I suppose time will tell how it all plays out,but given how dairy farming is why the cost of farmland is so very expensive and with that is the need for those who have invested in recent years in dairying,to maintain returns at a level higher than other farming. Its all a bit sad but almost predictable that dairy farming has to go through such stressful times. I hope all those dairy farmers out there can get through the next year or two without too many getting too depressed. Years ago farmers didn't owe so much to the banks and today that must weigh heavily on so many farmers minds,but they made that choice so i suppose should have the skills to deal with it. Of course thats not how it will play out for some.But its not like they can change it.
  9. Chief may have a better idea,but aren't the latest global dairy prices extremely worrying if you were a dairy farmer. I would have thought that would have been the number one story in nz media,but wasn't for some reason. The 2nd lowest on the index for global dairy prices in the last 7 years and the worst for 5 years.
  10. Its already Big brodie. Its only been out for a very short time but some music magazines are predicting, given its sales and downloads that it may go close to debuting at number 1 on the top 100 list in the USA.Move over taylor swift . Might be popular with our dairy farmers given their latest auction results
  11. Well said brodie. Each horse and driver are a team when they go on the track,both relying on each other in different ways to achieve the best results. The aim is for the horse to physically come through each run in a way that hasn't seen it placed under unnecessary stress(mostly physical but occasionally mentally). Racehorses are like professional athletes ,the only difference is they communicate through their actions and body language to their drivers. When a horse bleeds or fibrillates it must be a fine line for drivers when it comes to recognizing that something is not 100% and immediately taking action to ensure that the horses welfare is looked after as best it can be under the circumstances. Wilson House did that for warloch,as we would hope other drivers would do. John morrison at ashburton in race 3 was another example of a driver recognising his horse needed looked after and he retired it from the race and he immediately did so even though to the casual observer you would have initially wondered why. Warloch has been one of my favorite horses to follow over the years.I have fond memories of a nice collect when he won at auckland one night paying a big price in a 6 horse field. He race from auckland to invercargill,always running good races and always giving his best. His win at kaikoura in their high stake race was very well deserved. i'm not sure if he will make a comeback,but whatever his future i'm sure the houses will make sure he is well looked after. Like brodie i have appreciated watching warloch race and wish him well for the future whatever it may be. Who knows he may come back and race as that is what he obviously has enjoyed doing,but either way punters appreciate the racing memories he created.
  12. Your reply is very strange. Mares aren't sent to studs in the middle of winter.The average gestation period is 11 months 1 week. Studs don't serve mares in the middle of winter. Mares don't come into season in the middle of winter and if they did no one gets them served then anyway. Thats nature.
  13. Yes. The first birthday of horses born since last year no longer counts.Thats for all foals born prior to 31 december,which would i guess be about 98%.They turn 0 on their first birthday and turn 1 on their 2nd birthday,etc. Previously they turned 1 on their first birthday when it was 1 august.Thats one of the reasons its confusing.
  14. I see since 19 july 48 harness horses have been exported to china from nz. of the 48... 43 are mares or fillies,12 are aged 9-11.. 1 is aged 13 but she was sold with yearling filly foal as well. 5 males.. but 1 of those is 1yo and with its mother. The other are No terror(4yo 4win n stallion) ,2 yearling colts,one of whom its half sister was exported earlier in the year. 1 3yo colt. Thats a lot of horses going to china. 28 went to australia and the USA in that time frame. theres a handful of mares who had been racing this season.I would say theres a definite patter in most of the type of mares being sold. I guess when it comes to the figures when it comes to what happens to many of the harness horses once they are no longer racing propositions,hrnz can say ... number were exported rather than are now dead i suppose. Maybe some will claim its better for the horses that way,hopefully some do end up in good homes,but that seems very debatable. No one is coming forward with any knowledge of their fate.
  15. I wonder how hrnz updates the ages in their system given the january 1 birthday doesn't get applied in a horses first year of birth. i.e. born on say 1.10.22 doesn't have a birthday on 1 january 2023,but turns 1 on 1 january 2024. Maybe they created some new type of computer programme to get around it? And i wonder what they do in the usa,because a nz 2 year old born before 1 january is in fact a 3 year old by usa standards.
  16. It takes a while to get legislation through parliament.They need to change the racing act.Several parliamentary sittings involved .Has to be drafted,then has 3 readings,may be referred to select committee then it is ranked priority wise as to whether it goes before parliament. HRNZ would have known that when they decided to change.No denying its confused most people.
  17. Its not about the need to be right.You may think thats my aim,but i know myself better.I just say what i think and never worry whether someone disagrees.Debating things on bit of a yarn gives me something to do when i'm bored and helps me use my brain which doesn't get as much use as it should to stay sharp. Besides I haven't been suggesting you were wrong when you say 6 months more age on a young horse before its pressured in training will help its longevity. Thats a given. I have been discussing whether changing 2 races to the end of the year will cause trainers/owners to give their horses more time to develop when you consider the $12,000 extra they get when getting the first 2 year old win throughout the year. My point has been most trainers will still race them when they are ready to race,not before,not after.
  18. Showing only that part of my comment does not put what i said anywhere near the context if you read what i have said in total. Thats like me saying to you Your kidding? you won the 2 higher stakes races in december and you had no idea 6 months earlier that could happen.. Or gee,how stupid do you feel. You had my horse ready to win the $12,000 bonus in march,but you gave him a bit of time to develop because you were sure he would win those 2 big races in december.By the way,your fired as my trainer.
  19. I was just reading how the Breeder of brookies jaffa got an $1100 bonus when it won the other night. Apparently it can go up to $10000 if its bred to a nz bred stallion. Michael house seemingly thinks its a great idea. But heres what confuses me. Your rewarding a breeder for the decision he made 9 years ago to go to a sire that was nz bred,when obviously 9 years ago the decision to go to auckland reactor would have had nothing whatsoever to do with receiving bonus's. Theres no way the owner could have factored in that in 9 years time HRNZ would change things to help him,just as there is no way other breeders who didn't bred to a nz bred,knew they were excluding themselves from any bonus. Now here we are 2023 and they have announced these bonus's . Ask yourself this. What guarantee have you got that HRNZ won't change their breeding incentive policy in 3 or 4 years. The last one only lasted 1 year. It doesn't make much sense to me how this currently works.Surely it would have been best to use the funds being paid to brookies jaffas owner and instead guarantee those who go to a nz bred this year will receive the bonus's promised.
  20. Akuta won 2 group 1 races in May when a 2 year old. So he would have been under the same pressure as krug to get ready for the big 2 year old races in may of his year as krug would have been. But it makes sense when you say its what Aluta and Krug were asked to do racing starts wise after that, which lead to Akuta having a much better chance at a longer racing career age wise. To say that trainers will not pressure their 2 year olds to race early now they have moved a couple of races to latter in the year is assuming the trainers think they have a horse that is good enough to do so. They had to make the same call just it was 5 months earlier anyway and it is only for a couple of races after all. Did anyone use the argument about the jewels being a bad thing in reducing a horses longevity when the jewels was around. Those suggesting it now seemed rather silent then. Hrnz has put forward the same argument of suggesting trainers will not pressure their horses as early simply because the birthdays have changed. Well its hard to take them seriously because it is HRNZ that has prioritized 2 year old racing over all other and said we will pay the connections an extra $12000 when you win your first 2 year old race.That is a totally contradictory message they are sending out. Does anyone seriously think trainers will not want to find out whether they have a 2 year old good enough to win early and instead wait and take their chances of becoming the very top 2 year old and winning 2 races in december. No ones ever been able to explain yet why HRNZ,through the $12,000 extra,considers 2 year old winners more important than any horse 3 and above.
  21. I have always thought the way to attract young people into the sport is exposure through the family connection. Firstly you have to look at the age demographics of those that bet on horse racing and the age of the owners and attendees on racetracks. They are pretty much all similar for all three groups. It is those that are over about 45,more men than women. The highest participation seems to be the 50-70 age group. why is that. Well the most obvious and important answer is they have enough money to do so. Of course theres other reason as well,but without being financially able to bet or own or afford to take their family to the races,they would not be there. Now not many people seem to think like me,(which i never understand),but it is this age group who the industry should always be targeting to attract more of their like,because its pretty obvious that any investment of time or money is going to achieve better results if you focus on the area where you will get the greatest return. To me its just plain common sense.What business that ever hopes to survive uses their resources to target people who they will get the least returns from.The answer to that is a business that is destined to shrink and fail. Its from that platform and thinking that you then develop a strategy that encourages the over 45 years to bring their younger families to the races,thus gaining that exposure and sowing the seeds of future participation in the sport when the younger generations reach the point of financial stability as they grow older. That is why its so important that harness racing put promotional funds into the venues that are family friendly and create an experience on course of enjoyment,relaxation and fun.And of course harness racing has those venues. They are the grass track meetings and grass track meetings are run during the time of year when the weather,which is so important for attendance,is at its best. Grass track meetings should be marketed as family days.Its already where people and families go so once again your target should be to attract more of the same type customer.Obviously that type of promotion is only realistic over the warmer months. These sunday winter meetings at addington are essential for so many reasons,but they will never attract many as the atmosphere and setting isn't attractive. Its not the racing thats much different,its the weather and surroundings that are. Therefore those running those meetings should focus on what they can do for their core customer.i.e. The 40 and over age group. A start would be having somewhere warm where they could sit and watch. Seems pretty basic that,but addington on a sunday doesn't have it.
  22. Yes your correct there chief. Horses birthdays,premierships are from january to december. My take on it is the confusion arose right from the start when they first made the change and said they were having a transitional season. If the racing season was to remain august to july because that was what was in the racing act and they couldn't change that ,then why did they use the words transitional season? The fact that most are still confused is proof they did a poor job of explaining it all.
  23. I went to addington last week ,the first time for a couple of years. I left after 2 races because it just wasn't doing anything for me.The only part of the stand that was open was the bar at the bottom next to the birdcage. It appeared to be relatively busy but i guess that was because it wasn't a big area and was the only place anyone could go.I had hoped to go and sit out of the cold behind the glassed area above the bar,but that was all closed up. I don't understand why they locked that up. I looked around in the area where the seats are in front of that glassed area and everyone looked pretty much the same,like they were cold even though the sun was out.As far as having a bet. The totes were open in the bar area once i found them. They only had 3 operators working,but i placed my bets just 1 minute before race start and both times was the only one placing a bet. I spoke to just 1 person,who i did not know,and we reminisced about what things used to be like after i asked him where to place a bet. He told me he still comes to addington but not as much. He said he used to go to the nz cup religiously,but doesn't anymore as last time it had cost him $70 to enter and and all he did was have to stand up the straight all day. I can see why hardly anyone turns up. I wouldn't go again. As you point out,it is winter and has been very cold and wet everywhere,but addington in winter is not an inviting place. They need to at least let the public use the facilities they have,i.e. a glassed in area and they need to reward people that go to these type of meetings with some sort of system that can get them a discount on the days when they are charged for like nz cup day. For example they could have a scan in system and say each time someone goes to addington on a lower key meeting they scan in and as a result receive a $5 reduction on the entry fee on the bigger days.Or at least some type of reward at some stage during the year. That way you would also identify who actually attends these meetings and could maybe target them with promotions. We live in a world where regular customers are rewarded with something. Why ,because it works. E.g. Like using a discount card at the supermarket.
  24. The racing season wouldn't be going back as it never changed in the first place. Its still august to july like its always been.
  25. He might have to start driving them himself. His anchor in tonights quaddie, Le major(ben butcher) waited until the lights were almost out before making his run,flying home for 3rd.
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