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Everything posted by VC!
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I have Gift of power leading this field for team Rogerson I think they will press forward with stablemate Ferrando and sit outside GOP and try and dictate the tempo of the race I don’t know quite what to make of the time GOP ran last start I always had GOP as a telegraph horse I don’t see the railway run at break neck speed Bostonian has William Wallace drawn in gate 4 and Stratocaster in gate 6 neither should cause pressure to Bostonian early on Colgan should get a spot running 4th 5th or 6th and on ability should win Melody Belle I imagine they ride her for luck if she is giving Bostonian 4 to 5 lengths turning for home in an evenly run railway I can’t see her finishing over the top I would think MB will get out to closer to $3 closer to the jump
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I was impressed by Bostonian’s Winter carnival in QLD NZ don’t usually have many sprinters measure up in OZ he drew the outside gate 15 when he won at Doomben he has a soft gate 5 Melody Belle is giving him weight he,s clearly on top Over the odds for mine is Livin on a prayer
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Opening Balance $8,578 4 collects yesterday Wild Seas, Cha Siu Bao, Yes Yes Yes, Alizee $2,112 Closing Balance $10,690 Just the one race today Kurow Cup Son of Maher *3-80/5-22 price boost $103W Montoya Star *4-00/5-50 Bet Boost $98W Closing Balance $10,489 Alizee drifted to $2-90 this bullshit is media driven
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Matamata R1 Wild Seas *2-20/2-90 odds Boost $182W R3 He’s a Gold Digger *2-90/$4-09 price boost $130W R4 Marija *3-60/4-80 $110W R5 Scomo Eagle *14/26-00 $21-00W R7 Cha Siu Bailey *4-20/5-50 $96-00 Stratford R6 Red Rascal *8-60/13-00 $41-00W R7 Gorbachev *2-75/3-68 price boost $144W. Korakonui *12-00/20-00 $27W Moonee Valley R1 Yes Yes Yes *1-60/$2-13 price boost $248W R4 Soul Star *3-20/5-50power play $96-00W Doomben R5 Vinrose *18-00/71-00 bet boost $8 R6 Chess Star *4-90/7-50 $71W Granny Red Shoes *13/20-00 $27W R7 Flow *4-20/6-00 odds boost $88 R9 Jorda *6-50/12-00 $44W Randwick R3 Bondi *2-60/2-90 $182W R6 Alizee *1-85/2-25 $235W R7 Berdibek *6-50/10-00 $53W R8 After All That *11-80/19-00 $28W Southern Lad *4-60/6-00 $88W R9 Pumpkin Pie *6-10/8-50 $63W Opening balance $10,560 today’s investment $1,982 Closing balance $8,578 Today’s watch horse is in R1 Randwick Yitai Synergy could be alright I priced it at 2-10 opened 2-80 now close to even money
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3 winners and a scratching from the 4 races Prophets Thumb ..Ex Celtic..Military Zone ....Aloisia scratched today’s collects $1,601 Opening Balance 8,959 Closing Balance $10,560 Until tomorrow where we will be betting to win $528 per selection
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That makes two of us Mate I wish you all the very best on your quest to make profit hope you can do it small steps?
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Only the one collect today OB after our 1 Bet 9,347 CB 9,819 Gosford next up not a great deal of value so using our tools that are available to boost our odds it has to be remembered we are generally quoting unders as when doing this properly you would most of the time get on at BF at much bigger odds 4 races at Gosford book set to 115% I do this all the time now betting to collect $490 5% R2 Prophets Thumb *1-65/$2-12 price boost Ned’s $232W R2 Vega *$6-75/$7-50 $66W R4 Exceltic *2-10/$2-93 price boost Ned’s $168W R5 Military Zone 2-70/$3-30 power play Sportsbet $149W R5 Terminolgy *8-00/$10-00 $49W R5 Dio D’oro *12/19-00 Nsw Tab $26W R6 Aloisia *2-90/$3-94 price boost Ned’s $125W R6 Pecans *7-20/$11-00 Sportsbet $45W 2 winners needed out of 4 races to make profit Invested $860 closing balance $8,959
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Just the one today R7 Belle Fascino *2-60/4-50 PB$105W
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3 winners returning $1,355 Balance $9,452 So we have taken everything in that we possibly can some stuff has gone right over the top Insider trading was something I gave zero thought to ....but once again it does exist something that is out of our control When I think about Hong Kong it was like turning the switch on, insider trading is probably at it’s strongest there, it’s hand is only shown as the last half dozen move into the gates significant betting moves are made within seconds of jump time, how does one counter act that.....I wonder if one could discover Inside trading being hidden within the exotic pools that are available in Duets and Quinella’s I will analyse these pools over the next few months and highlight the unders in the exotics in comparison to their win odds and then see if there’s a late betting move towards them as they move into the gates So insider trading has existed in racing from as far as you can go back I can recall when I was at Wexford we had a first starter by the name of Zephyr Souba we had massive wraps on her we had her winning the Matamata Breeders stakes before she had even raced, I was at the trials the day DJ told Lance to settle her at the back and hold her together and let her run home through the field to educate her she ran 3rd beaten 1 length by 2 lengths something like that if let go she would have smacked them Anywho she was nominated for Pukekohe January 82 Jock Caddigan was aboard Lance was booked to ride at Trentham publications Best Bets Turf Digest and the likes had her ran 3rd at trial safely held she was picked by a couple to run 2nd or 3rd We unloaded she opened $1-20 it was a matter of by how far..... Well she ran 2nd beaten a head there was another first starter in the race that day who ended up a group 1 winner Aulyn When Mike Moroney returned with her I asked him WTF happened he replied he rode her like a school kid having his first ride yip even when you think you have an edge on the rest they can come unstuck Off course Zephyr Souba is the dam of Naturalism
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Ok 2 collects 2 scratchings $1,058 overall total $9,018 Ellerslie R4 Lincoln Falls *2-70/3-50 $129W R6 Annie Okay *7-90/11-00 $41W R9 Jon Snow *5-50/7-00 $65W Wingatui R4 Princess Brook *3-80/5-00 $90W R6 Tommy Tucker *7-30/10-00 $45W R6 Morse Code *6-90/14-00 $33W Sunshine Coast R6 Spirit andFire *1-90/2-67 boost $169W Randwick R1 Welsh Legend *2-80/4-00 $113W R2 Hafaawa *4-00/5-17 boost $88W R4 Mileage *11-00/16-00 $29W R7 Alward *9-80/14-00 $33W R7- Fierce Impact *4-10/5-29 boost $86W OB $9,018 Investment $921 Closing balance $8,097
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I’ll stick with it always learning Going to also trial not on here Another 10k imaginary bank Laying to a liability of 5% of bank Might struggle getting set as not enough liquidity with NZ should be able to possibly get set in Aus on a Saturday for small profits Houtzen last week I had rated $1-40 which was in line with TAB I really thought it would win but still placed a bet on something else that I had rated less than the TAB which was a mistake Keep repeating to myself we are rating these horses on their ability The thing I Iike betting to win 5% of your bank you don’t need too many winners to make a serious profit Still learning hopefully with a bit of luck will start turning these close losses into some profit Cheers
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Very nice certainly value for both yourself and Mardi
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Just a few more for tomorrow now I have the prices OB $8,378 Te Rapa R1 Polzeath *12/18 $26W R3 Mitigator *2-60/3-58 Ned’s PB $130W Awapuni R1 Bocce *2-80/4-28 Ned’s PB $109W R8 Toms *8-60/11-00 $43W Newcastle R7 Verlan *3-20/4-26 Ned’s PB $110W That equates to a further $418 spent Closing Balance $7960 Todays Joke Which city in the world do chicks go to too get laid They go to Bangkok
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Hesinator sounds like a plan probably start Te Rapa meet mid Feb going through end of April covering Auckland carnival Sydney carnival Would put a limit on expenditure to a max of 10% of bank each and every week including the last week otherwise the last week will destroy the other 9 weeks as it would turn into a shootout and someone will just place whole balance on one horse ? ? ????? Will be interesting to see the selections ????????
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Basil you’ve got the real devil in you this morning but then I realised how many likes you have so that explains it
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What it means if you’re to win a comp like this you’ll need a full tank of gas BP is a petrol station Blue Print
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Just the one collect Real Beach brings balance to $9,286 Busy few days coming up before I get into Saturday’s selections I’m going to guess your age yes you who is reading this follow these prompts and. I will guess your age 1)Choose a number between underline between 1 and 10 2) Multiply the number by 2 3) Now add 5 4) Now multiply that number by 50 5) Now if you have had your birthday this year add 1768 to your total if you haven’t already had your birthday add 1767 6) Now subtract the year you were born from the total 7) You should Now be left with a 3 figure total the first number in the total is the original number you picked between 1 and 10 the last 2 numbers is how old you are OMG!!! Are you really that old yes you you are really really ancient sssh!!! I’ll keep it quiet Anyway onto Saturday’s selections Warwick Farm Race 3 Difficult to get *6/9-50 $49W Race 4 Navel Warfare *4-80/6-00 $78W Race 4 Top Prospect *4/4-80 $97W (also nominated Melbourne) Race 5 Astoria *5-10/6-00 $78W Race 7 Invinzabeel 6/7-50 $62W Race7 Sir Plush *5-80/7-50 $62W Race8 Navigator *8/17-00 $28W Flemington Race 6 Saint Valorem *10/13-00 $36W Race 7 All to Huiying *12/23 $21W Race7 Battlecamp *14/20 $24W Race 8 Top of the Range *8/11 $43W Race 9 Priarie Fire *12/23 $21W Eagle Farm Race 5 Awesome Pluck *1-80/2-35 $198W Morphetville Race 7 Takedown *5-80/9-50 $49W Race 8 All Carisma *6/7-50 $62W Total spent $908 Balance $8,378 Matched$70,095,211 Yrs 70 plus million matched on the first big bash match of the season
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It was December 2009 Tahana Strike won the last leg of a 6 leg multi he had 57 $50 multis $2850 I heard it was the goat AL could be wrong
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Hopefully somewhere down the track we see these two face off I see Manu the beast Vatuvei kicked off his professional debut with a nice uppercut would love to see him and part owner of Te Akau Shark Paul Gallen go toe to toe Gallen would win thanks to his experience even SBW v Gallen would be good Junior Fa another few fights against higher ranked opponents might earn himself a shot at Parker
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https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/weekendking.com.au/2015/11/30/lucys-light-one-of-the-great-betting-stings-in-modern-era/amp/ And the best
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https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/sport/superracing/punter-pulls-off-audacious-sting-by-manipulating-corporate-bookmakers-place-pools-at-horsham-greyhounds/news-story/0cccb2ce3736f9b0163ea68def1a549f?sv=9ed92885b15c2571633e41cdaff2890 Good effort pity about terms and conditions
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Yeah I think these were brought into their rules regulations regarding pool manipulation when they pulled off that massive coup at Parklands Greyhounds which ended up in court Very well or maybe not so well played as the Bookies pay mid tote that’s why NSW and Tatts were nearly identical Obviously they targeted Alice Springs with small pools easy to do Unfortunately for them they didn’t read the fine print
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Alice Springs Race2 somehow looks like the place pool was manipulated on Tatts Bet and NSW Tab
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Yes Yes Yes........how did I miss this yesterday 2nd behind Brooklyn Hustle comfortably 2nd now that’s some formline
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This is important Mission Hill 9-50 yesterday opening price in at Bendigo today now $4-00.....$9-50 true value $4 regardless if it wins or not the value is lost